We came across a bullish thesis on Alibaba Group Holding Limited on The Oak Bloke’s Substack. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on BABA. Alibaba Group Holding Limited's share was trading at $164.26 as of December 1st. BABA’s trailing and forward P/E were 21.30 and 24.39 respectively according to Yahoo Finance. Maplebear (CART) Transforms Online Grocery Shopping with AI-Powered Smart Shop Stanisic Vladimir/Shutterstock.com Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (BABA), with a market capitalization ...

Group 1: Carnival - Carnival has experienced a strong recovery, with its stock up 258% since the end of 2022, following eight consecutive quarters of record revenue [3][4] - The company raised its full-year guidance for net yields to 5%, indicating strong profitability, with analysts expecting adjusted earnings per share to reach $2, a 40% increase year-over-year [4] - Despite a high debt burden of $27 billion, Carnival's debt-to-equity ratio has improved from a peak of 5.75 in 2023 to 2.72, allowing for reduced interest expenses and a lower risk profile [5] - Carnival is launching new destinations, such as Celebration Key in Grand Bahama, and expanding RelaxAway in Half Moon Cay, which are expected to drive future demand [6][7] - Analysts project Carnival's earnings to reach $3.10 by fiscal 2029, growing at a compound annual rate of nearly 17% from fiscal 2024, with the stock trading around 10 times those estimates, indicating significant upside potential [8] Group 2: Alibaba - Alibaba is a leading Chinese tech company with strong positions in e-commerce and cloud computing, and its stock appears undervalued despite recent recovery [9] - The company reported a 7% year-over-year revenue increase and a 23% earnings growth last quarter, yet trades at a forward earnings multiple of 12, reflecting geopolitical risks and competition [10] - Alibaba's domestic e-commerce segment saw a 1% decline in direct sales year-over-year, but total revenue grew 9% due to increased seller fees, showcasing resilience [11] - The international e-commerce segment, particularly AliExpress, grew revenue by 22% year-over-year, with expectations of achieving profitability in the current fiscal year [12] - Alibaba Cloud reported an 18% year-over-year revenue increase, driven by strong demand for AI services, which have seen triple-digit growth for seven consecutive quarters [13] - The launch of the Qwen3 AI model and a partnership with Apple to integrate AI into iPhones in China could further boost Alibaba's stock performance [14]