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Navitas Shares Drop 18% in a Month: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKSยท 2025-08-18 16:51
Core Insights - Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) shares have declined 18.3% over the past month, underperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which returned 3% [1] - The decline is attributed to weak second-quarter 2025 results and a disappointing outlook, with shares dropping 14% since the Q2 results were reported on August 4 [1] Financial Performance - For Q2 2025, Navitas reported a non-GAAP loss of 5 cents per share, matching the Zacks Consensus Estimate and an improvement from a loss of 7 cents per share in the same quarter last year [2] - Revenues fell 29.2% year-over-year to $14.5 million, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.23% [2] - The third-quarter 2025 revenue guidance is projected at $10 million (+/- $0.5 million), impacted by China tariff risks and a strategic shift away from lower-margin mobile business [3] Market Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q3 2025 revenues is set at $9.99 million, indicating a 53.94% decline from the previous year [4] - The consensus for Q3 2025 loss is estimated at 5 cents per share, which is a penny wider than the previous estimate [4] Year-to-Date Performance - Year-to-date, Navitas shares have surged 93.9%, outperforming the broader sector and competitors like On Semiconductor and Wolfspeed, which saw declines of 19% and 79.7%, respectively [5] - Despite recent declines, NVTS stock is trading above the 200-day moving average, indicating a bullish trend [8] Growth Opportunities - Navitas is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for power semiconductors, particularly in AI data centers and energy infrastructure, representing a $2.6 billion annual market opportunity [13] - The company plans to reduce operating expenses from $16.1 million in Q2 2025 to approximately $15.5 million in Q3 2025 to enhance capital efficiency [14] Strategic Partnerships - Navitas has established partnerships with major companies like NVIDIA and Powerchip, which are expected to enhance its market position and operational efficiency [15][17] - The collaboration with Powerchip aims to manufacture 200mm GaN chips, which will significantly increase chip production capacity and improve gross margins [17] Market Valuation - Navitas shares are currently considered overvalued, with a forward Price/Sales ratio of 23.77X compared to the sector average of 6.78X [19] - The company faces near-term challenges due to sluggishness in solar, EV, and industrial markets, along with tariff impacts and the removal of tax credits [22]