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Where Will SoFi Technologies Stock Be in 10 Years?
The Motley Foolยท 2025-11-22 15:54
Core Insights - SoFi Technologies has shown significant recovery in its stock price, trading around $26 after hitting a low of $4.30 in December 2022, driven by declining interest rates and the resumption of student loan payments [1][3][6] Company Overview - Founded in 2011, SoFi initially focused on student loans and has since expanded into a comprehensive fintech platform offering mortgages, auto loans, personal loans, credit cards, insurance, estate planning, and stock trading tools [3][4] - The acquisition of Galileo in 2020 and obtaining a U.S. bank charter in 2022 have allowed SoFi to grow rapidly and leverage data for AI-driven financial services [4] Financial Performance - From 2021 to 2024, SoFi's year-end members increased from 2.5 million to 10.1 million, products in use rose from 1.9 million to 14.7 million, and adjusted annual revenue grew from $1.01 billion to $2.61 billion, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 37% [6] - In the first nine months of 2025, adjusted revenue increased by 38% year over year to $2.58 billion, with member growth of 35% to 12.6 million and products in use climbing 36% to 18.6 million [7] Market Trends - The growth is primarily driven by younger millennial and Gen Z users who favor digital banking over traditional banks, allowing SoFi to capture a larger market share [8] Future Projections - Analysts project a CAGR of 27% for revenue and 44% for adjusted EBITDA from 2024 to 2027, driven by four key catalysts: expansion of the loan platform, growth in customer deposits, introduction of new services, and entry into blockchain and crypto markets [9][10][11][12] - If SoFi meets these projections, its adjusted EBITDA could grow at a CAGR of 20% through 2035, potentially leading to an eightfold increase in stock price over the next decade [13]