Quick Read Meta paid Oklo $25M upfront for phase 1 of an Ohio nuclear reactor. Oklo expects its isotope business to begin generating revenue in Q1 2026. ASP Isotopes posted 857% revenue growth in 2024 but continues to show net losses. Investors rethink ‘hands off’ investing and decide to start making real money In 1979, the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant suffered a partial nuclear meltdown. Although it was successfully contained and did not turn into a Chernobyl type of disaster, it scared ...

Core Insights - Rolls-Royce is positioning itself as a key player in providing electricity for AI data centers, particularly through its small modular reactors (SMR) business segment [1][5][11] Industry Overview - The global electricity consumption by data centers is projected to double by 2030, highlighting the increasing demand for power infrastructure in AI development [2] - Europe is emerging as a significant area for data center construction, facing similar power challenges as the United States [2][3] Company Developments - Rolls-Royce's SMR can generate up to 470 megawatts of power, equivalent to 150 onshore wind turbines, and has a lifespan of up to 60 years [6] - The company has secured partnerships with CEZ Group in the Czech Republic and Siemens for the development and deployment of SMRs [6][7] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Rolls-Royce reported a 13% increase in total revenue compared to the same period in 2024, with gross profit and operating profit growing by 33% and 50% respectively [8] - The power systems business, particularly the SMR segment, saw a revenue increase of 23%, with the power generation subset growing by 26% [9][10]

Core Insights - Meta Platforms is advancing its sustainable energy initiatives by establishing long-term nuclear power agreements with Oklo, Vistra, and TerraPower to support its AI data centers [1][2] Group 1: Partnerships and Capacity - Meta is collaborating with Oklo to develop small modular reactors (SMRs) in Ohio, aiming for a capacity of up to 1.2 gigawatts (GW) by 2030 [2] - The agreement with Vistra involves 20-year purchases from three existing plants, allowing for expansions to deliver up to 6.6 GW by 2035 [2] - TerraPower's partnership includes funding for two reactors with a capacity of up to 690 megawatts by 2032, with options for six additional reactors by 2035 [2] Group 2: Industry Context - These nuclear partnerships are positioned as a reliable, low-carbon energy source to meet the increasing power demands of AI technologies amid existing grid constraints [3] - Oklo specializes in advanced nuclear technology, focusing on SMRs designed for high-demand applications like AI data centers [4] Group 3: Market Performance and Valuation - Oklo's stock experienced a significant increase of 238% in 2025, outperforming the S&P 500, although it has faced volatility since then [5] - Valuation metrics for Oklo are challenging due to its pre-commercial status and ongoing losses, with a market cap of $15 billion reflecting speculative growth rather than historical averages [6]

