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2026 年半导体展望-2026 年人工智能加速器模型的更新
2025-09-04 01:53
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry and Company Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the semiconductor industry, focusing on companies such as nVidia, Broadcom, and MediaTek, with an emphasis on AI accelerator models and TPU projects. Core Insights and Arguments nVidia's Rubin Chip - nVidia's new Rubin chip is expected to launch in the second half of 2026, although the timing may be later than market expectations [2] - The compute power of the Rubin chip is projected to increase to 2300w from 1800w, leading to potential upgrades in specifications and components [2] - The adoption of Jentech's Micro channel lid is anticipated to occur earlier than expected, with an ASP for this component estimated to be 3-4 times higher than current solutions [2] - Chip testing for the Rubin chip is expected to increase, with a projected growth of 70-80% in chip testing dollar content compared to the previous BW chip [2] Broadcom's CoWoS Allocation - Broadcom has revised its 2026 CoWoS allocation to 180k, aligning with previous positive forecasts [3] - The company is expected to see strong TPU momentum in the second half of 2025 and the first half of 2026, but a slowdown is anticipated in the second half of 2026 due to MediaTek's TPU project entering mass production [3] - The ASP for the V7 TPU is expected to reach US$10-12k, while the V6e is around US$4-5k [3] MediaTek's TPU Project - MediaTek is on track to achieve its US$1 billion revenue target for the TPU project in 2026, which includes NRE revenue [4] - The ASIC revenue from this project is likely to exceed earlier estimates of US$500-600 million [4] Additional Important Information - The conference highlights the competitive landscape in the semiconductor industry, particularly regarding AI accelerators and TPU projects, indicating a dynamic environment with significant growth potential [2][3][4] - The insights provided suggest a positive outlook for companies involved in the supply chain of nVidia's Rubin chip, particularly KYEC and Advantest, due to increased testing requirements [2] - The overall sentiment in the semiconductor sector appears optimistic, with expectations of continued growth driven by advancements in AI technology and related hardware [3][4]