Core Viewpoint - Vistra plans to report its fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial and operating results on February 26, 2026, during a live conference call and webcast [1] Group 1: Financial Reporting - The financial results will be discussed in a live conference call and webcast starting at 10 a.m. ET (9 a.m. CT) [1] - Participants can access the live webcast via Vistra's website under "Investor Relations" and "Events & Presentations" [2] - A replay of the webcast will be available on Vistra's website for one year following the call [2] Group 2: Company Overview - Vistra is a leading Fortune 500 integrated retail electricity and power generation company based in Irving, Texas [3] - The company provides essential resources to customers, businesses, and communities from California to Maine [3] - Vistra focuses on reliability, affordability, and sustainability while operating a diverse power generation fleet including natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities [3]

Company Overview - Vistra Corp. has a market cap of $53.1 billion and is a Fortune 500 integrated retail electricity and power generation company based in Irving, Texas, serving approximately 5 million customers across various segments [1] Financial Performance - Analysts expect Vistra to report an EPS of $2.45 for fiscal Q4 2025, representing a 114.9% increase from $1.14 in the same quarter last year [2] - For fiscal 2025, the anticipated EPS is $5.16, a decline of 26.3% from $7 in fiscal 2024, but expected to grow 65.7% year over year to $8.55 in fiscal 2026 [3] Stock Performance - VST stock has declined 13.7% over the past 52 weeks, underperforming the S&P 500 Index's 13.7% gain and the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund's 7.5% increase during the same period [4] - On January 16, shares of Vistra fell more than 7% due to pressure on power sector stocks following regulatory proposals that raised concerns about margin pressure and earnings uncertainty [5] Analyst Ratings - The consensus rating on VST stock is bullish, with a "Strong Buy" rating from 16 out of 19 analysts, and an average price target of $240.50, indicating a potential upside of 50.3% from current levels [6]

Group 1 - Vistra Corp. is recognized as one of the 15 Dividend Stocks with low payout ratios and strong upside potential [1] - Morgan Stanley analyst David Arcaro raised the price target for Vistra Corp. to $228 from $225, maintaining an Overweight rating, highlighting that utility performance will be significantly driven by data centers, with growth potential expected in 2026 [2] - S&P Global Ratings upgraded Vistra Corp. to investment grade, indicating a positive shift in the company's perception since its spinoff from Energy Future Holdings Corp. nearly a decade ago [3] Group 2 - Approximately 35% of Vistra's generation capacity is located within the PJM Interconnection grid, which is experiencing strong demand from data centers, and about 96% of the expected generation for 2026 is hedged against fluctuating wholesale power prices [4] - Vistra's shares have more than quadrupled since the beginning of last year, reflecting increased investor interest driven by the demand for power plants that support energy-intensive data centers [4] - Vistra operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company, supplying essential power resources to customers [5]

Core Viewpoint - Vistra Corp. is recognized as a promising investment in the AI sector, with KeyBanc initiating coverage with an "Overweight" rating and a price target of $217.00, reflecting a positive outlook on US power markets driven by Vistra's diversified assets and strong cash flow [1][4]. Group 1: Company Positioning - Analyst Sophie Karp highlights that Vistra's scale, diversified generation mix, and strong cash flow provide resilience and growth options in a tightening U.S. power market [2]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the long-term growth phase in the US power market, driven by AI data centers, industrial reshoring, and electrification [2][4]. - Vistra's dispatchable generation assets and strategic partnerships with major hyperscalers like Amazon and Microsoft enhance its ability to capitalize on increasing demand [3]. Group 2: Market Trends and Policy Support - The favorable policy environment prioritizing reliability and energy security further strengthens Vistra's portfolio value [3]. - The company is expected to maintain financial flexibility while funding growth initiatives, positioning it advantageously in the evolving market landscape [3][4]. - The base case analysis excludes potential upside from initiatives such as battery storage or hyperscale partnerships, which could unlock additional value if executed successfully [4].

