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ServiceNow Stock Climbs 16% in a Month: Hold Tight or Book Profits?
ZACKS· 2026-03-06 17:16
Core Insights - ServiceNow's shares have increased by 16.3% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks Computers - IT Services industry and the S&P 500 index, which saw declines of 1.6% and 1.7% respectively [2] - The stock has outperformed key competitors such as Stem, SoundHound AI, and Accenture, which experienced declines of 2%, 6.6%, and 9.6% respectively during the same period [3] Stock Performance - The strong rally in ServiceNow's stock has led to discussions among investors about whether to book profits or continue holding [6] - ServiceNow's stock performance is attributed to its expansion of the AI platform aimed at enhancing enterprise automation and digital transformation [7] AI Platform Expansion - ServiceNow is expanding its AI platform to integrate artificial intelligence, data, and workflows into a unified cloud architecture, which helps organizations streamline operations and reduce costs [7] - The platform supports various workflow categories, enabling enterprises to automate processes and build low-code applications [7] - Key products in the AI portfolio, such as Now Assist and RaptorDB Pro, are gaining strong adoption, facilitating AI-driven automation across multiple business functions [8][9] Customer Base and Engagement - As of the end of 2025, ServiceNow serves over 8,800 global customers, including more than 85% of the Fortune 500, indicating strong adoption of its cloud-based platform [11] - The company reported a 98% renewal rate, reflecting the critical nature of its platform for enterprise customers [13] - In Q4 2025, ServiceNow closed 244 deals worth over $1 million in net new ACV, showcasing strong enterprise demand [12] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ServiceNow's Q1 2026 earnings is 95 cents per share, reflecting a 17.28% growth compared to the previous year [14] - The 2026 earnings estimate is projected at $4.13 per share, indicating a 17.66% growth over the 2025 reported figure [15] Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions - ServiceNow is enhancing its AI platform through strategic partnerships with technology leaders like Microsoft and OpenAI, aimed at integrating advanced AI models into enterprise workflows [10] - Recent acquisitions, including Moveworks, and planned acquisitions of Armis and Veza, are intended to bolster agentic AI capabilities and improve security and identity governance [10] Challenges - Despite strong demand, ServiceNow faces near-term challenges, including a shift from self-hosted to hosted offerings, which may impact subscription revenue growth by approximately 150 basis points in Q1 2026 [16] - Currency fluctuations and macroeconomic uncertainties could also affect financial performance [16]
Software Stocks Are in a Bear Market. Should You Buy the Dip in ServiceNow?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-31 20:58
Core Viewpoint - ServiceNow, with a market cap of approximately $121.5 billion, is positioned as a leading enterprise workflow platform, integrating with major cloud providers and AI technologies to support digital transformation across various industries [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q4, ServiceNow reported a revenue increase of 20.5% year-over-year (YOY) to $3.56 billion, with non-GAAP EPS rising 26% annually to $0.92, indicating strong operational discipline [12]. - Subscription revenue grew 21% YOY to $3.47 billion, underscoring the company's robust business model [13]. - Current remaining performance obligations (cRPO) reached $12.85 billion, up 25% from the previous year, reflecting strong demand [14]. - The company ended the quarter with cash and marketable securities totaling $6.28 billion and free cash flow of $2.03 billion, resulting in a free cash flow margin of 57% [16]. Market Sentiment and Stock Performance - ServiceNow's stock has experienced a significant decline, down about 42% over the past year and nearly 24% in early 2026, despite strong quarterly results [7][3]. - Analysts have expressed mixed sentiments, with some maintaining a "Market Outperform" rating while others have adjusted price targets downward, reflecting cautious confidence [19][20]. - The stock trades at approximately 33.34 times forward adjusted earnings, indicating a premium valuation compared to the broader tech sector, yet below its historical median [11]. Future Outlook - Management projects subscription revenue for 2026 to be between $15.53 billion and $15.57 billion, implying annual growth of roughly 20.5% to 21% [17]. - Analysts anticipate fiscal 2026 EPS to be around $2.39, representing 21.9% YOY growth, with further growth expected in fiscal 2027 [18]. - The overall analyst consensus remains strong, with a majority recommending a "Strong Buy," indicating potential upside for investors [21]. Industry Context - The software sector is facing challenges as market sentiment shifts, particularly regarding the impact of AI on traditional software economics [5][6]. - Despite the broader market pressures, ServiceNow continues to demonstrate strong revenue growth and expanding margins, positioning itself as a resilient player in the enterprise software landscape [23].
