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Why The Market Is Missing Robinhood's High-Margin Makeover
Forbes· 2026-02-26 10:15
Core Viewpoint - Robinhood's stock has faced a significant decline of approximately 37% year-to-date in 2026, following a strong performance in 2025 where the stock price nearly tripled. This downturn is attributed to a revenue miss in Q4 and a nearly 50% drop in Bitcoin prices, impacting cryptocurrency transaction revenue by 38% compared to the previous year. However, there is a fundamental shift in the company's strategy that may present a long-term investment opportunity [2][3]. Revenue Model Transformation - Robinhood is working to change its image from a "casino-style" trading app to a stable financial powerhouse by focusing on subscription services and integrated wealth management, which is expected to create a more stable revenue model [3]. - Recurring revenue constituted nearly 40% of total sales in Q4 2025, an increase from 33% the previous year, indicating a shift towards more predictable income streams [4]. Subscription Services - The Robinhood Gold subscription, priced at $5 per month or $50 annually, is a key component of the company's recurring revenue, generating around $50 million in Q4 2025 and projected to reach approximately $250 million in annual recurring revenue by early 2026. This subscription offers various benefits, including a 5% APY on uninvested cash and a 3% IRA contribution match, which enhances user retention [5]. Wealth Transfer Opportunity - The anticipated Great Wealth Transfer, estimated at $84 trillion over the next two decades from Baby Boomers to Millennials and Gen Z, presents a significant long-term opportunity for Robinhood. The company aims to capture this wealth by expanding into comprehensive wealth management services [6]. - Robinhood's managed portfolio service offers a competitive advisory fee of 0.25% for Gold members, significantly lower than traditional models, appealing to younger investors who prioritize intuitive design and transparency [6]. Non-Transaction Revenue - Interest income remains a crucial component of Robinhood's non-transaction revenue, which increased to $411 million in Q4 from $296 million the previous year. This revenue is supported by the platform's total assets exceeding $320 billion and is driven by margin lending, cash sweep balances, Gold Card interchange fees, and stock lending [7].
Robinhood Markets, Inc. to Present at the Citizens Technology Conference on March 2, 2026
Globenewswire· 2026-02-23 21:05
MENLO PARK, Calif., Feb. 23, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Robinhood Markets, Inc. (“Robinhood”) (NASDAQ: HOOD) today announced that it will be participating in the upcoming Citizens Technology Conference on Monday, March 2, 2026. Robinhood’s Chief Financial Officer Shiv Verma is scheduled to present on Monday, March 2, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET / 11:00 AM PT. Interested parties may access a live audio webcast of the presentation by visiting investors.robinhood.com. Following the presentation, a recording will be avai ...
Robinhood Markets, Inc. Reports January 2026 Operating Data
Globenewswire· 2026-02-19 21:05
MENLO PARK, Calif., Feb. 19, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Robinhood Markets, Inc. (“Robinhood”) (NASDAQ: HOOD) today reported select monthly operating data for January 2026. Funded Customers at the end of January were 27.2 million (up approximately 190 thousand from the end of December 2025, up approximately 1.75 million year-over-year).Total Platform Assets at the end of January were $324 billion (up 1% from the end of December 20251, up 59% year-over-year).Net Deposits were $4.5 billion in January, or a 17% a ...
3 Things Robinhood Must Prove in 2026
The Motley Fool· 2026-02-16 07:05
Core Insights - Robinhood demonstrated its ability to operate profitably at scale in 2025, achieving improved profitability, diversified revenue, and inclusion in the S&P 500, marking a significant credibility milestone [1] - The focus for 2026 shifts from growth to stabilization, integration, and disciplined scaling, with three key areas for investors to monitor closely [1] Group 1: Revenue Stability - Recurring revenue must continue to scale, as transaction revenue accounted for 60% of total revenue in Q4 2025, indicating a need for a more balanced revenue mix [3][4] - Growth in Robinhood Gold subscriptions, stability in interest income, and monetization of card and cash management are critical for reducing reliance on transaction-based revenue [4] Group 2: Earnings Volatility - Earnings volatility must decline, as quarterly results are still influenced by crypto and options activity; predictability is essential for a company now in the S&P 500 [5][6] - Markets favor stability over volatility, and a reduction in dependence on short-term trading enthusiasm could enhance Robinhood's valuation profile [5] Group 3: Product Ecosystem - Product expansion must translate into ecosystem depth, with a focus on integrating new features to reinforce each other rather than merely launching new products [7] - The success of Robinhood in 2026 will depend on how well new products enhance the overall stickiness of the platform, increasing customer lifetime value [8] Group 4: Investor Implications - 2026 will be a critical year for Robinhood to transition from momentum-driven growth to disciplined compounding, with key metrics including recurring revenue expansion, reduced volatility, and strengthened ecosystem depth [9][10] - Investors should monitor smaller quarter-to-quarter revenue swings, stable operating margins, and consistent net income even in a cooling trading environment [10][11]
