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X @Tesla Owners Silicon Valley
General Observation - The document is a short, potentially informal, test entry [1] - The content includes a reference to "goosebumps," which could be interpreted as excitement or a strong reaction [1] - A URL is included, suggesting further information or context is available online [1]
Ford Motor(F) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a record revenue of $50.5 billion and adjusted EBIT of $2.6 billion, with a year-over-year revenue growth of over 9% [7][18] - Adjusted free cash flow was strong at $4.3 billion for the third quarter, totaling $5.7 billion year to date, with nearly $33 billion in cash and $54 billion in liquidity [19][20] - The adjusted EBIT guidance for 2025 was updated to between $6 billion and $6.5 billion, reflecting a net tariff headwind of $1 billion [24][25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Ford Pro delivered revenue of $17.4 billion and EBIT of $2 billion, with revenue and volume growth of 11% and 9% respectively [20] - Ford Model e experienced revenue and volume growth driven by new product introductions in Europe, but EBIT losses increased due to lower net pricing and higher spending on next-generation vehicles [21] - Ford Blue achieved EBIT of $1.5 billion, with revenue growth exceeding wholesale unit growth, despite higher costs driven by tariffs [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The total U.S. market share grew to 12.8%, with significant contributions from key products like F-150, Bronco, Explorer, and Expedition [16] - The industry conditions were strong, with a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAR) of 17 million and positive pricing trends [15] - The company expects a U.S. industry SAR of about 16.8 million units for 2025 [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The Ford Plus plan aims to capitalize on regional market trends, customer fragmentation, and increasing competition, particularly from Chinese OEMs [9] - The company is focusing on hybrids and has a universal EV platform ready for production, with plans to launch next-generation EVs by 2027 [10][19] - Strategic partnerships and innovation are emphasized as essential for achieving cost efficiency and quality improvements [10][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to recover from the Novelis fire impact and highlighted a proactive approach to securing alternative aluminum sources [6][7] - The management noted that the evolving emissions landscape could eliminate compliance headwinds, allowing for a more optimized mix of ICE, hybrids, and EVs [25][105] - The company anticipates a strong fourth quarter, supported by ample inventory and a disciplined approach to market opportunities [16][19] Other Important Information - The company announced a regular dividend of $0.15 per share, payable on December 1 [19] - The company is committed to maintaining its investment-grade rating and returning capital to shareholders [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on Novelis impact recovery - Management confirmed that the Hot Mill at Novelis is expected to be operational by late November, with plans to recover lost production in 2026 [29][30] Question: Warranty cost improvements - Management indicated that warranty costs were down year-over-year, with expectations for further reductions in the coming year [36][40] Question: Industry pricing discipline - Management expressed confidence in maintaining industry pricing discipline due to strong segment drivers and a fresh product lineup [42][44] Question: Emissions rules and profit opportunities - Management discussed the potential multibillion-dollar opportunity from new emissions rules, emphasizing the importance of optimizing vehicle mix [47][50] Question: Tariff impacts and guidance - Management clarified that the recent tariff policy changes would result in a net benefit of $1 billion, impacting the overall guidance positively [60][62] Question: EV losses and future expectations - Management acknowledged the challenges of EV profitability but indicated that they would provide updates after the fourth quarter [96][97] Question: Customer financing strategies - Management highlighted the success of a recent financing program aimed at subprime customers, which did not negatively impact average FICO scores [74][76]
Ford Motor(F) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a record revenue of $50.5 billion and adjusted EBIT of $2.6 billion for the third quarter, with a year-over-year revenue growth of over 9% [8][27]. - Adjusted free cash flow was strong at $4.3 billion for the third quarter, totaling $5.7 billion year-to-date [28]. - The company ended the quarter with nearly $33 billion in cash and $54 billion in liquidity, highlighting a strong balance sheet [28]. Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Ford Pro achieved revenue of $17.4 billion and EBIT of $2 billion, with a robust double-digit margin and a 119% growth in revenue and volume [30]. - Ford Model E experienced revenue and volume growth driven by new product introductions in Europe, but EBIT losses increased due to lower net pricing and increased spending on next-generation vehicles [30]. - Ford Blue achieved EBIT of $1.5 billion, with revenue growth exceeding wholesale unit growth, despite higher costs driven by tariffs [33]. Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The total U.S. market share grew to 12.8%, with significant contributions from key products like F-150, Bronco, Explorer, and Expedition [24]. - The company continues to lead the hybrid truck market with approximately 70% market share [24]. - The industry conditions were strong, with a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 17 million units and positive pricing trends [24]. Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on its Ford Plus plan, which aims to capitalize on key market trends, including regional strategies and tailored services for retail and commercial customers [11][12]. - The strategy emphasizes innovation, cost efficiency, and partnerships to close the cost gap and achieve world-class quality [15]. - The company is prioritizing hybrids and developing an affordable EV platform, with production expected to start in 2027 [14][38]. Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the underlying business performance, tracking at the high end of adjusted EBIT guidance for 2025, despite challenges from the Novelis fire and tariffs [35][36]. - The company anticipates a headwind of $1 billion or less from Novelis in 2026 and expects to mitigate at least $1 billion in 2026 related to the Novelis impact [36][37]. - Management highlighted the importance of adapting to evolving customer and market realities for EVs, indicating a proactive approach to scaling fixed costs [32]. Other Important Information - The company announced a regular dividend of 15 cents per share, payable on December 1, reflecting a commitment to returning capital to shareholders [28]. - The company is actively working to improve its warranty costs, with a year-over-year reduction of $450 million in warranty expenses [56]. Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on Novelis recovery - Management confirmed that the hot mill at Novelis is expected to be operational by late November, with a quick ramp-up anticipated [43]. Question: Potential disruption from chip supply issues - Management indicated that they are working with U.S. and Chinese administrations to resolve supply issues and are maximizing their purchases of necessary components [46]. Question: Warranty cost improvements - Management noted that warranty costs were down year-over-year, with expectations for continued reductions in total costs [53][56]. Question: Industry pricing discipline - Management expressed confidence in maintaining pricing discipline due to strong segment drivers and a fresh product lineup [61]. Question: Emissions rules and compliance costs - Management discussed the potential multibillion-dollar opportunity from new emissions rules, emphasizing the ability to minimize compliance costs [66][68]. Question: Profit trends in the core business - Management highlighted strong performance in the core business, with material cost improvements and solid pricing and volume contributing to the outlook [72]. Question: Tariff impacts for next year - Management clarified that the tariff impacts for next year are expected to be similar to this year, with a net impact of around $1 billion [78][81].
Ford Motor(F) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Ford reported a record revenue of $50.5 billion and adjusted EBIT of $2.6 billion for Q3 2025, with a year-over-year revenue growth of over 9% [5][17] - Adjusted free cash flow was strong at $4.3 billion for Q3, totaling $5.7 billion year-to-date, with nearly $33 billion in cash and $54 billion in liquidity [18][22] - The company expects adjusted EBIT guidance for 2025 to be between $6 billion and $6.5 billion, reflecting a net tariff headwind of $1 billion [23][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Ford Pro delivered revenue of $17.4 billion and EBIT of $2 billion, with revenue and volume growth of 11% and 9% respectively [18][19] - Ford Model e experienced increased revenue and volume driven by new product introductions in Europe, but EBIT losses increased due to lower net pricing and higher spending on next-generation vehicles [19] - Ford Blue achieved EBIT of $1.5 billion, with revenue growth exceeding wholesale unit growth [20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Ford's total U.S. market share grew to 12.8%, with significant contributions from key products like F-150, Bronco, and Expedition [15] - The industry conditions in the U.S. were strong, with a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAR) of 17 million and positive pricing [14] - The company anticipates a U.S. industry SAR of about 16.8 million units for 2025 [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The Ford Plus plan aims to enhance market competitiveness by focusing on regional strategies, tailored services, and digital solutions [7] - The company is prioritizing hybrids and developing an affordable EV platform expected to launch in 2027 [8][24] - Ford is adapting to evolving market conditions, including the anticipated reduction in compliance costs due to changes in emissions regulations [24][94] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to recover from the Novelis fire impact, with plans to add up to 1,000 new jobs to increase F-series production [5][27] - The management highlighted the importance of innovation and cost efficiency in a capital-intensive environment, emphasizing the need for smart partnerships [8] - The company remains committed to maintaining its investment-grade rating and returning capital to shareholders [18] Other Important Information - Ford's industrial system has shown consistent cost improvements, with a net $1 billion improvement expected this year, excluding tariff impacts [11] - The company is actively working to mitigate the impact of tariffs and production disruptions on working capital [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on