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Harley-Davidson(HOG) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-30 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated revenue for Q2 decreased by 19%, primarily due to a planned reduction in motorcycle shipments and soft demand [10][26] - Consolidated operating income was $112 million, reflecting a 69% decline at HDMC [27] - Earnings per share for Q2 was $0.88, with global retail sales down 15% year over year [27][28] - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q2 were $1.6 billion, down $261 million from the previous year [47][48] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - HDMC revenue decreased by 23% in Q2, driven by a 28% decline in motorcycle shipments [34] - HDFS revenue was $257 million, a decrease of 2%, while operating income was $70 million, also down 2% [43][44] - LiveWire reported an operating loss of $19 million, an improvement from a $28 million loss in the prior year [46] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North American retail sales were down 17%, while international markets saw a 12% decline [27][28] - In Asia Pacific, retail sales decreased by 21% due to intense competition [31] - The U.S. cruiser category experienced a 6% volume growth, increasing market share to 53% [32] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company entered strategic partnerships with KKR and PIMCO for HDFS, enhancing flexibility and reducing overall leverage [4][6] - Plans to reduce debt by $450 million and accelerate a $1 billion share buyback program [9][50] - Introduction of new entry-level products and a small displacement motorcycle targeting a price below $6,000 [20][19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted ongoing economic uncertainty and elevated interest rates impacting customer purchasing behavior [10][11] - There is cautious optimism regarding future trade agreements that may mitigate operational impacts [14] - Management expects a significant improvement in retail performance in July, with positive trends anticipated for the remainder of the year [67][68] Other Important Information - The company plans to implement a new efficiency program leveraging technology, including AI, to drive cost savings [11] - The global tariff environment remains uncertain, with an estimated full-year impact from tariffs projected between $50 million and $85 million [42] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the components used to calculate the 1.75 times book value marker for the HDFS transaction? - The calculation is based on the proceeds from KKR and PIMCO's equity investment relative to the post-transaction book value of HDFS [52][54] Question: What is driving the underlying profitability of HDFS, and what is the normalized profitability expected in 2026? - The profitability has improved due to stabilization in used values and better repossession rates, with normalized earnings expected to be around $240 million to $250 million annually [56][65] Question: How does the company feel about current dealer inventories and the target for year-end? - The company expects a significant reduction in dealer inventory, targeting a double-digit decline by year-end [73] Question: Why was the 4.9% equity sale the right level, and are there any tax ramifications? - The 4.9% limit is due to regulatory requirements from the FDIC, and the $1.25 billion figure is a pretax amount [78][82] Question: Is there any guarantee of growth in retail sales or receivables associated with the HDFS transaction? - There are no guarantees regarding growth rates or loss levels associated with the transaction [89]