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Buy The Dip On Rubrik Stock?
Forbesยท 2025-09-17 12:05
Core Insights - Rubrik, a cloud data management and cybersecurity company, has seen a 12% decline in stock price despite reporting strong earnings, attributed to investor concerns over modest forward guidance relative to high valuation [3][4] - The company reported a 51.2% year-over-year revenue increase in Q2, with subscription revenue run rate exceeding $1.25 billion, reflecting a 36% year-on-year growth [4] - Rubrik's anticipated Q3 revenue is projected between $319 million and $321 million, with a full-year forecast of $1.227 billion to $1.237 billion [4] Company Performance - Rubrik's cloud-native SaaS platform, Rubrik Security Cloud, integrates various data protection solutions, positioning the company to benefit from increasing cyber threats and ransomware attacks [5] - The adoption of cloud and multi-cloud technologies is driving demand for Rubrik's scalable security software, which outperforms traditional solutions [6] - AI-driven security features in Rubrik's platform enhance its capability to address emerging threats [7] Regulatory Environment - Stricter global data protection laws, such as GDPR and HIPAA, are pushing businesses to invest in compliance and security solutions, reinforcing Rubrik's market position [8] Financial Fundamentals - Rubrik's valuation remains high with a price-to-sales ratio of 14x compared to 3.2 for the S&P 500, and a negative P/E ratio due to ongoing losses [9] - Revenue growth is strong, with a 48% increase over the past year, while profitability remains a challenge with negative operating and net margins [9] - The company has generated $211 million in operating cash flow, indicating a cash flow margin of 19.5%, and maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 7.5% [9]
Rubrik, Inc.(RBRK) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-06-05 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Subscription ARR reached approximately $1,200 million, growing 38% year over year [6][30] - Subscription revenue was $266 million, growing 54% year over year [6][32] - Free cash flow was over $33 million, a significant improvement from negative $37 million in the same quarter last year [7][36] - Non-GAAP gross margin was 80.5%, up from 75.4% year over year [33] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net new subscription ARR reached $89 million in the first quarter [6][30] - Subscription NRR remained strong above 120% [6][32] - Customers with $100k or more in subscription ARR reached 2,381, growing 28% year over year [6][32] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue from the Americas grew 51% to $203 million, while revenue from outside the Americas grew 43% to $75 million [33] - Cloud ARR reached $972 million, up 60% [30] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on cyber resilience as a top cybersecurity priority, with a unique platform that combines data and identity security [9][10] - Rubrik aims to innovate continuously across data security and AI, leveraging a portfolio approach to manage innovations [11][14] - The company is expanding its offerings in identity resilience, which is seen as a significant growth opportunity [22][23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the strength of the cyber resilience market and the demand for their differentiated offerings [37][76] - The company raised its guidance for the year, anticipating strong subscription ARR growth [39][40] Other Important Information - The company has a strong cash position with $762 million in cash and equivalents and $323 million in debt [36] - The company is investing in R&D to drive innovation in data security and AI [37] Q&A Session Summary Question: How long is the runway for the shift from legacy to next-gen solutions? - Management indicated that the shift is expanding the total addressable market (TAM) due to the rise in identity-based attacks and the need for comprehensive cyber resilience [46][48] Question: What is happening to sales cycles and awareness of Rubrik's capabilities? - Management noted that the current market environment is pushing enterprises to modernize their infrastructure, which is benefiting Rubrik's offerings [54][56] Question: How is the demand environment characterized? - Management stated that cyber resilience is a top priority for CIOs and CSOs, and they are not seeing any change in demand [75][76] Question: What is the size of the identity resilience opportunity? - Management emphasized that identity security is a critical component of their strategy, and they are seeing great momentum in this area [63][65] Question: What are the technical advantages Rubrik brings to identity security? - Management highlighted the unique ability to combine identity and data security, enabling faster recovery times and preventing malware reintroduction [114][115]