Core Viewpoint - Tesla's stock has shown signs of fatigue after a three-day winning streak, trading down approximately 0.6% as investors weigh analyst commentary against strategic and competitive pressures [1] Group 1: Analyst Commentary - The recent rally in Tesla's stock was supported by a research note from Morgan Stanley's Andrew Percoco, highlighting potential upside from the company's solar business and plans to add up to 100 gigawatts of solar manufacturing capacity [1] - Benchmark reiterated its Buy rating on Tesla, maintaining a price target of $475, emphasizing the company's focus on reinvestment and platform development over short-term earnings optimization [1] Group 2: Company Strategy and Performance - Tesla's fourth-quarter results showed resilience in margins, growth in its energy business, and strong cash generation, indicating a strategic shift towards long-term projects in 2026 [1] - The company is positioning itself as a technology and energy firm rather than solely an automaker, with increased spending expected in autonomy, artificial intelligence, robotics, and energy infrastructure [1] Group 3: Market Challenges - Despite positive analyst sentiment, Tesla's stock faces challenges due to slowing electric vehicle demand in key markets, intensifying competition, and margin pressure from pricing incentives [1] - Significant resources are being directed towards autonomous driving, humanoid robots, and energy storage, raising concerns about near-term profitability [1] Group 4: Competition in Robotics - Tesla's ambitions in robotics are facing increased competition, exemplified by Apptronik's recent $520 million funding round aimed at commercializing its Apollo humanoid robots [1]

6 February 2026 | 10:05PM HKT Economics Research CHINA MATTERS Lessons Learned from the Last Year We reflect on the macro data and policies we have followed closely over the past year and draw five lessons in this note. These five lessons from the past year have four implications for investors this year. c45a43530f604d12bcb9a82b5aa6b9f6 n First, data quality issues in some official series have become more significant, as seen in the quarter-end pattern of the NBS Manufacturing PMI and the double-digit decli ...

Over the years, Tesla has expanded globally with a network of production facilities, showrooms, service centers, and Supercharger stations, and has increasingly emphasized advanced software and autonomous capabilities as part of its long-term strategy. Tesla is one of the world’s most valuable companies, with a current market cap of approximately $1.6 trillion.Tesla is an automotive and clean energy company headquartered in Austin, Texas. Tesla designs, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles (EVs), along ...

Core Insights - Tesla's energy storage business significantly mitigated the impact of a poor earnings report, with a 45% decline in profit compared to 2024, primarily due to reduced electric vehicle sales [1] - The company achieved a record deployment of 46.7 gigawatt-hours of energy storage products in 2025, marking a 48% increase from the previous year [2] - Energy storage now accounts for nearly 25% of Tesla's gross profit, with the Megapack alone contributing $1.1 billion to the storage business's total gross profit of $3.8 billion for the year [2] - The gross margin for energy storage products stands at 29.8%, nearly double that of Tesla's automotive sales [3] Financial Performance - Tesla's storage and energy generation revenues increased by 26.5% to $12.8 billion [2] - The company anticipates recognizing $4.96 billion in deferred revenue from ongoing projects in 2026, more than double the amount recognized in 2025 [4] Market Dynamics - The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) has phased out tax credits for residential energy storage systems, although commercial tax credits for larger products will continue [7] - Despite a decrease in the average selling price of the Megapack, sales volumes increased, indicating heightened competition in the energy storage market [7] - Tesla remains optimistic about the future of its storage business, citing opportunities for energy storage products to stabilize the grid and provide additional power capacity as AI infrastructure drives load growth [9]