NOW Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Rise Y/Y, Shares Fall
ZACKS· 2026-01-29 17:01
Core Insights - ServiceNow (NOW) reported fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings of 92 cents per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 5.75% and reflecting a 26% year-over-year increase. Revenues reached $3.57 billion, surpassing the consensus mark by 1.25% and increasing by 20.7% year over year [1][8]. Revenue Performance - Subscription revenues improved by 20.9% year over year to $3.47 billion, while on a constant currency basis, revenues increased by 19.5% to $3.41 billion. Professional services and other revenues rose by 12.1% year over year to $102 million, with a constant currency increase of 11% to $101 million [2]. - The current remaining performance obligations (cRPO) stood at $12.85 billion, marking a 25% year-over-year increase on a reported basis and a 21% increase on a constant currency basis. Remaining performance obligations on a constant currency basis rose 22.5% year over year to $28.2 billion [3]. Client Growth and Product Performance - The company recorded 244 transactions exceeding $1 million in net new annual contract value (ACV) in Q4 2025, representing nearly 40% year-over-year growth. ServiceNow ended the quarter with 603 customers with over $5 million in ACV, reflecting approximately 20% year-over-year growth [4]. - AI-powered products such as Now Assist and Raptor significantly contributed to the growth in net new ACV, with RaptorDB Pro tripling its net new ACV year over year. The number of workflows and transactions grew over 33%, increasing from $60 billion to $80 billion and from $4.8 trillion to $6.4 trillion, respectively [5][6]. Operating Metrics - In Q4 2025, the non-GAAP gross margin was 80.3%, down 160 basis points year over year. The subscription gross margin was 82.7%, also contracting by 160 basis points year over year. Professional services reported a gross loss of $2 million compared to a gross income of $7 million in the previous year [7]. - Operating expenses as a percentage of revenues decreased by 180 basis points year over year to 64.2%, while the non-GAAP operating margin expanded by 140 basis points year over year to 30.9% [9]. Cash Flow and Share Repurchase - As of December 31, 2025, the company had cash and cash equivalents and marketable securities totaling $6.28 billion, up from $5.41 billion as of September 30, 2025. Cash from operations was $2.24 billion, compared to $813 million in the previous quarter, with free cash flow reaching $2.03 billion, up from $592 million in the prior quarter [10]. - The company repurchased 3.6 million shares in Q4 2025 and announced a new share repurchase authorization worth $5 billion, along with plans for a $2 billion accelerated share repurchase program [11]. Guidance for 2026 - For 2026, ServiceNow expects subscription revenues to be between $15.53 billion and $15.57 billion, indicating a rise of 20.5% to 21% from 2025. The guidance includes a 1% contribution from Moveworks. The non-GAAP subscription gross margin is anticipated to be 82%, with a non-GAAP operating margin of 32% and a free cash flow margin expected to be 36% [12]. - For Q1 2026, subscription revenues are projected to be between $3.65 billion and $3.67 billion, suggesting year-over-year growth of 21.5% on a GAAP basis [13][14].