Novelis recovery - Management confirmed that Novelis' Hot Mill is expected to be operational by late November, with plans to recover lost production in 2026 [27][29] Question: Warranty cost improvements - Management indicated that warranty costs were down year-over-year by $450 million, with expectations for further reductions in the coming year [40][41] Question: Industry pricing discipline - Management expressed confidence in maintaining industry pricing discipline, citing strong underlying segment drivers and a fresh product lineup [42][44] Question: Emissions rules impact - Management discussed the potential multibillion-dollar opportunity from new emissions rules, emphasizing the ability to optimize vehicle mix and reduce compliance costs [47][51] Question: 2026 guidance and cost expectations - Management provided insights on expected tailwinds and headwinds for 2026, including cost improvements and the impact of Novelis [103]
Ford CEO Farley on Supplier Fire, Tariff Impact and EVs
Youtube· 2025-10-23 20:57
Core Insights - The company is facing challenges due to a fire at an aluminum plant, which is expected to impact production by around 100,000 units this year, but recovery is anticipated next year with potential gains of $1.5 billion to $2.5 billion [2][3][4] - Tariff headwinds have been significantly reduced, from an expected $2 billion to a more manageable level, benefiting the company as it produces a majority of its vehicles domestically [3][4][8] - The company is focusing on high-margin vehicles and off-road segments, which are currently in high demand, indicating a strong market position [14][17] Production and Financial Impact - The fire incident is described as a serious situation, but the company is optimistic about regaining lost production in the following year [2][3] - The reduction in tariffs is seen as a major advantage, particularly for the company's domestic production capabilities compared to competitors [4][7][8] - The company is expected to maintain a strong financial outlook with anticipated recovery in production and sales [2][14] Market Position and Strategy - The company produces 80% of its sales in the U.S., with a significant portion of exports, positioning it favorably against competitors [7][8] - There is a strong focus on high-end and off-road vehicles, which are profitable and popular among consumers, indicating a strategic shift towards these segments [14][17] - The company is also investing in the electric vehicle market, with plans for affordable EVs, reflecting a commitment to adapt to changing market dynamics [21][23] Supply Chain and Raw Materials - The company is actively working to diversify its supply chain for critical materials, including rare earth elements and semiconductors, which are essential for production [23][24][25] - There is recognition of the challenges posed by reliance on foreign sources for raw materials, particularly from China, and efforts are being made to address these issues [23][25][26]
X @Tesla Owners Silicon Valley
General Observation - The document mentions a "Raptor test" which is exciting to watch [1] Social Media - The content is shared on Twitter (t.co) [1]
LIFTOFF! SpaceX Starship 10th Flight Test
The Launch Pad· 2025-10-14 00:13
Flight Status - Liftoff sequence initiated: 10-1 [1] - Super Heavy and Starship achieved liftoff [1] - Historic flights completed [1] - Booster Raptor chamber pressure is nominal (normal) [1] Vehicle Status - Vehicles catching downrange [1]
HOT STAGING! SpaceX Starship 10th Flight Test [4K]
The Launch Pad· 2025-10-13 23:57
Engine Performance - Successful hot staging maneuver achieved [1] - Booster has 12 out of 13 (approximately 92%) engines lit [1] - Ship has 6 out of 6 (100%) Raptors engines lit [1] Mission Stage - Ship ignition stage separation observed [1] - Use back burn startup [1] - Ship is continuing its ascent into outer space [1]
LIFTOFF! SpaceX Starship 10th Flight Test [4K]
The Launch Pad· 2025-10-13 23:55
Launch Event - Countdown from T-10 to liftoff [1] - Super Heavy and Starship achieved liftoff [1] - Vehicles are proceeding downrange [1] Engine Performance - Raptor chamber pressure is nominal [1] Acknowledgement - Thanks for all the historic flights [1] - Pad one is acknowledged [1]
Osprey Packs's Newest Bike Collection Creates Carry Solutions for Every Rider
Prnewswire· 2025-08-12 13:01
Core Insights - Osprey Packs is launching a new collection of bike packs for spring 2026, catering to various types of bikers with a focus on performance and reliability [1][11] Product Offerings - The new Syncro series includes three models: Syncro 5 (MSRP $160), Syncro 12 (MSRP $180), and Syncro 20 (MSRP $195), designed for advanced riders with features like AirSpeed™ suspension and adjustable torso length [3][4] - The Raptor | Raven LT series, priced at MSRP $140, is tailored for technical rides, featuring a lightweight design and made from 100% recycled materials [4][5] - The Berm series, aimed at newer riders, includes models Berm 2 (MSRP $75), Berm 4 (MSRP $85), Berm 8 (MSRP $95), and Berm 12 (MSRP $115), focusing on ergonomic design and hydration [8][6] - The Seral | Savu models provide a minimalist option for mountain bikers, with the Seral 4 (MSRP $95) and Seral 7 (MSRP $115) featuring a lumbar reservoir [9][10] Sustainability and Brand Background - Osprey emphasizes sustainability by using high-quality, bluesign® approved materials and promoting a safe chemical process in their production [5][13] - The company has been in operation since 1974, providing innovative carry solutions for outdoor enthusiasts [12]