Core Viewpoint - Fluor is facing significant near-term challenges, including a stock decline of 20% in 2025, while the S&P 500 rose by 17% during the same period [1] Financial Performance - Fluor's second-quarter earnings report on August 1 missed analysts' expectations, leading to a reduction in its full-year outlook and the disclosure of cost overruns, scheduling delays, and design problems in major projects [2] - Revenue for Fluor increased by 5% in 2024, but adjusted EBITDA fell by 14% due to lower profits from its energy solutions segment and fewer contracts [7] - On a GAAP basis, Fluor's earnings per share surged from $0.54 in 2023 to $12.30 in 2024, primarily due to the sale of shares in NuScale Power [8] Legal and Operational Issues - The unexpected guidance reduction and execution issues led to a class action lawsuit from investors alleging misleading statements regarding growth prospects [4] - Fluor agreed to pay $653 million to Santos to resolve a legal dispute, which was recorded as a revenue reduction, further impacting its financial performance [5] Backlog and Contracting - Fluor's backlog shrank year over year for four consecutive quarters, as it completed existing projects faster than it could secure new contracts [9] - The company shifted towards smaller, lower-risk contracts to diversify its business and reduce dependence on large infrastructure projects [10] Future Outlook - Analysts expect Fluor's revenue and EBITDA to decline by 4% and 19% respectively for the full year, but anticipate a recovery in 2026 with expected increases of 7% and 10% [11] - The company's low valuation, with an enterprise value of $4.5 billion, suggests limited downside potential, and activist investor Starboard Value is pushing for monetization of its stake in NuScale [12] - If Fluor resolves its execution issues and grows its backlog, there is potential for gradual stock price recovery over the next 12 months [13]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the diverging power solutions for AI data centers (AIDC) in the US and China, highlighting the growing demand for energy due to the rise of AI technologies [1][11][16]. Core Insights - **AIDC Power Consumption**: The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts that global electricity consumption of data centers will more than double from 416 TWh in 2024 to 946 TWh in 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15% [3][24]. - **Market Share**: By 2030, the US and China are expected to account for approximately 45% and 30% of the global data center market, respectively [3][25]. - **Primary Power Solutions in the US**: Due to grid connection shortfalls, onsite power generation, particularly gas turbines, is becoming the primary solution for data centers in the US. Gas turbines are favored for their shorter lead times (1-2 years) compared to grid connections (5-7 years) [4][33]. - **Backup Power Solutions in China**: China has sufficient grid power for primary needs, but there is a tight supply for backup power, especially for 2MW diesel engines, which are critical for generator sets [5][34]. Key Suppliers and Market Dynamics - A list of 16 key suppliers for AIDC power solutions is provided, which collectively account for about 10% of total AIDC capital expenditures [2][11]. - **US Market**: Gas turbine producers are experiencing strong demand, with significant order backlogs and ongoing capacity expansions [4][37]. - **China Market**: Foreign brands dominate the diesel engine market in China, but local manufacturers like Weichai and Yuchai are expected to increase their market share significantly by 2025 due to shorter lead times and quicker capacity ramp-up [5][34]. Investment Recommendations - The report covers nine stocks providing power equipment to AIDCs, with eight rated as "Buy" due to the booming AIDC capital expenditures and strong demand outlook. GEV is rated "Hold" due to higher costs associated with its offshore wind backlog [6][12]. Additional Insights - **AI Training Power Needs**: AI-focused hyperscalers can have capacities of 100MW, consuming energy equivalent to that of 100,000 households, compared to traditional data centers with capacities of 10-25MW [16]. - **Future Projections**: AIDC is projected to account for 80% of newly added data center IT power from 2024 to 2028, indicating a significant shift in energy requirements driven by AI advancements [22][23]. Conclusion - The report highlights the critical need for efficient power solutions in the rapidly growing AIDC sector, with distinct strategies emerging in the US and China. The investment landscape is favorable for companies involved in power generation technologies, particularly gas turbines and diesel engines, as demand continues to rise in response to AI developments [1][11][16].

Core Insights - NuScale Power Corp. (NYSE:SMR) has experienced a significant decline in stock performance, dropping 13.21% to close at $38.37, marking its fourth consecutive day of losses due to a rating downgrade and news of its largest shareholder planning to sell additional stakes [1][4] - Citigroup has issued a "sell" recommendation for NuScale with a price target of $37.50, citing negative catalysts such as Fluor Corp.'s divestment and intense competition in the market [2][4] - The current share price reflects an optimistic expectation of NuScale's ability to build 16 GW of reactors by 2040, while the total installation forecast for the US is 56 GW, indicating that market expectations may be overly optimistic given the lack of confirmed customers [3][4] Company Performance - NuScale's stock has been negatively impacted by external factors, including a downgrade from Citigroup and the potential sale of shares by its largest shareholder, which has contributed to a decline in investor sentiment [1][2] - The company is perceived to be overly reliant on its active projects without having material near-term customers, which raises concerns about its capital needs and the timeline for achieving its goals [4] Market Outlook - The market is currently pricing in a level of optimism regarding NuScale's market share that may not be justified, especially in light of the competitive landscape and the absence of confirmed customer contracts [3][4] - While there is potential for investment in NuScale, other sectors, particularly AI stocks, are viewed as having greater promise for higher returns with limited downside risk [5]