ServiceNow(NOW) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-01-28 23:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q4 subscription revenues reached $3.466 billion, growing 19.5% year-over-year in constant currency, exceeding guidance by 150 basis points [31] - Free cash flow margin for the full year 2025 was 35%, up 350 basis points year-over-year, and total free cash flow was $4.6 billion, up 34% year-over-year [38] - Operating margin was 31%, 100 basis points above guidance, driven by top-line outperformance and operational efficiencies [37] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net new ACV growth accelerated both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year, with 244 deals greater than $1 million in net new ACV closed in Q4 [33] - Emerging product areas, including Now Assist, Workflow Data Fabric, Raptor, and CPQ, all outperformed in Q4 [31] - Now Assist surpassed $600 million in ACV, tracking well towards a $1 billion-plus target for 2026 [36] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Transportation and logistics led growth with net new ACV growing over 80% year-over-year, followed by business and consumer services at over 70% [32] - The public sector, including federal and state/local, showed significant growth, with global government business up 80% year-over-year [60][61] - The number of customers contributing $20 million or more in ACV rose over 30% year-over-year [34] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to be the AI-defining enterprise software company of the 21st century, focusing on integrating AI into workflows for business reinvention [14] - ServiceNow's strategy includes opportunistic M&A to expand into a larger total addressable market (TAM), now beyond $600 billion [12] - The company emphasizes organic growth, having achieved significant milestones without relying on M&A for revenue [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the demand environment, noting that customers are looking for platforms that deliver positive ROI and simplify operations [48][49] - The company anticipates 20% subscription revenue growth for 2026, with a strong pipeline and increasing customer demand for integrated AI solutions [10][39] - Management highlighted the importance of AI in driving efficiencies and improving operational resilience across customer deployments [36] Other Important Information - The company announced a $5 billion share repurchase authorization, with an immediate $2 billion accelerated share repurchase program [14][39] - Monthly active users grew 25%, indicating strong engagement with the platform [9] - The company is integrating new acquisitions, Armis and Veza, into its existing platform to enhance security and operational capabilities [74] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: What are the tailwinds and headwinds in the demand environment? - Management noted that while there are legacy systems that burden companies, there is a strong demand for platforms that deliver cross-functional AI capabilities, leading to a robust pipeline [48][49] Question: How did the federal business perform in Q4? - Despite the government shutdown, the federal business saw significant deals and a strong pipeline, with public sector growth expected to continue into 2026 [60][61] Question: What is the outlook for gross margins? - Management indicated that while there are temporary headwinds due to strategic moves towards hyperscalers, overall margins are expected to improve as these deals scale [65]
NOW's Subscription Growth Picks Up: A Sign of More Upside?
ZACKS· 2025-07-30 17:21
Core Insights - ServiceNow's AI-powered platform is facilitating business transformation for enterprises by automating workflows across various sectors, including IT, customer service, and business operations [1] - The primary driver of ServiceNow's financial performance is the growth in subscription revenues [1] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, subscription revenues rose by 22.5% year-over-year to $3.11 billion, exceeding Zacks Consensus Estimates by 2.66% [2][10] - Current Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) increased by 21.5% year-over-year to $10.92 billion in the same quarter [2][10] - ServiceNow secured 89 net new Annual Contract Value (ACV) deals over $1 million, including 11 deals above $5 million, indicating strong enterprise demand [2] Product Adoption and Innovation - The growth in subscription business is bolstered by the rising adoption of ServiceNow's innovative product suite, particularly the AI-enhanced Pro Plus tiers of core products [3] - Tools like Workflow Data Fabric and RaptorDB Pro are unifying data and supporting high-performance AI applications, with AI Pro Plus deal count increasing by over 50% sequentially [3] - ServiceNow closed its largest Now Assist deal to date, exceeding $20 million, with 21 large transactions involving five or more Now Assist products [3] Future Outlook - ServiceNow anticipates subscription revenues of $12.785 billion for 2025, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate at $12.661 billion, indicating continued growth driven by platform adoption and AI-driven SKUs [4] Competitive Landscape - ServiceNow faces significant competition in the subscription-driven workflow automation space from Salesforce and Pegasystems [5] - Salesforce is experiencing strong demand for its Einstein AI platform, which enhances customer relationship management and automation capabilities [6] - Pegasystems is leveraging its GenAI Blueprint solution to accelerate application development and expand its subscription-based platform [7] Stock Performance and Valuation - ServiceNow's shares have declined by 6.3% year-to-date, underperforming the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector's return of 11.4% [8] - The stock is trading at a premium, with a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 14.19X compared to the sector's 6.72X [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ServiceNow's Q3 2025 earnings is $4.22 per share, reflecting a 13.44% year-over-year increase [15]