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Radian Group Trades Above 50-Day SMA: How to Play the Stock?
ZACKSยท 2025-09-16 18:05
Core Insights - Radian Group Inc. (RDN) is currently trading above its 50-day simple moving average, indicating a short-term bullish trend [1] - RDN shares are trading at a price-to-book value of 1.05X, which is lower than the industry average of 2.61X, suggesting affordability [2] - RDN's shares have gained 9.5% year-to-date, outperforming the industry's increase of 7.1% [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for RDN's 2025 revenues is $1.3 billion, reflecting a year-over-year improvement of 0.2% [6] - Radian is experiencing stronger loan credit and lower claim payouts, enhancing mortgage insurance stability [8] Valuation and Market Position - Radian Group has a market capitalization of $4.7 billion and an average trading volume of 1.1 million shares over the last three months [2] - The average target price for RDN shares is $37, indicating a potential upside of 5.3% from the last closing price [10] - Radian's return on equity is 13.25%, which is below the industry average of 14.8% [18] Financial Performance and Projections - The consensus estimate for RDN's current-year earnings is $3.92 per share, with projections for 2026 indicating a 0.4% increase in earnings per share and a 2.6% increase in revenues from 2025 estimates [6][9] - Radian has increased dividends five times in the last five years, achieving a five-year annualized growth rate of 18.4% [19] Strategic Initiatives - Radian is focusing on strengthening its mortgage insurance portfolio, benefiting from a steady mortgage insurance market and improved credit quality in newly insured loans [14][15] - The company has implemented a share buyback program of $750 million to enhance shareholder value [19] Risk Factors - Rising expenses and a higher debt-to-capital ratio of 41.52% compared to the industry average of 34.16% present ongoing pressure for Radian [18]