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NVDA Bearish Traction, AVGO & AMD Outperform in 2025
Youtube· 2025-12-15 21:01
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia is maintaining a strong market position with a bullish outlook from Bernstein, which has reiterated its outperform rating and set a price target of $275, citing Nvidia's technological advantage over Google's TPU efforts in AI and cloud infrastructure [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Nvidia's stock has outperformed the S&P 500, rising approximately 34% compared to the S&P's 12% increase [2]. - However, Nvidia has underperformed relative to the SMH Semiconductor ETF, which has increased by nearly 40% [3]. - Despite being a laggard compared to peers like Broadcom, AMD, and Intel, Nvidia is still outperforming Qualcomm [3]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - Current price activity suggests a potential head and shoulders pattern, indicating a bearish outlook, with a neckline around the 173-174 level [7]. - A supportive zone is identified between 165 and 171, which could be critical for future price movements [8]. - The downward trend line remains intact, with a recent high at 188 serving as a key resistance level [9]. Group 3: Momentum and Volume - Momentum indicators show a downward trend after a brief overbought condition, suggesting a bearish outlook [10]. - Moving averages are clustered around 180, indicating a potential breakout point [11]. - The volume profile indicates significant trading activity around the current price level of approximately 178.64, marking an important area for bulls to maintain [12][13]. Group 4: Options Activity - Options activity for Nvidia is lighter than average, with about 1.5 million contracts traded, indicating a quieter trading day [14]. - Open interest stands at around 20 million, with significant activity expected in the upcoming month [15]. - A notable large trade involved 7,500 December 26 puts at a $33.45 debit, amounting to a $25 million transaction [16].