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Can Lennar Stock Jump 50%?
Forbesยท 2025-11-11 17:25
Core Insights - Lennar Corporation (LEN) is currently trading nearly 30% lower than its 1-year high and has a price-to-sales (PS) multiple below the average of the past 3 years, indicating it may be undervalued despite strong margins [2][3] - The company is effectively navigating a challenging housing market through an asset-light strategy, managing 98% of its lot positions via options, and achieving operational efficiencies that have led to a 3% reduction in direct construction costs year-over-year [3] Financial Performance - Revenue growth has been negative at -4.7% over the last twelve months, with a 3.0% average over the last three years, suggesting a focus on margin and value rather than growth [7] - Lennar's operating margin has averaged nearly 13.6% over the past three years, indicating strong profitability [7] - The stock is trading at a price-to-earnings (PE) multiple of 11.7, reflecting a modest valuation despite favorable fundamentals [7] Market Strategy - The average forward returns for Lennar's stock are projected at 12.7% for 6 months and 25.8% for 12 months, with a win rate exceeding 70% for both intervals, demonstrating the effectiveness of the investment strategy [8] - The Trefis High Quality Portfolio, which includes Lennar, has a history of outperforming benchmark indices, indicating a robust investment strategy [11]