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Centrus Energy Hit by Weak Uranium Sales: Recovery Ahead?
ZACKS· 2025-08-19 17:20
Core Insights - Centrus Energy (LEU) experienced a challenging second quarter in 2025, with a significant decline in its Low-Enriched Uranium (LEU) segment due to the absence of uranium sales, leading to an overall revenue drop of 18% [1][2][10] Group 1: Financial Performance - The LEU segment saw a 26% decrease in revenues and a 27% decline in sales volumes of Separative Work Units (SWU), despite a 24% increase in SWU prices, which was not enough to compensate for the volume shortfall [1][2] - In contrast, the first quarter of 2025 had shown strong performance for Centrus Energy, with LEU revenues increasing by 117% to $51.3 million, driven by a 46% rise in SWU prices and a 49% increase in sales volumes [3] - For the full year of 2024, Centrus Energy reported a total revenue increase of 30% to $349.9 million, with uranium revenues rising by 70% and SWU revenues by 19% [3] Group 2: Order Backlog and Future Prospects - As of June 30, 2025, Centrus Energy reported a backlog of $3.6 billion extending through 2040, with approximately $2.7 billion related to the LEU segment, indicating strong future revenue potential from medium and long-term contracts [4][10] - The backlog includes about $2.1 billion in contingent LEU sales commitments, reflecting a solid order pipeline despite current challenges [4] Group 3: Market Comparison - Peer company Cameco Corporation (CCJ) performed better in the second quarter, with total revenues increasing by 47% year over year to $634 million, and uranium revenues also rising by 47% to $510 million [5][6] - Cameco sold 8.7 million pounds of uranium, a 40% increase compared to the same quarter in 2024, despite a 17% decline in the average U.S. dollar spot price for uranium [6] Group 4: Stock Performance and Valuation - Centrus Energy's stock has surged by 167.6% in 2025, significantly outperforming the industry growth of 3.2%, the Basic Materials sector's rise of 14.7%, and the S&P 500's gain of 9.6% [9][10] - The company is currently trading at a forward 12-month price/sales multiple of 6.90X, which is a substantial premium compared to the industry's 2.74X [11] Group 5: Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Centrus Energy's 2025 earnings is $4.24 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 5.15%, with a further decline projected for 2026 to $3.36 per share, indicating a 20.8% decrease [12]
Centrus Energy Delivers Steady Revenue Growth: Is It Sustainable?
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 13:10
Core Insights - Centrus Energy (LEU) has achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14% in revenues from 2021 to 2024, with a notable 9% increase in 2023 and a significant 38% jump in 2024. The momentum continues into 2025, with a 67% year-over-year surge in total revenues to $73 million in Q1 [1][11]. Revenue Segments - The LEU segment, which includes revenues from sales of Separative Work Units (SWU), natural uranium hexafluoride, and uranium concentrates, remains the primary growth driver. In Q1 2025, LEU segment revenues increased by 117% to $51.3 million, driven by a 46% rise in SWU prices and a 49% increase in volumes [2][3][11]. - The Technical Solutions segment has also shown improvement, with revenues rising 8% year-over-year to $21.8 million in Q1 2025, primarily due to a $2 million increase from the HALEU Operation Contract. In 2024, this segment's revenues surged 80% to $92.1 million [4][5]. Backlog and Market Position - Centrus Energy has a revenue backlog of $3.8 billion, including long-term sales contracts with major utilities through 2040, with the LEU segment accounting for $2.8 billion of this backlog [6]. - The HALEU market is projected to grow from $0.26 billion in 2025 to $6.2 billion by 2035, and Centrus Energy holds a first-mover advantage as the only company licensed for HALEU enrichment [7]. Peer Comparison - In comparison, Cameco Corporation (CCJ) has delivered a CAGR of 24.8% in revenues from 2021 to 2024, with Q1 2025 revenues rising 17% year-over-year to CAD 789 million ($550 million). Cameco's uranium segment revenues grew by 10% [8][9]. - Energy Fuels (UUUU) reported a year-over-year revenue drop of 33.5% in Q1 2025 to $16.9 million, primarily due to the absence of uranium sales, despite a 106% increase in 2024 revenues [10][11]. Stock Performance and Valuation - Centrus Energy shares have increased by 225.1% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the industry average growth of 6.1% [13]. - The company is trading at a forward 12-month price/sales multiple of 8.21X, which is a substantial premium compared to the industry's 2.81X [14].
