Key Takeaways Dow will release Q4 2025 results before the opening bell on Jan. 29.DOW faces headwinds from soft demand in Europe and Asia, weaker prices and higher feedstock costs.DOW targets $1 billion in cost cuts and sees $400 million in 2025 benefits.Dow Inc. (DOW) is scheduled to come up with fourth-quarter 2025 results before the opening bell on Jan. 29.DOW surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the trailing four quarters and missed twice. It has a trailing four-quarter negative earnings sur ...

Core Viewpoint - Dow Inc. (DOW) is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on July 24, with anticipated challenges from weak demand and pricing pressures despite productivity initiatives [1][6]. Revenue Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for DOW's revenues in the upcoming quarter is $10,445.6 million, indicating a year-over-year decline of 4.6% [4]. - Revenue estimates for specific segments include: - Packaging & Specialty Plastics: $5,197.9 million, a decline of 5.8% year over year [4]. - Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure: $2,884.6 million, a decline of 2.3% year over year [4]. - Performance Materials & Coatings: $2,142.1 million, a decline of 4.5% year over year [7]. Factors Affecting Performance - DOW is facing headwinds from soft demand in Europe and China, with lower consumer spending and weak construction and manufacturing activities impacting performance [8][9]. - Inflationary pressures are affecting demand in consumer durables and construction, while automotive demand in Europe is also weak [9]. - The Performance Materials & Coatings segment is challenged by weak siloxane prices due to increased supply in Asia, particularly from China [10]. Cost-Saving Initiatives - DOW is implementing cost-saving measures aimed at reducing direct and labor costs, targeting $1 billion in savings to improve margins [11]. - The company expects to realize around $300 million in benefits from these actions in 2025, with full benefits anticipated by 2026 [11]. Earnings Prediction - The Earnings ESP for DOW is -53.04%, indicating a low likelihood of an earnings beat this quarter, with a consensus estimate of a loss of 8 cents [12][13]. - DOW currently holds a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell) [13].

Core Viewpoint - Dow Inc.'s shares have declined by 22% over the past three months due to soft end-market demand and pricing pressures in a challenging macroeconomic environment [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Dow has underperformed compared to the Zacks Chemicals Diversified industry's decline of 16.6% and the S&P 500's fall of 4.3% in the same period [2] - The stock has been trading below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) since October 7, 2024, indicating a bearish trend [5][7] Group 2: Demand Challenges - Demand softness in Europe and China is impacting Dow, with lower consumer spending and weak construction and manufacturing activities [9] - The infrastructure end market, including residential construction, remains weak, and inflationary pressures are affecting demand in consumer durables [10] Group 3: Pricing Pressures - Dow's Performance Materials & Coatings unit is facing weak siloxane prices due to supply additions in Asia, which have negatively impacted sales [11] Group 4: Growth and Cost Management - Dow is focused on high-return growth projects and cost actions, expecting to deliver approximately $6 billion in cash support through infrastructure asset sales and cost savings [13] - The company plans to cut costs by $1 billion, including a workforce reduction of around 1,500 roles globally [13] Group 5: Financial Health - Dow has a strong balance sheet with over $11 billion in liquidity and has returned $2.5 billion to shareholders in 2024 [14] - The company offers a healthy dividend yield of 9.1%, which is perceived as safe and reliable despite a high payout ratio of 239% [15] Group 6: Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Dow's 2025 earnings has been revised downward over the past 60 days, indicating declining earnings prospects [16] Group 7: Valuation - Dow is currently trading at a forward P/E of 43X, representing a 138% premium compared to the industry average of 18.07X [17]

Core Viewpoint - Dow Inc. is expected to report a decline in first-quarter 2025 results due to soft demand and pricing pressures, despite some benefits from productivity initiatives [1][2]. Revenue Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Dow's revenues in the upcoming quarter is $10,271.4 million, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 4.6% [6]. - Revenue estimates for the Packaging & Specialty Plastics segment are projected at $5,172.1 million, indicating a 4.8% decline year over year [6]. - The Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure segment is expected to generate $2,872.6 million, showing a 4.5% year-over-year decline [6]. - The Performance Materials & Coatings segment is estimated to bring in $2,098.2 million, suggesting a 2.5% decline year over year [7]. Factors Affecting Q1 Results - Dow is facing demand softness in Europe and China, with lower consumer spending due to inflation impacting demand in Europe [8]. - Construction and manufacturing activities in Europe remain weak, while the property sector in China is sluggish with declining new home prices [8]. - Inflationary pressures are affecting demand for consumer durables and construction, with automotive demand in Europe also softening [9]. - The Performance Materials & Coatings unit is challenged by weak siloxane prices due to competitive pricing pressures from increased supply in Asia [10]. - Higher feedstock and energy costs are expected to impact earnings, with a projected $100 million headwind in the Packaging & Specialty Plastics segment [12]. Cost-Saving Initiatives - Dow is implementing targeted actions to reduce direct and labor costs, aiming to cut costs by $1 billion to improve margins [13]. - The benefits of these cost-saving actions are anticipated to be reflected in the company's bottom line for the upcoming quarter [13]. Earnings Prediction - The Earnings ESP for Dow is currently at 0.00%, with a consensus estimate indicating a loss of 2 cents for the first quarter [15]. - Dow carries a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell), indicating a low likelihood of an earnings beat this season [16].