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Centrus Energy Hit by Weak Uranium Sales: Recovery Ahead?
ZACKS· 2025-08-19 17:20
Core Insights - Centrus Energy (LEU) experienced a challenging second quarter in 2025, with a significant decline in its Low-Enriched Uranium (LEU) segment due to the absence of uranium sales, leading to an overall revenue drop of 18% [1][2][10] Group 1: Financial Performance - The LEU segment saw a 26% decrease in revenues and a 27% decline in sales volumes of Separative Work Units (SWU), despite a 24% increase in SWU prices, which was not enough to compensate for the volume shortfall [1][2] - In contrast, the first quarter of 2025 had shown strong performance for Centrus Energy, with LEU revenues increasing by 117% to $51.3 million, driven by a 46% rise in SWU prices and a 49% increase in sales volumes [3] - For the full year of 2024, Centrus Energy reported a total revenue increase of 30% to $349.9 million, with uranium revenues rising by 70% and SWU revenues by 19% [3] Group 2: Order Backlog and Future Prospects - As of June 30, 2025, Centrus Energy reported a backlog of $3.6 billion extending through 2040, with approximately $2.7 billion related to the LEU segment, indicating strong future revenue potential from medium and long-term contracts [4][10] - The backlog includes about $2.1 billion in contingent LEU sales commitments, reflecting a solid order pipeline despite current challenges [4] Group 3: Market Comparison - Peer company Cameco Corporation (CCJ) performed better in the second quarter, with total revenues increasing by 47% year over year to $634 million, and uranium revenues also rising by 47% to $510 million [5][6] - Cameco sold 8.7 million pounds of uranium, a 40% increase compared to the same quarter in 2024, despite a 17% decline in the average U.S. dollar spot price for uranium [6] Group 4: Stock Performance and Valuation - Centrus Energy's stock has surged by 167.6% in 2025, significantly outperforming the industry growth of 3.2%, the Basic Materials sector's rise of 14.7%, and the S&P 500's gain of 9.6% [9][10] - The company is currently trading at a forward 12-month price/sales multiple of 6.90X, which is a substantial premium compared to the industry's 2.74X [11] Group 5: Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Centrus Energy's 2025 earnings is $4.24 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 5.15%, with a further decline projected for 2026 to $3.36 per share, indicating a 20.8% decrease [12]
Should You Buy, Sell or Hold CCJ Stock Before Q2 Earnings Release?
ZACKS· 2025-07-28 15:46
Core Insights - Cameco Corporation (CCJ) is set to report its second-quarter 2025 results on July 31, with projected revenues of $630.7 million, reflecting a 44.3% year-over-year growth, and earnings per share (EPS) estimated at 36 cents, indicating a 260% increase from the previous year [1][4]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Cameco's second-quarter revenues is $630.7 million, which is a 44.3% increase from the same quarter last year [1]. - The consensus estimate for earnings per share is 36 cents, showing a significant improvement of 260% from the prior year's figure of 10% [1]. - Over the past 60 days, the earnings estimate has increased by 50% [1]. Earnings Surprise History - In the last four quarters, Cameco's earnings missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate three times and exceeded it once, with an average negative earnings surprise of 48.50% [2][3]. Production and Sales Outlook - Cameco's uranium production is expected to be supported by its stakes in high-grade uranium mines, including a 69.8% stake in the McArthur River mine and an 83% stake in the Key Lake mill [7]. - The company anticipates uranium sales between 31 million and 34 million pounds in 2025, slightly down from 33.6 million pounds sold in the previous year [8]. - During Q1 2025, Cameco's share of uranium production reached 6 million pounds, a 3% year-over-year increase, with Q2 production expected to exceed 6.2 million pounds from the same period last year [9]. Cost and Pricing Factors - Uranium prices have faced pressure this year, averaging $72.59 per pound in Q2, down 17% year-over-year, but Cameco's revenues may benefit from fixed-price contracts [11]. - The average unit cost of production at McArthur River/Key Lake is expected to be higher, while costs at Cigar Lake are projected to decrease due to increased production [12]. Strategic Developments - Cameco's 49% stake in Westinghouse Electric Company is expected to contribute an additional $170 million to Q2 adjusted EBITDA, linked to Westinghouse's nuclear reactor construction projects [14]. - The company is actively working to lower administration, exploration, and operating costs, which may help mitigate the impact of rising costs on earnings [13]. Market Performance - Cameco shares have appreciated 75.3% over the past three months, significantly outperforming the industry average of 5.5% [16]. - The stock is currently trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 13.31, higher than the industry average of 1.24 and above its five-year median of 6.60 [18]. Industry Context - Geopolitical events and a global focus on climate change are creating favorable conditions for the nuclear power industry, with Cameco accounting for 16% of global uranium production in 2024 [20]. - Despite a strong balance sheet and investments to boost capacity, the current decline in uranium prices and changes to the Mineral Extraction Tax in Kazakhstan may impact earnings [21][23].