The 1 Stock I'd Buy Before Interactive Brokers Group Right Now
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-15 16:05
Group 1: Interactive Brokers Performance - Interactive Brokers experienced a strong performance in 2025, with its stock price increasing over 45% [1] - The firm allows investors to trade in various asset classes, including stocks, options, and cryptocurrencies, through a single brokerage account [1] - Interactive Brokers is recognized for offering relatively low interest rates on margin loans, which enhances trading opportunities for investors [1] Group 2: Robinhood's Growth and Financial Performance - Robinhood Markets is growing at a faster rate than Interactive Brokers, with a significant increase in profit margins [2] - The company doubled its revenue in Q3 2025, indicating strong financial growth [2] - Transaction-based revenue for Robinhood surged by 129% year over year, while net interest revenue rose by 66% as more customers utilized margin [4] Group 3: Customer Base and User Engagement - Robinhood added approximately 2.5 million new users in Q3, bringing the total number of funded customers to 26.8 million [6] - The average revenue per user (ARPU) increased by 82% year over year, driven by heightened trading activity and successful expansion into prediction markets [7] - The growth in customer base and ARPU suggests potential for continued gains for Robinhood [6][7] Group 4: Overall Profitability - Robinhood reported a remarkable 271% year-over-year increase in overall profits, indicating sustainable growth [5] - The success of innovative products, including Robinhood Gold, contributed to the doubling of the "Other revenues" segment [4][5]
Robinhood Stumbles on Crypto Woes. Should Investors Buy the Stock on the Dip?
The Motley Fool· 2026-02-13 10:00
Core Viewpoint - Robinhood Markets has experienced a significant decline in share price, losing over a third of its value in 2026 due to Q4 revenue falling short of expectations [1] Financial Performance - Q4 revenue increased by 27% to $1.28 billion, but was below the $1.35 billion analyst estimate [2] - Transaction revenue rose by 15% to $776 million, with options revenue soaring 41% to $314 million and equity revenue climbing 54% to $94 million [3] - Cryptocurrency revenue fell sharply by 38% to $221 million, while net interest revenue jumped 39% to $411 million [3] - Total platform assets surged 68% to $324 billion [3] Growth Prospects - The company aims for at least 20% net deposit growth in 2026 and targets $1 trillion in assets in the coming years [4] - Robinhood has launched a banking product with over $400 million in assets and 25,000 funded customers, offering 3.5% interest on deposits [5] - The predictions market is also a focus, with volumes doubling in Q4, reaching a $300 million annual run rate [6] Investment Consideration - Despite challenges in cryptocurrency revenue, the stock is considered attractively valued with a forward P/E ratio of about 29 times based on 2026 estimates, suggesting a potential buying opportunity [8][9]
Here's Why Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) is a Strong Growth Stock
ZACKS· 2026-02-12 15:46
Core Insights - Zacks Premium provides various tools for investors to enhance their stock market engagement and confidence [1][2] Zacks Style Scores - Zacks Style Scores are indicators that assist investors in selecting stocks likely to outperform the market within 30 days, rated from A to F based on value, growth, and momentum characteristics [3] - The Value Score focuses on identifying undervalued stocks using financial ratios like P/E and Price/Sales [4] - The Growth Score evaluates a company's financial health and future outlook, analyzing projected earnings and sales for sustainable growth [5] - The Momentum Score capitalizes on price trends, using factors like weekly price changes to identify high-momentum stocks [6] - The VGM Score combines all three Style Scores, providing a comprehensive rating based on value, growth, and momentum [7] Zacks Rank and Style Scores Interaction - The Zacks Rank, based on earnings estimate revisions, has shown a strong historical performance, with 1 (Strong Buy) stocks yielding an average annual return of +23.83% since 1988, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [8] - There are over 800 stocks rated, making it essential to utilize Style Scores to narrow down choices [9] - For optimal returns, stocks with a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 and Style Scores of A or B are recommended [10] - Stocks rated 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell) should be avoided, even if they have high Style Scores, due to their declining earnings forecasts [11] Company Spotlight: Robinhood Markets, Inc. - Robinhood Markets, Inc. is a financial services company offering commission-free trading in various financial instruments, aiming to democratize finance [12] - Currently rated 3 (Hold) by Zacks, Robinhood has a VGM Score of B and a Growth Style Score of A, indicating strong growth potential with a forecasted year-over-year earnings growth of 21% [13] - The company has seen positive revisions in earnings estimates, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing by $0.16 to $2.48 per share for fiscal 2026 [13] - With a solid Zacks Rank and favorable Style Scores, Robinhood is positioned as a potential investment opportunity [14]
Robinhood Q4 Earnings Beat, Stock Slides 8.3% on Crypto Weakness
ZACKS· 2026-02-11 16:56
