Core Viewpoint - Bloom Energy Corp. has experienced significant stock price increases due to the AI hype cycle, but analysts caution that the rally is not supported by strong fundamentals [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q2, Bloom Energy reported adjusted earnings of $0.10 per share, exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.01, and a revenue increase of 19.5% year-on-year to $401.2 million, surpassing analysts' expectations of $378.0 million [5]. Valuation Concerns - The stock currently trades at a high multiple of 99.9x 2025E EV/EBITDA, which is more expensive than competitors like GE Vernova and Nvidia, despite Bloom's weaker revenue growth and margins [3]. Revenue Guidance - The company's revenue guidance for 2025 is projected to be between $1.65 billion and $1.85 billion, which does not align with its elevated valuation [3]. Competitive Landscape - Competitive pressure is increasing from established players such as Caterpillar, Cummins, Rolls Royce, and GE Vernova, which offer better pricing, speed, and reliability, particularly in the niche co-location segment of the data center market [4]. Market Dynamics - On-site power generation remains a niche market, with only 6% of 540 tracked data centers utilizing co-located generation, while turbines and reciprocating engines dominate due to lower costs [6].

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Oklo surged by 63.5% following the announcement of a U.K.-U.S. partnership to advance nuclear energy technology and reduce permitting wait times [1][2]. Group 1: U.K. and U.S. Partnership - A memorandum of understanding was established between the U.K. and U.S. to collaborate on nuclear energy development, announced during President Trump's visit to the U.K. [2] - The U.K. aims to reduce its reactor licensing timeline from three to four years to just two years, while the U.S. has set an 18-month target for review procedures [3]. Group 2: Impact on Oklo - The streamlined licensing process presents a significant opportunity for Oklo, as the company specializes in compact fast reactor designs, positioning it well to benefit from these changes [6]. - Despite the positive outlook, Oklo has not yet generated meaningful revenue and is currently valued based on potential rather than actual performance [7]. Group 3: Geopolitical Context - The agreement also addresses the need to reduce reliance on Russian nuclear fuel, with both nations committing to eliminate Russian fuel imports by 2028 [4].

Core Viewpoint - NuScale Power's second-quarter earnings report disappointed investors, leading to a significant drop in stock price, indicating that the company remains a speculative long-term investment prospect [1][6]. Financial Performance - Analysts had forecasted NuScale to generate approximately $11.7 million in revenue, but the actual revenue reported was only $8.1 million, resulting in a loss of $0.13 per share [1][3]. - The company has not yet built any reactors, and thus, earnings were not expected; however, revenue was weaker than anticipated [3]. Cash Management - NuScale has consumed $56.1 million in cash during the first half of 2025, which is less than the cash burned in the same period of 2024, suggesting a potential improvement in cash management [4]. - The company ended the quarter with $489.9 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, which is sufficient to sustain operations for nearly five more years at the current cash-burn rate [4]. Market Reactions - Investors are selling NuScale stock due to the absence of significant new announcements in the earnings report and concerns regarding Fluor potentially flooding the market with shares after converting 15 million Class B shares into Class A shares [5]. - The overall sentiment remains that the company's success will depend on its ability to develop and market small modular reactors in the future, making the recent earnings report less impactful [6].

Core Insights - The U.S. government and major tech companies are supporting nuclear energy expansion to drive economic growth and support the energy demands of artificial intelligence [1][2][8] - The U.S. aims to triple nuclear energy capacity by 2050, with recent executive orders to accelerate this initiative [2] - Major tech firms like Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon are entering nuclear energy agreements to support their AI operations while reducing fossil fuel reliance [3][4] Industry Overview - The global investment in clean energy technologies is projected to reach $2.5 trillion by 2025, driven by significant capital expenditures from tech companies [5] - Nuclear energy is seen as a critical component in the transition to a sustainable energy landscape, particularly in relation to AI growth [5] Company Insights - Mirion Technologies specializes in radiation safety and is positioned to benefit from the nuclear energy industry's expansion, with a focus on next-generation nuclear reactors [7][9] - Mirion's revenue from nuclear power is expected to account for approximately 40% in 2024, with projected sales growth of over 5% in 2025 [15] - Rolls-Royce has seen significant stock growth and is leveraging its expertise in nuclear propulsion to develop small modular reactors, with a projected 31% growth in adjusted earnings for FY25 [16][21]