Core Insights - NuScale Power Corporation (NYSE:SMR) reached an all-time high on Wednesday, driven by investor interest following the US Army's launch of the Janus Program for small modular reactors [1][3]. Stock Performance - During the trading session, NuScale Power's stock peaked at $56.16 before closing at $53.43, reflecting a 16.68% increase [2]. Government Initiatives - The US Army's Janus Program supports the development of nuclear reactors, aligning with President Trump's executive order from May, which may lead to opportunities for NuScale Power [3][4]. - The Department of Defense has a deadline to have a reactor operational by September 30, 2028 [4]. Investment Context - Investors are also showing interest in NuScale Power and other nuclear technology stocks, linked to JPMorgan's $1.5 trillion security and resiliency investment program [4]. - JPMorgan emphasizes the importance of diversified energy production and grid modernization for national interests and advancing artificial intelligence [5].

Core Insights - NuScale shares increased by 15% following the U.S. Army's launch of the "Janus Program," aimed at accelerating micro nuclear reactor development [1] - The stock has risen over 375% from its year-to-date low in April [2] - The Janus Program indicates policy momentum that presents a lucrative opportunity for NuScale, which is the only company with an approved small modular reactor (SMR) design by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission [3] Company Positioning - NuScale is well-positioned to secure significant government contracts, which could enhance revenue and validate its technology for broader commercial markets [4] - The announcement from the U.S. Army is expected to boost investor confidence in SMR stocks, attracting both retail and institutional capital [4] Valuation Considerations - Despite a high price-sales (P/S) multiple of 346x, there are compelling reasons to consider NuScale for long-term investment, including its unique regulatory approval status [5] - Renewed trade tensions between the U.S. and China are increasing interest in domestic energy solutions, which may further benefit SMR shares [5] Industry Outlook - Nuclear power is seen as more reliable than renewable sources like solar and wind, strengthening the investment case for NuScale [6] - Wall Street maintains a positive outlook on NuScale, with a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" and price targets suggesting a potential upside of 12% [7][8]

Group 1 - NuScale Power Corporation's stock increased by 5.1% following positive developments regarding Italy's nuclear energy policy [1][5] - Italy's council of ministers has introduced a bill to parliament aimed at reintroducing nuclear energy, establishing a national program for sustainable nuclear power, and creating an independent authority for oversight [3][4] - The bill emphasizes the use of "modular and advanced" technologies, particularly small modular reactors (SMR), which aligns with NuScale's focus [4][7] Group 2 - While the introduction of the bill is a significant step, there remains a long process before it can become law and impact the nuclear industry [4] - The potential reintroduction of nuclear power in Italy could benefit NuScale, but there is no guarantee that the company will be the primary beneficiary [5][6] - NuScale is currently facing financial challenges, reporting a loss of $124 million annually and not expected to achieve profitability before 2030 [6]

Core Insights - Small modular reactors (SMRs) are increasingly seen as a viable solution for meeting the energy demands of power-intensive technologies like artificial intelligence, with NuScale Power being a leading developer in this space [1][3][5] - The demand for small-scale nuclear power is rising, driven by significant investments from big tech companies looking to restart old nuclear facilities and build new ones [3][4] - NuScale has achieved a significant milestone by obtaining the first-ever certification from the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) for its 50 MW SMR model, with a larger 77 MW model also certified [8][9] Industry Trends - The nuclear power sector has faced challenges due to public safety concerns and regulatory scrutiny, but recent energy demands have shifted the narrative towards a more favorable outlook for small-scale nuclear [2][3] - Big tech's commitment to nuclear energy is evident, as they are investing billions into nuclear projects, indicating a strong market interest [3][4] - The ability to construct SMRs off-site and transport them to various locations presents a strategic advantage for energy-hungry data centers, particularly in remote areas [4] Company Position - NuScale Power is positioned as a frontrunner in the SMR market, with a significant lead over competitors who have not yet received NRC certifications [9] - The company has a robust pipeline, with a dozen reactors under construction and the potential to handle up to 20 orders per year as demand grows [9][11] - With a market capitalization of approximately $10 billion, NuScale is viewed as a promising investment opportunity for those willing to be patient [11]