Summary of Key Takeaways from the JPM China Opportunity Forum Industry Overview - **Industry**: Healthcare - **Event**: JPM China Opportunity Forum held on January 21-22 Core Company Insights Hansoh Pharma - **Revenue Growth**: Innovative drugs are projected to drive total revenue growth, with their share expected to exceed 80% by FY25 [4] - **Product Pipeline**: Management aims to launch over 20 innovative medicines with more than 40 approved indications by 2030, indicating a sustainable growth trajectory [4] - **Key Product**: Almonertinib (AMEILE) is anticipated to contribute over 50% of innovative drug revenue by 2025, with peak sales estimates raised to RMB 8 billion by 2030 [4] - **Clinical Focus**: The 2026 strategy includes promoting newly approved adjuvant therapy and chemotherapy combinations for first-line non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), despite no inclusion in the National Reimbursement Drug List (NRDL) [4] Duality (Not Covered) - **Upcoming Events**: Key data updates expected from DB-1311 (B7H3) in late February, with additional readouts planned for 2026 [4] - **Financial Expectations**: Management anticipates milestone inflows of approximately USD 200 million in 2025-26 [4] - **Strategic Focus**: The company emphasizes a combo-first strategy and differentiated attributes of its antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) platform [4] Aier Eye - **Operational Normalization**: Management noted a gradual normalization in core operations, with average selling prices (ASP) stabilizing and selective demand recovery shaping the 2026 outlook [4] - **Cataract Market**: ASPs for cataracts decreased by approximately 7-8% year-over-year in the first nine months of 2025, with no immediate recovery expected [4] - **Self-Pay Growth**: Self-pay premium offerings, such as femtosecond cataract procedures, showed strong growth of over 20% year-over-year in 9M25 [5] Shenzhen New Industries (Not Covered) - **Growth Projections**: Management expects domestic revenue growth of 5-10% and overseas growth of 20-25% in 2026, driven by market share gains [5] - **ASP Erosion**: The guidance assumes only modest further ASP erosion, with expectations of a decline of less than 5% [5] - **Key Growth Drivers**: Continued share capture in tertiary-hospital replacements and integrated automation line deployments are highlighted as key growth drivers [5] Additional Insights - **Market Conditions**: The overall industry is facing pressure from domestic demand weakness tied to controlled medical insurance expense budgets, impacting test volumes [5] - **Overseas Operations**: Overseas markets, particularly in Europe, are expected to contribute positively to revenue growth, with a projected share of over 12% in FY25 [5] This summary encapsulates the critical insights and projections from the JPM China Opportunity Forum, focusing on the healthcare sector and specific companies within it.

Investment Rating - The report assigns a Neutral rating to Aier Eye Hospital with a 12-month target price of Rmb14, indicating a potential upside of 12.9% from the current price of Rmb12.4 [10][8]. Core Insights - Aier Eye Hospital is experiencing improvements in refractive surgery pricing due to new technologies, with a forecast of double-digit revenue growth for 2025 [2][7]. - The company anticipates a recovery in cataract surgery revenue growth to double digits in the second half of 2025, following price cuts of approximately 8-10% since the second half of 2024 [9][7]. - The overall ophthalmology market in China is expected to grow at a 12% CAGR from 2020 to 2030, driven by increased service upgrades and market penetration [7]. Summary by Sections Recent Trends - Growth in refractive surgeries slowed in April and May after a busy first quarter, but June showed improvement due to an increase in average selling prices (ASP) from new technologies [3]. - Cataract surgeries faced volume declines due to tightening reimbursement policies, while optometry performance remained moderate [3]. Refractive Surgery Pricing - New technologies such as SMILE 4.0 and SMILE pro have been launched, with SMILE 4.0 contributing 12% of refractive surgery revenue in Q1 2025 [3][6]. - The ASP for SMILE 4.0 is around Rmb18,800, with approximately 100 installations [3]. Cataract Surgery Outlook - The company expects cataract surgery revenue growth to recover to double digits in H2 2025, as the lower prices from H2 2024 are now reflected [9]. - Premium cataract surgeries accounted for 45%-50% of total cataract surgeries as of Q1 2025, with 15% of revenue coming from femtosecond laser-assisted surgeries [9]. Optometry Services - Recent pricing pressure on OK lenses was noted, particularly after public hospitals in Beijing reduced prices by 50% [9]. - The annualized cost for OK lenses is around Rmb10,000, while defocal lenses cost only Rmb2,000 to Rmb3,000 [9]. Overseas Expansion - Aier Eye Hospital is focusing on expanding its presence in South America [9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Aier Eye Hospital Group is Underweight [5][68]. Core Views - The industry view is considered Attractive, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [5][68]. - Aier Eye Hospital Group has experienced solid year-to-date growth in the refractory segment, with over 20% growth driven by improved average selling prices (ASP) and volume [3][8]. - The company plans to upgrade more SMILE 4.0 and Wavelight Plus equipment and launch ICL V5 to enhance its technology lead and drive ASP growth [3][8]. Summary by Sections Refractory Segment - The refractory segment has shown significant growth, with a 20%+ increase in 1Q25, attributed to ASP improvements and a recovery in end-demand [3][8]. - ICL procedures have also reversed the declining trend seen in 2024, contributing positively to year-over-year growth [3]. Cataract Segment - The cataract segment experienced single-digit percentage growth in 1Q25, with volume growth higher year-over-year, although blended prices continued to decline due to value-based pricing (VBP) expansion for intraocular lenses (IOLs) [4][8]. - Multi-focal lenses, which are fully paid out-of-pocket, have shown faster year-over-year growth compared to bifocal lenses, which are under VBP [4]. Financial Metrics - For the fiscal year ending December 2025, the estimated revenue is Rmb22,963 million, with an EPS of Rmb0.45 [5]. - The company is projected to have a P/E ratio of 29.1 and a return on equity (ROE) of 20.2% for the same period [5]. Market Performance - The current market capitalization of Aier Eye Hospital Group is Rmb122,575 million, with an average daily trading value of Rmb1,168 million [5]. - The stock price as of May 7, 2025, is Rmb13.14, with a price target set at Rmb11.50, indicating a potential downside of 12% [5].