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BlackBerry Stock Surges 47% in Six Months: Time to Hold or Fold?
ZACKS· 2025-06-09 13:55
Core Insights - BlackBerry Limited's shares have increased by 46.5% over the past six months, significantly outperforming the Internet Software industry's growth of 7.8% and the S&P 500's decline of 0.9% [1][8] - The company has shifted its focus from smartphones to cybersecurity and the Internet of Things (IoT), emphasizing enterprise security, embedded software, and automotive technology [3][8] Performance Comparison - BlackBerry has outperformed competitors in the cybersecurity sector, such as Fortinet and CrowdStrike, which gained 8.1% and 35.1% respectively during the same period [4][8] - Despite the stock's recent rally, it remains 33.8% below its 52-week high of $6.24, closing at $4.13 [1][8] Strategic Developments - The QNX division is positioned as a strategic core, benefiting from strong demand in the automotive sector, particularly in advanced driver assistance systems and digital cockpit solutions [6][8] - A partnership with Microsoft aims to enhance software development for automakers, integrating QNX Software Development Platform 8.0 with Microsoft Azure [7][8] Financial Performance - BlackBerry's total adjusted EBITDA for fiscal 2025 was $39.3 million, reflecting a $54 million improvement from the previous year, driven by cost-cutting and restructuring efforts [13][8] - The company anticipates an additional $75 million in cash for fiscal 2026, including a second payment from the Cylance sale [14][8] Market Challenges - BlackBerry faces uncertainties due to recent tariff changes affecting automotive goods, which may indirectly impact its customers and supply chains [15][8] - The company is cautious about its Secure Communications division due to political changes and instability in core government markets [18][8] Competitive Landscape - Increasing competitive pressures in both IoT and cybersecurity sectors are noted, with analysts remaining cautious about the company's outlook [19][8] - BlackBerry's stock is trading at a trailing 12-month price/book multiple of 3.43, compared to the industry's multiple of 6.34, indicating potential risks [21][8]
BlackBerry Surges 21% in a Month: Is the Stock Still a Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-05-14 14:01
Core Viewpoint - BlackBerry Limited's shares have increased by 21.3% in the past month, outperforming the Computer Software industry and the S&P 500 composite, which grew by 18.7% and 8% respectively [1] Price Performance - BlackBerry's stock closed at $3.92, which is down 37.2% from its 52-week high of $6.24 [4] QNX Business Development - BlackBerry has shifted focus to its QNX platform, having sold its Cylance unit for $80 million in cash and 5.5 million shares, while retaining its AI/ML patent assets and tax losses [5] - The QNX business is experiencing growth, particularly in the automotive sector, with strong demand in advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and digital cockpit solutions [6] - QNX revenues reached $65.8 million, exceeding guidance of $60-$65 million, driven by design wins in digital cockpit and ADAS [7] Revenue Guidance and Market Conditions - BlackBerry maintains a revenue guidance of $260-$270 million, with QNX revenues expected between $250 million and $270 million, amid uncertainties from recent tariff changes [9] Secure Communication Division - The Secure Communication division reported fiscal fourth-quarter revenues of $67.3 million, surpassing the forecast of $62-$66 million, driven by strong performance in the AtHoc platform [10] - The division is seeing healthy momentum from government agencies and top banks, with a notable expansion of a deal with the Malaysian government [11] Financial Performance - BlackBerry's adjusted EBITDA for fiscal 2025 was $39.3 million, reflecting a $54 million improvement from the previous year, aided by cost-cutting measures [13] - Cash and investments increased by $144 million, supported by strong operating cash flow of $42 million and the initial payment from the Cylance deal [14] Analyst Sentiment and Valuation - Analysts have revised EPS estimates for the current fiscal year upward to 10 cents from 7 cents over the past 60 days, indicating bullish sentiment [17] - BB stock is trading at a trailing 12-month price/book multiple of 3.25, compared to the industry average of 5.87, suggesting it is undervalued [18] Investment Opportunity - The pivot towards the QNX business, improving financials, and strong estimate revisions present a compelling buying opportunity for BlackBerry stock [19]