Core Insights - The global clean energy sector is evolving, with nuclear energy stocks like Oklo Inc. and NuScale Power gaining attention due to rising government support and investment in small modular and advanced nuclear technologies [1][2] Summary of Oklo Inc. (OKLO) - Recent Achievements: Oklo signed a Memorandum of Understanding with Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power to support the development of its Aurora powerhouse and completed borehole drilling for site characterization at Idaho National Laboratory [4][5] - Financial Stability: As of Q1 2025, Oklo had cash and cash equivalents of $201 million, down from $228 million at the end of 2024, but reported no notable debt, indicating solid financial stability [7] - Challenges: Oklo has not yet started generating revenues, with its first Aurora powerhouse expected to go live in 2027, and faces high operating costs [8] Summary of NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) - Recent Achievements: NuScale reported a narrower loss per share compared to the prior year and an impressive year-over-year revenue growth of 857.1%, being the only small modular reactor company with U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission design approval [9][10] - Financial Stability: As of Q1 2025, NuScale had cash and cash equivalents of $527 million, up from $447 million at the end of 2024, and reported no notable debt, indicating strong financial stability [11] - Challenges: NuScale has yet to secure a firm commercial order but expects its first order this year, while also facing industry-wide challenges [12] Earnings Per Share (EPS) Estimates - Oklo's 2025 EPS estimate is a loss of 42 cents, an improvement from a loss of 74 cents the previous year, with estimates trending upward [13] - NuScale's 2025 EPS estimate is a loss of 41 cents, a deterioration from earnings of 42 cents the previous year, with estimates remaining constant [14] Stock Performance and Valuation - Over the past three months, SMR has outperformed OKLO with a 128.9% increase compared to OKLO's 88%, but OKLO has shown a 437.4% increase over the past year compared to SMR's 306.1% [17] - SMR's valuation is more attractive, with a trailing 12-month Price/Book ratio of 18.97X compared to OKLO's 28.55X [18] Investment Recommendation - NuScale is currently viewed as the more attractive investment opportunity due to its revenue generation, stronger cash position, and favorable valuation compared to Oklo, which is still in the pre-revenue stage [19][20]

Core Insights - The global clean energy industry is evolving, with nuclear energy stocks like OKLO Inc. and BWX Technologies gaining traction due to their low carbon emissions and increasing government support for small modular and microreactor technologies [1][2]. Summary of OKLO - Recent Achievements: OKLO has made significant strides in 2024, including signing a major corporate power agreement with Switch for 12 gigawatts (GW) of advanced nuclear power, claiming to have the largest order book in the advanced nuclear industry with a customer pipeline of 14 GW [3][4]. - Financial Stability: The company ended 2024 with cash and cash equivalents of $97.1 million, a substantial increase from $9.9 million at the end of 2023, and reported no notable debt, indicating solid financial stability [5]. - Challenges: OKLO has yet to generate revenue, with its first Aurora powerhouse expected to be deployed in 2027, leading to significant operating expenses and downward pressure on its bottom line [6][7]. Summary of BWXT - Recent Achievements: BWX Technologies ended 2024 with record bookings in Commercial Operations, driven by critical equipment for North America's first small modular reactor project, and a 21% growth in backlog [8][9]. - Financial Stability: The company concluded 2024 with cash and cash equivalents of $77 million, current debt of $13 million, and long-term debt of $1,043 million, suggesting a solid solvency position [10]. - Challenges: BWXT faces limited international exposure, being highly U.S.-centric, which restricts its revenue generation opportunities in international nuclear markets [11]. EPS Estimates Comparison - OKLO's 2025 earnings per share (EPS) is estimated at a loss of 43 cents, an improvement from a loss of 74 cents the previous year, but with a downward trend in estimates [12]. - BWXT's 2025 EPS is estimated at $3.50, reflecting a year-over-year improvement of 5.1%, with upward trending estimates [13]. Stock Price Performance - Over the past three months, BWXT has outperformed OKLO, with BWXT down 21.8% compared to OKLO's 47.4% decline, while OKLO has rallied 56.8% over the past year compared to BWXT's 7.2% growth [15]. Return on Equity (ROE) - BWXT exhibits a higher Return on Equity (ROE) compared to OKLO, indicating better efficiency in using shareholder equity to generate profits, while OKLO has a negative ROE due to incurring losses [16]. Investment Recommendation - BWXT is currently viewed as a more stable and financially sound investment opportunity, supported by solid revenue and operating cash flow, while OKLO, still in the pre-revenue phase, presents higher execution risk [20][21].

Core Insights - Alphabet is focusing on reducing the costs of building new nuclear reactors through a partnership with Kairos Power, aiming to deploy small modular reactors [1][4] - The tech sector has significantly invested in nuclear projects to meet the increasing electricity demand driven by artificial intelligence, emphasizing the need for reliable, carbon-free energy [2] - There are challenges in the U.S. nuclear sector, including cost overruns and delays, necessitating immediate action from both public and private sectors to replicate construction processes and lower costs [3][5] Company Initiatives - Google has entered a deal to purchase power from small modular reactors being developed by Kairos Power, with plans to have the first plant operational by 2030 and additional reactors by 2035 [4] - Ruth Porat highlighted the importance of starting the construction of multiple reactors now to effectively drive down costs [5] Industry Context - NextEra's CEO John Ketchum stated that nuclear energy is unlikely to be a viable power solution until 2035 or later, while renewables are currently the quickest and cheapest option to meet rising energy demands [5][6] - NextEra projects a sixfold increase in power demand over the next 20 years, with 17% of that growth attributed to data centers [7] - The U.S. has seen a significant increase in renewable energy installations, with 175 gigawatts added in the past five years compared to only 3 gigawatts of nuclear [7] Future Prospects - NextEra is exploring the possibility of restarting the shuttered Duane Arnold nuclear plant in Iowa, alongside other potential nuclear restarts [8] - There is a significant opportunity for co-locating small modular reactors at existing sites, but the industry needs to narrow down the number of companies involved to a more manageable number [9]