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Should You Hold BILL Holdings Stock Despite Its 44% YTD Decline?
ZACKS· 2025-07-10 16:56
Core Insights - BILL Holdings (BILL) shares have declined 43.7% year-to-date, underperforming the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector and the Zacks Internet - Software industry, which have returned 7% and 16.1% respectively [2][9] - The decline is attributed to a challenging macroeconomic environment, persistent inflation, and high interest rates affecting small and medium businesses (SMBs) spending on digital initiatives [2][9] Company Performance - BILL is experiencing growth in its SMB clientele, with partnerships with companies like Regions Financial and Adyen enhancing its digital payment solutions [5][6][7] - In Q3, BILL processed nearly $79 billion in payments across 30 million transactions, adding 4,200 new customers, driven by AI and automation features [10][12] - The company launched new solutions like Supplier Payments Plus and financial automation innovations to streamline SMB payments and improve cash flow management [11] Financial Guidance - For Q4 fiscal 2025, BILL expects revenues between $370.5 million and $380.5 million, indicating year-over-year growth of 8-11% [13] - For the full fiscal 2025, revenues are projected between $1.45 billion and $1.46 billion, suggesting a year-over-year growth of 12-13% [14] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q4 fiscal 2025 earnings is 40 cents per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 29.82% [15] - The consensus for fiscal 2025 revenues is pegged at $1.46 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 13.02% [16] Competitive Landscape - Despite its expanding portfolio, BILL faces stiff competition from accounting software providers like SAP and Intuit, which have launched services that directly challenge BILL's market position [17][18]
BILL Holdings Plunges 47% Year to Date: Should You Buy the Stock on Dip?
ZACKS· 2025-05-27 17:26
Core Viewpoint - BILL Holdings (BILL) has experienced a significant decline in stock value, dropping 46.8% year-to-date, underperforming compared to the broader tech sector and peers like SAP and Intuit, which have seen gains of 19.7% and 14.5% respectively [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - The underperformance of BILL can be linked to broader market weaknesses in the tech sector, ongoing fears regarding U.S. tariffs, and a challenging macroeconomic environment characterized by persistent inflation and high interest rates [2] - In contrast, competitors SAP and Intuit have successfully enhanced their offerings, particularly in the SMB sector, contributing to their stock gains [1][2] Group 2: Company Developments - BILL is enhancing its platform with increased adoption, AI-driven automation, and expanded payment solutions, which are expected to help the company compete effectively in the SMB sector [3] - In fiscal Q3 2025, BILL processed nearly $79 billion in payment volume across 30 million transactions, aiding over 488,600 businesses in automating financial operations [4] - The company introduced new procurement and financial automation innovations in April 2025, unifying various financial workflows to help businesses manage cash flow [5] Group 3: Customer Growth and Partnerships - BILL added 4,200 net new customers in fiscal Q3 2025, bringing the total to 164,800 customers using its AP and AR solutions [6] - Key partnerships, such as with Xero and Regions Bank, have been instrumental in expanding BILL's SMB clientele and enhancing its digital payment solutions [7][8] Group 4: Financial Guidance - For Q4 fiscal 2025, BILL anticipates revenues between $370.5 million and $380.5 million, indicating year-over-year growth of 8-11% [9] - The company expects fiscal 2025 revenues to be between $1.45 billion and $1.46 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 12-13% [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q4 fiscal 2025 revenues is $375.13 million, with a consensus earnings estimate of 39 cents per share [10] Group 5: Profitability and Cash Flow - BILL's focus on automation and an expanding customer base is driving strong growth and profitability, with a free cash flow margin of 25% in fiscal Q3 2025 [12] - The company is positioned for sustained success, supported by its robust product portfolio and market demand [12]