Core Insights - Vistra Corp. reported a revenue of $4.97 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, reflecting a decline of 20.9% year-over-year [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) was $1.75, significantly lower than the $5.25 reported in the same quarter last year [1] - The revenue fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $7 billion, resulting in a surprise of -28.96% [1] - The company achieved an EPS surprise of +45.83%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $1.20 [1] Performance Metrics - Total retail electricity sales volumes reached 40,062 GWh, exceeding the average estimate of 39,366.82 GWh from two analysts [4] - Adjusted EBITDA for Retail was reported at $37 million, below the average estimate of $106.78 million from two analysts [4] - Adjusted EBITDA for Texas was $784 million, surpassing the average estimate of $730.17 million from two analysts [4] - Adjusted EBITDA for Corporate and Other was -$22 million, better than the average estimate of -$37.41 million from two analysts [4] - Adjusted EBITDA for West was $63 million, exceeding the average estimate of $37.27 million from two analysts [4] - Adjusted EBITDA for East was $719 million, above the average estimate of $634.78 million from two analysts [4] Stock Performance - Vistra's shares have returned -12.1% over the past month, compared to a -0.2% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Core Viewpoint - Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) is highlighted as a significant AI stock to watch, with Wells Fargo initiating coverage with an "Overweight" rating and a price target of $238, indicating strong positioning in the utility and energy sector [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - Vistra Corp. operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company, focusing on independent power production (IPP) [2]. - The company is compared to Constellation Energy (CEG), suggesting a similar investment narrative but with a longer catalyst path for Vistra [2]. Group 2: Investment Perspective - Wells Fargo's analysis positions Vistra as a strong investment choice within the IPP sector, reflecting confidence in its growth potential [1][2]. - While acknowledging Vistra's potential, the analysis suggests that certain AI stocks may present greater upside potential and lower downside risk [3].

Core Viewpoint - Vistra has received regulatory approval from the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) for its acquisition of seven natural gas generation facilities, which is expected to close in Q4 2025 or Q1 2026 [1][3]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition, initially announced in May, will add approximately 2,600 megawatts of capacity from five combined-cycle gas turbine plants and two combustion turbine plants to Vistra's generation portfolio [2]. - The facilities are located across PJM, New England, New York, and California, enhancing Vistra's geographic footprint and reliability in serving customers [2]. Group 2: Regulatory Approvals - FERC approval was granted on October 2, 2025, and the waiting period under the Hart-Scott-Rodino Antitrust Improvements Act has expired [3]. - The transaction is still subject to approval by the New York Public Service Commission and other customary closing conditions [3]. Group 3: Company Overview - Vistra is a leading integrated retail electricity and power generation company based in Irving, Texas, focusing on reliability, affordability, and sustainability [3]. - The company operates a diverse power generation fleet, including natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities [3].

Core Insights - Vistra plans to report its third quarter 2025 financial and operating results on November 6, 2025, during a live conference call and webcast [1] - The company is a leading integrated retail electricity and power generation firm, focusing on reliability, affordability, and sustainability [3] Financial Reporting - The third quarter 2025 results will be discussed in a live conference call starting at 10 a.m. ET [1] - A replay of the webcast will be available on Vistra's website for one year following the call [2] Company Overview - Vistra is based in Irving, Texas, and operates a diverse power generation fleet including natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities [3] - The company emphasizes a customer-centric approach in its retail business [3] Recent Financial Activities - Vistra announced a private offering of $2 billion in senior secured notes [4] - The offering includes notes due in 2028 and 2030 [5]

Core Insights - NRG Energy, Inc. reported mixed earnings for Q2 2025, with adjusted earnings per share of $1.73, an 8% increase from the previous year, but investors were not particularly impressed despite management's positive outlook [2][3] - The company achieved $909 million in adjusted EBITDA and $339 million in net income for the quarter, although these results were lower than the prior-year quarter [3] - NRG's overall EBITDA for the first half of the year was $2.035 billion, reflecting an 11% increase year-over-year [3] Business Developments - NRG's management highlighted new power agreements with data centers and the expansion of its virtual power plant as significant drivers for future growth [2] - The company has long-term data center contracts set to commence in 2026, with expansion potential of up to 1 GW [4] - The Texas Virtual Power Plant exceeded expectations, with a new goal of 150 MW for 2025 and long-term targets of 650 MW by 2030 and 1,000 MW by 2035 [4] Financial Performance - The first half of the year was strong for NRG, and the company believes it is on track to meet the higher end of its 2025 goals despite facing some challenges in Q2 [2][3] - The weaker performance in Q2 was attributed to the loss of Airtron's earnings, the ending of the Cottonwood lease, the closure of Indian River Unit 4, and increased pay costs [3]

Core Viewpoint - Vistra announced the dual listing of its common stock on NYSE Texas, effective August 19, 2025, enhancing its presence in the financial market [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - Vistra is a leading integrated retail electricity and power generation company based in Irving, Texas, providing essential resources across the United States from California to Maine [4]. - The company operates a diverse power generation fleet, including natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities, focusing on reliability, affordability, and sustainability [4]. Group 2: Strategic Moves - Vistra has become a Founding Member of NYSE Texas, reflecting its long-standing Texas roots dating back to 1882 [2]. - The company will continue to trade under the ticker symbol "VST" on both NYSE and NYSE Texas, maintaining its primary exchange on NYSE [3]. Group 3: Industry Context - The establishment of NYSE Texas aims to position Texas as a leading global financial hub, aligning with Vistra's commitment to the state's economic growth [2]. - The dual listing is expected to enhance Vistra's visibility and accessibility to investors, further solidifying its market position [1][3].