Core Insights - Robinhood Markets Inc. reported fourth-quarter 2025 earnings per share of 66 cents, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 63 cents, and up from adjusted earnings of 54 cents in the prior-year quarter [1] - Despite the earnings beat, HOOD stock fell 8.3% in after-hours trading due to weak cryptocurrency trading, a decline in Monthly Active Users (MAU), and increased expenses [1][8] Financial Performance - The company's net income for the fourth quarter was $605 million, a decrease of 34% year over year, influenced by a one-time benefit in the prior year [2] - Total net revenues for the fourth quarter rose 26.5% year over year to $1.28 billion, although it fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.34 billion [4] - For the full year 2025, earnings were $2.05 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.03, and represented an 88.1% increase from the previous year's adjusted earnings [3] Revenue Breakdown - Transaction-based revenues increased by 15.5% year over year to $776 million, driven by significant growth in options revenues (41%) and equities revenues (54%), despite lower cryptocurrency revenues [5] - Net interest revenues rose 39% to $411 million, attributed to a higher balance of interest-earning assets and securities lending activity [5] - Other revenues surged to $96 million, primarily due to a 58% increase in Robinhood Gold subscription revenues, with subscribers reaching 4.2 million [6] Operating Expenses - Total operating expenses for the quarter were $633 million, up 38.2% year over year, with adjusted operating expenses increasing by 20.9% to $521 million [6] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $761 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 24.1% [6] Business Metrics - As of December 31, 2025, total platform assets increased by 68% year over year to $324 billion, driven by net deposits and higher equity valuations [7] - Equity Notional Trading Volumes reached a record $710 billion, up 68% year over year, while options contracts traded rose by 38% to 659 million [8] Share Repurchase - In the reported quarter, the company repurchased nearly 0.8 million shares for $100 million [9] Outlook - For 2026, Robinhood anticipates combined adjusted operating expenses and share-based compensation to be in the range of $2.60-$2.73 billion, including costs related to Bitstamp [10]
ETFs to Watch as HOOD Shares Fall 7% Following Q4 Revenue Miss
ZACKS· 2026-02-11 16:02
Core Insights - Robinhood Markets (HOOD) shares fell 7% in after-hours trading due to a revenue miss in Q4 2025, despite surpassing earnings estimates [1] - The recent decline in share price may provide an attractive entry point for investors as the company aims to evolve into a global financial super-app [2] Financial Performance - HOOD's Q4 earnings exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.8%, while revenues fell short by 4% [6] - Year-over-year, the company achieved double-digit revenue growth, with total Platform Assets increasing by 68% [6] - Robinhood Gold Subscribers rose by 58% year-over-year, reaching 4.2 million [6] Business Diversification and Growth Strategy - The company reported a 39% increase in interest-earning assets, driven by growth in its cash sweep program, margin, and credit card loan book [7] - By the end of 2025, HOOD had 11 businesses generating over $100 million in annualized revenues, with new initiatives like Robinhood Legend and the Gold Card in development [8] - The company plans to accelerate product velocity in 2026, targeting over 20% net deposit growth and the rollout of Robinhood Social to initial customers [9] Investment Opportunities - For investors seeking exposure to HOOD while mitigating single-stock risks, Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) with significant holdings in the company are recommended [4] - Notable ETFs include: - First Trust SkyBridge Crypto Industry and Digital Economy ETF (CRPT), which has 7.39% of its assets in HOOD [11] - ARK Blockchain & Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF), with HOOD representing 4.20% of the fund [12] - ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), where HOOD accounts for 3.95% of the fund [13]
Robinhood Stock Down 8% As Crypto Revenue Plunges 38% - Robinhood Markets (NASDAQ:HOOD)
Benzinga· 2026-02-11 13:02
Core Insights - Robinhood's crypto revenue decreased by 38% to $221 million in Q4, contributing to an 8% drop in premarket trading [1][2] - Total revenue rose 27% to a record $1.28 billion in Q4, but the decline in crypto revenue negatively impacted overall performance [2] - Trading volumes on the Robinhood app fell 52% year-over-year, indicating weaker retail participation [2] Revenue Breakdown - Cryptocurrency transaction revenue fell 38% year-over-year to $221 million, down from $268 million in Q3 [2] - Options revenue increased by 41% to $314 million, while equities trading rose 54% to $94 million [3] - Net interest revenue surged by 39% to $411 million, and Robinhood Gold subscribers grew by 58% to 4.2 million [3] Market Performance - HOOD closed at $85.60 and is trading 8% down in premarket, breaking below all moving averages [4] - Critical support is now at $70-$75, with premarket trading near $78 testing the upper end of this range [4] - The RSI at 34.68 indicates a trend towards oversold conditions, confirming downside momentum [5] Strategic Developments - Robinhood's General Manager noted a shift in customer behavior, with users "buying the dip" and growing portfolios [6] - The company is focusing on passing stablecoin yields to consumers while ensuring they are informed about associated risks [6] - Robinhood announced the launch of Robinhood Chain, an Ethereum Layer-2 for trading tokenized stocks and ETFs, expected to be fully operational by late 2026 [7]