Energy Fuels Announces Call Details for Q2-2025 Earnings
Prnewswire· 2025-07-24 13:36
Core Viewpoint - Energy Fuels Inc. will hold a conference call on August 7, 2025, to discuss its Q2-2025 financial results, with a press release to be issued prior to the call [1][2]. Company Overview - Energy Fuels is a leading U.S. producer of uranium, rare earth elements, and critical minerals, operating several uranium projects in the western United States [4]. - The company has been the leading U.S. producer of natural uranium concentrate, which is sold to nuclear utilities for carbon-free nuclear energy production [4]. - Energy Fuels owns the White Mesa Mill in Utah, the only fully licensed and operating conventional uranium processing facility in the U.S., where it also produces advanced rare earth element products and vanadium oxide [4]. - The company is evaluating the recovery of medical isotopes from uranium process streams for Targeted Alpha Therapy cancer treatments [4]. - Energy Fuels is developing three heavy mineral sands projects: the Toliara Project in Madagascar, the Bahia Project in Brazil, and the Donald Project in Australia, with a potential 49% interest in a joint venture with Astron Corporation Limited [4]. Conference Call Details - The conference call will include a question-and-answer session hosted by Energy Fuels' management [2]. - Participants can join the call via a registration link or by dialing in through an operator [3]. - The conference replay will be available until August 14, 2025, with specific entry codes provided for access [5].
Energy Fuels (UUUU) Soars 10.7%: Is Further Upside Left in the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-07-16 11:45
Company Overview - Energy Fuels (UUUU) shares increased by 10.7% to $7.76 in the last trading session, with a notable trading volume, and have gained 20.9% over the past four weeks [1][2] Production and Sales - The Pinyon Plain uranium mine in Arizona is outperforming earlier production estimates, with output driven by high grades averaging 3.51% in June and 2.23% in Q2 2025 [2] - The company plans to sell 140,000 pounds of uranium in Q3 and 160,000 pounds in Q4 under existing contracts, with expected sales in 2026 ranging from 620,000 to 880,000 pounds [3] Financial Performance - Energy Fuels is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.04 per share, unchanged from the previous year, with revenues projected at $9.4 million, reflecting a 7.8% increase year-over-year [4] - The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating that stock price movements may not sustain without trends in earnings estimate revisions [5] Industry Context - Energy Fuels belongs to the Zacks Mining - Non Ferrous industry, where Coeur Mining (CDE) has seen a 3% decline in its stock price, contrasting with Energy Fuels' performance [5] - Coeur Mining's consensus EPS estimate has increased by 45.2% over the past month, indicating a significant change compared to the previous year [6]
Energy Fuels (UUUU) Surpasses Market Returns: Some Facts Worth Knowing
ZACKS· 2025-06-23 22:46
Company Performance - Energy Fuels (UUUU) closed at $5.50, reflecting a +1.66% change from the previous day's closing price, outperforming the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.96% [1] - Over the last month, Energy Fuels' shares increased by 0.19%, lagging behind the Basic Materials sector's gain of 0.57% and the S&P 500's gain of 0.5% [1] Earnings Estimates - The upcoming earnings disclosure projects an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.04, indicating no change from the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is estimated at $8.7 million, reflecting a 0.23% decrease compared to the same quarter of the previous year [2] Annual Projections - For the annual period, the Zacks Consensus Estimates predict an EPS of -$0.28 and revenue of $41.4 million, showing shifts of 0% and -47% respectively from the previous year [3] Analyst Revisions - Recent modifications to analyst estimates for Energy Fuels are crucial as they reflect near-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating a favorable business outlook [3][4] Zacks Rank - Energy Fuels currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell), with the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate remaining stagnant over the past month [5] - The Mining - Non Ferrous industry, part of the Basic Materials sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 86, placing it in the top 35% of over 250 industries [5] Industry Performance - The strength of individual industry groups is measured by the Zacks Industry Rank, with top-rated industries outperforming the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [6]
Is UUUU's HMS Diversification Strategy a Smart Long-Term Move?