Centrus Energy Soars 197% YTD: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-07-11 16:41
Core Viewpoint - Centrus Energy (LEU) has experienced a significant stock surge of 196.5% year-to-date, outperforming the non-ferrous mining industry and the S&P 500 [1][6]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Centrus Energy's stock has outperformed peers such as Cameco (CCJ) with a gain of 37.8%, Energy Fuels (UUUU) with 26.9%, and Uranium Energy (UEC) which has seen a decline of 6.3% year-to-date [4][6]. - The company has been trading above both the 200-day and 50-day simple moving averages, indicating a bullish trend [7]. Group 2: Business Developments - Centrus Energy completed Phase II of its Department of Energy (DOE) HALEU contract, delivering 900 kilograms of High-Assay, Low-Enriched Uranium (HALEU) and securing a one-year extension through June 2026 [11][12]. - The company reported Q1 revenues of $73.1 million, a 67% increase year-over-year, with LEU segment sales rising 117% due to higher prices and volume [15][16]. - Centrus Energy has a robust backlog of $3.8 billion in revenue, including long-term contracts with major utilities extending through 2040 [16]. Group 3: Market Opportunity - Centrus Energy is the only source of HALEU enrichment in the Western world, with the HALEU market expected to grow from $0.26 billion in 2025 to $6.2 billion by 2035 [17][18]. - The company plans to expand production capacity in Ohio to meet domestic demand for HALEU and low-enriched uranium [18]. Group 4: Financial Metrics - Centrus Energy's total debt-to-total capital ratio stands at 0.68, which is significantly higher than Cameco's 0.13, while Energy Fuels and Uranium Energy have no debt [19]. - The company has experienced a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22.6% in revenues, but earnings growth has lagged at a CAGR of 12.6% [20]. Group 5: Valuation and Earnings Estimates - Centrus Energy is trading at a forward price/sales multiple of 7.46X, which is a premium compared to the industry average of 2.91X and its three-year median of 2.18X [27]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Centrus Energy's 2025 earnings is $3.43 per share, indicating a 23.3% year-over-year decline, with a similar decline projected for 2026 [24][25].
Centrus Reports First Quarter 2025 Results
Prnewswire· 2025-05-07 21:16
Core Viewpoint - Centrus Energy Corp reported strong financial results for Q1 2025, with significant revenue growth and a return to profitability, positioning itself favorably for future expansion in the domestic nuclear fuel market [1][2][11]. Financial Results - The company generated total revenue of $73.1 million in Q1 2025, a 67% increase from $43.7 million in Q1 2024 [3]. - Revenue from the LEU segment rose to $51.3 million, up 117% from $23.6 million in the previous year, driven by a 46% increase in the average price and a 49% increase in volume of SWU sold [3]. - The Technical Solutions segment saw revenue increase to $21.8 million, an 8% rise from $20.1 million, primarily due to a $2.0 million increase from the HALEU Operation Contract [4]. - Cost of sales for the LEU segment decreased by 13% to $20.1 million, while costs for the Technical Solutions segment increased by 23% to $20.1 million [5][6]. - Gross profit surged to $32.9 million, a 665% increase from $4.3 million in Q1 2024, with the LEU segment contributing $31.2 million [7][8]. Operational Highlights - Centrus continues to produce HALEU at its American Centrifuge Plant in Piketon, Ohio, achieving cumulative deliveries of approximately 670 kilograms of HALEU UF6 to the DOE as of March 31, 2025 [10]. - The company has a backlog of $3.8 billion as of March 31, 2025, with $2.8 billion in the LEU segment and $0.9 billion in Technical Solutions [16]. Debt Management - The company redeemed its 8.25% Notes at a total cost of $74.3 million, resulting in a gain of $11.8 million in Q1 2025 [11][15]. Funding and Contracts - Centrus is well-positioned to leverage $3.4 billion in federal funding for domestic nuclear fuel production, emphasizing the importance of U.S.-owned technology and supply chains [2][14]. - The DOE has increased the Phase 2 contract value for the HALEU Operation Contract to $152.3 million, extending the performance period to June 30, 2025 [12]. Company Overview - Centrus Energy Corp is a supplier of nuclear fuel components and services, focusing on restoring America's uranium enrichment capabilities to meet clean energy and national security needs [17].