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半导体与半导体生产设备行业周报、月报:美国加征进口关税,半导体板块行情承压-2025-04-07
Guoyuan Securities· 2025-04-07 10:51
Investment Rating - Maintain recommendation for the semiconductor and semiconductor production equipment industry [6] Core Insights - The semiconductor sector is under pressure due to the U.S. imposing additional tariffs, particularly affecting the AI chip market, with a total tariff rate of 54% on imports from China [2][11] - The semiconductor market is projected to see a significant revenue increase of approximately 25% in 2024, reaching $683 billion, driven by strong demand for AI-related chips [3][33] - The performance of various semiconductor indices has been declining, with notable drops in AI chip indices and related companies [2][11] Market Indices Summary - The overseas AI chip index fell by 13.6% this week, while the domestic AI chip index decreased by 1.6%, with major companies like SMIC and Changdian Technology seeing declines over 4% [2][11] - The NVIDIA mapping index dropped by 5.0%, influenced by NVIDIA's stock decline, affecting the entire supply chain [2][14] - The server ODM index decreased by 3.0%, with Supermicro experiencing a nearly 13% drop, while Quanta saw a rise of nearly 22% [2][14] - The storage chip index fell by 2.6%, with companies like Shannon Microelectronics and Dongxin Technology dropping over 6% [2][14] - The power semiconductor index saw a minor decline of 0.5%, with the domestic fruit chain index down by 8.6% and the Hong Kong fruit chain index down by 9.6% [2][22] Industry Data Summary - NVIDIA is set to launch several new data center products, with the GB200 NVL72 cabinet already in production and future models planned for 2026 and 2027 [3][27] - The monthly shipment of laptops in February 2025 saw only a 7% increase month-on-month, reflecting a year-on-year decline compared to February 2024 [3][30] - The semiconductor market is expected to achieve record revenues in 2024, largely due to the demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) used in AI GPUs, which is projected to grow at a rate of 74% [3][33] Major Events Summary - Lens Technology submitted an application for issuing H shares, not exceeding 7% of the total share capital post-issue [4][38] - Huawei reported a revenue of 862.1 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 22.42%, while net profit decreased by 28.05% [4][40] - AAC Technologies achieved a revenue of 27.33 billion yuan in 2024, a 33.8% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin improvement [4][41] - OFILM reported a revenue of 20.437 billion yuan for 2024, up 21.19% year-on-year, but net profit decreased by 24.09% [4][42] - Meta is set to launch a new smart glasses product priced over $1,000, expected to debut by the end of the year [4][42]