ZACKS· 2025-06-20 16:51
Core Insights - Energy Fuels (UUUU) reported a 33.5% decline in revenues in Q1 2025 to $16.9 million due to withholding uranium sales amid falling prices [2][14] - The Heavy Mineral Sands (HMS) segment became the primary revenue contributor, generating $15.5 million from sales of rutile, ilmenite, and zircon [2][14] - The company is cautious about uranium sales in 2025, projecting only 220,000 pounds compared to 450,000 pounds in 2024, as uranium prices have decreased by approximately 12% over the past year [3][4] Revenue and Sales Performance - Q1 2025 revenues dropped to $16.9 million from $25 million in the same quarter last year, primarily due to reduced uranium sales [2][14] - The HMS segment's revenue of $15.5 million came from the sale of 6,836 tons of rutile, 12,852 tons of ilmenite, and 1,429 tons of zircon, mainly from the Kwale Project [2][14] Future Outlook - Energy Fuels does not expect immediate production from the Kwale operation, which is in reclamation, until other projects are operational [4] - The company anticipates continued revenue declines and losses in 2025 due to reduced uranium sales and lower price expectations [4] Strategic Initiatives - The diversification into the HMS sector is seen as beneficial for long-term growth, targeting titanium and zirconium minerals while also producing monazite as a byproduct [5][6] - Energy Fuels acquired Base Resources in 2024, gaining control of the Toliara HMS project in Madagascar, with development expected to resume following the lifting of the project's suspension [7] - The company is also advancing its Bahia HMS project in Brazil and holds an option for up to 49% in the Donald Project in Australia, with a final investment decision expected in late 2025 [8] Industry Comparison - Cameco Corporation (CCJ) reported a 24% increase in Q1 revenues to $789 million, with uranium revenues up 10% to $619 million, indicating a contrasting performance in the uranium sector [11][12] - Energy Fuels shares have increased by 12.5% this year, outperforming the industry's growth of 0.4% [15]
Here's Why Cameco (CCJ) is a Great Momentum Stock to Buy
ZACKS· 2025-06-12 17:01
Momentum investing is all about the idea of following a stock's recent trend, which can be in either direction. In the 'long' context, investors will essentially be "buying high, but hoping to sell even higher." And for investors following this methodology, taking advantage of trends in a stock's price is key; once a stock establishes a course, it is more than likely to continue moving in that direction. The goal is that once a stock heads down a fixed path, it will lead to timely and profitable trades.Whil ...
Ferroglobe (GSM) Reports Q1 Loss, Misses Revenue Estimates (Revised)
ZACKS· 2025-05-08 21:20
Company Performance - Ferroglobe reported a quarterly loss of $0.20 per share, which was worse than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.12, and compared to break-even earnings per share a year ago, indicating a significant decline in performance [1] - The company posted revenues of $307.18 million for the quarter ended March 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 8.59%, and down from $391.85 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Ferroglobe has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times and topped consensus revenue estimates just once [2] Stock Outlook - Ferroglobe shares have lost about 9% since the beginning of the year, underperforming the S&P 500, which declined by 4.7% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $0.03 on revenues of $410.95 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.23 on revenues of $1.61 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Ferroglobe is currently unfavorable, resulting in a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating expected underperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Mining - Miscellaneous industry, to which Ferroglobe belongs, is currently in the bottom 41% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a challenging environment for stocks in this sector [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which could impact investor sentiment towards Ferroglobe [5]
Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-08 00:10
Core Viewpoint - Centrus Energy Corp. reported quarterly earnings of $0.91 per share, significantly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.10 per share, marking an earnings surprise of 1,010% [1] - The company also posted revenues of $73.1 million for the quarter, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 11.66% and showing a year-over-year increase from $43.7 million [2] Financial Performance - The earnings report indicates that Centrus Energy has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times over the last four quarters [2] - The company’s previous quarter earnings were $3.20 per share, against an expectation of $1.06, resulting in a surprise of 201.89% [1] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.85, with projected revenues of $124.68 million, and for the current fiscal year, the estimate is $2.31 on revenues of $426.5 million [7] Market Position - Centrus Energy shares have increased by approximately 11.8% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with a decline of 4.7% in the S&P 500 [3] - The Mining - Non Ferrous industry, to which Centrus Energy belongs, is currently ranked in the top 25% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook [8] Future Outlook - The sustainability of the stock's price movement will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the trends in earnings estimate revisions [3][4] - The current estimate revisions trend for Centrus Energy is mixed, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting the stock is expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [6]
Globe Specialty Metals (GSM) Reports Q1 Loss, Misses Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-07 23:40
Company Performance - Globe Specialty Metals reported a quarterly loss of $0.20 per share, which was worse than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.12, and compared to break-even earnings per share a year ago [1] - The company posted revenues of $307.18 million for the quarter ended March 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 8.59%, and down from $391.85 million in the same quarter last year [3] - The earnings surprise for this quarter was -66.67%, while the previous quarter saw a positive surprise of 200% when actual earnings were $0.03 compared to an expected $0.01 [2] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.03 on revenues of $410.95 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.23 on revenues of $1.61 billion [8] - The estimate revisions trend for Globe Specialty Metals is currently unfavorable, resulting in a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating expected underperformance in the near future [7] Industry Context - Globe Specialty Metals operates within the Mining - Miscellaneous industry, which is currently ranked in the bottom 41% of over 250 Zacks industries [9] - The performance of the stock may be influenced by the overall outlook for the industry, as research indicates that the top 50% of Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by more than 2 to 1 [9]