Core Viewpoint - The solar industry is experiencing significant growth, driven by increasing demand for reliable and stable energy solutions among consumers, as well as advancements in energy storage technology [1][2]. Company Performance - Sunrun's stock has increased by 123% over the past year, reflecting strong investor interest and market momentum in the solar sector [1]. - The company has seen a rise in customer additions, growing from 797,000 customers in 2012 to 1.14 million by the third quarter of the previous year, indicating a robust demand for solar solutions [2]. Market Dynamics - The solar industry is facing challenges related to tariffs on solar panels, although Sunrun has shifted its sourcing strategy away from China to Southeast Asia, mitigating some of the tariff impacts [3][4]. - The Federal Reserve Chair has indicated that tariffs may peak and then decline, which could positively affect solar panel pricing in the future [5]. Energy Independence and Reliability - Sunrun emphasizes its role in enhancing energy independence for Americans, particularly during major storms when traditional power plants may go offline [7][8]. - The company is focused on providing a distributed power model, which is seen as more reliable compared to centralized power generation [8]. Pricing and Customer Control - Sunrun maintains stable pricing for its solar energy solutions, offering customers a way to control their energy costs amidst rising utility prices [9]. - The company has adapted to the end of the solar tax credit, which affected a small portion of its business, allowing it to continue providing affordable energy solutions to customers [12][13]. Strategic Partnerships - Sunrun has formed partnerships with companies like NRG Energy and Tesla to support the Texas power grid, showcasing its commitment to enhancing energy resilience in various states [10][11].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the need for India to develop its own domestic supply chain in clean energy sectors, particularly in areas currently dominated by China, to achieve energy independence and meet net-zero targets [1][2]. Group 1: India's Clean Energy Supply Chain - The Indian government aims to establish a domestic supply chain for wind turbines and solar panels, utilizing tariffs and buy-local rules to limit Chinese competition [2][3]. - Sumant Sinha predicts that within a decade, India will have a complete domestic supply chain covering polysilicon, wafers, cells, and panels, where China currently holds over 70% of the global market share [3]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - India's output in clean energy is expected to be less price-competitive compared to China's due to Chinese subsidies, scale, and research advantages [4]. - Sinha suggests that paying 15% to 20% more to reduce dependency on China is a worthwhile investment for India [4]. Group 3: International Collaboration and Challenges - Discussions are ongoing with companies in the European Union about establishing a supply chain with India, but EU companies prefer sourcing supplies within the bloc, which may be more expensive [6]. - The lack of clarity on future protections makes it difficult for companies to set up manufacturing in Europe, leading them to consider importing from India as a viable alternative [7].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Sector**: Global Alternative Energy - **Outlook**: Improved investor sentiment driven by increased policy certainty in the US and global electricity load growth [2][7] Core Insights - **Load Growth**: - Load growth has been stagnant at approximately 0.5% annually over the past decade, but estimates have recently risen to around 2% or higher for the next five years due to AI-driven data center demand and broader electrification trends [5][6] - This growth is expected to exert upward pressure on power pricing, benefiting baseload power sources such as gas turbines, nuclear, and renewables paired with battery energy storage systems (BESS) [5][6] - **Policy Environment**: - Increased clarity in US renewable energy policy through the passage of significant legislation, though risks remain, including potential investigations and tariff decisions that could impact solar costs [5][6] - The Department of Commerce's investigations and permitting issues for solar and wind projects on federal land present uncertainties [6] Investment Preferences - **Top Picks in Clean Energy**: - **US**: GE Vernova (GEV), Brookfield Renewable (BEP/BEPC), NextPower (NXT), and EVgo (EVGO) [2][12][19] - **Europe**: Siemens Energy (ENR), Vestas (VWS), and Prysmian (PRY) [2][15][17] - **Asia**: Orient Cables (603606 CH), Daqo (DQ), GCL Tech (3800 HK), Arctech (688408 CH), and Sungrow (300274 CH) [2] Market Dynamics - **Solar Market**: - Preference for utility-scale solar over residential due to better positioning regarding policy and economic factors [7] - In China, polysilicon prices have recovered by approximately 50% due to policy interventions, with Daqo and GCL Tech highlighted as strong picks [20] - **Wind Market**: - BNEF forecasts significant growth in global wind installations, with a projected 16% growth in 2026 [17] - Vestas is expected to outperform the European Capital Goods sector due to stable input prices and lower interest rates [17] - **Energy Storage**: - Global energy storage demand exceeded expectations in 2025, with a forecasted 57% increase in battery shipments for 2025 [7] - The forecast for 2026 global ESS installations has been raised by approximately 30% [7] - **Electric Vehicle Charging**: - Sentiment around EV charging remains cautious, with anticipated declines in US EV sales [7] - EVgo is preferred due to its growing customer base and network throughput potential [19] Additional Insights - **Nuclear Fuel Cycle**: - Global nuclear generation is expected to reach record highs, increasing demand for enriched uranium [8] - Centrus Energy (LEU) is noted as a key player, though it faces execution risks [8] - **US Clean Energy Outlook**: - BNEF anticipates a decline in US clean energy build from 2026 to 2028 before returning to modest growth through 2035 [62] - The market is expected to consolidate as larger projects become more complex, favoring tier-1 developers [63] - **Residential Solar Market**: - A projected decline of 15-20% in US residential solar installations in 2026 due to the expiration of certain tax credits [64] - RUN is highlighted as a preferred pick in the residential space due to its visibility in solar lease/PPA qualifications [65] Conclusion - The global alternative energy sector is poised for growth driven by load demand and supportive policies, though challenges remain in the form of regulatory uncertainties and market dynamics. Key investment opportunities exist in diversified companies with strong balance sheets and exposure to emerging technologies.

Core Insights - ELITE Solar has launched a new photovoltaic panel manufacturing facility with a capacity of 5 GW in the Suez Economic Zone, marking a significant milestone in the company's global expansion strategy [1] - The facility includes 2 GW for high-efficiency solar cells and 3 GW for solar module production, creating a fully integrated manufacturing platform for customers in public services, commercial, and industrial sectors worldwide [1] Company Overview - ELITE Solar, founded in 2005, is a global provider of high-efficiency solar solutions for public services, commercial, industrial, and residential markets [2] - The company is headquartered in Singapore with a branch in California, operating integrated manufacturing plants in Vietnam, Indonesia, and Egypt, covering the entire value chain from wafers to modules [2] - The vertically integrated model and global presence of ELITE Solar support its mission to enhance customer success and accelerate the transition to clean energy [2] Strategic Importance - The new facility supports local workforce development and strengthens the region's role in the global clean energy supply chain [1] - The plant's opening was attended by Egyptian Prime Minister Dr. Mustafa Madbouly, highlighting its significance for Egypt's renewable energy and industrial development goals [1] - ELITE Solar's approach combines centralized technological leadership and global standards with localized manufacturing in strategic regions, allowing the company to respond effectively to customer demand in the MENA region [1]

Core Insights - The U.S. solar manufacturing sector has historically received bipartisan support, but recent political conflicts are creating uncertainty and challenges for the industry [1][2][10] - The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) introduces changes that could negatively impact solar manufacturing, including an accelerated phase-out of the Investment Tax Credit (ITC) and increased content requirements [3][10] - Despite significant growth in solar manufacturing, the industry still struggles to meet domestic demand, with experts indicating that imports will still be necessary to supplement production [6][15] Industry Growth and Investment - The U.S. solar manufacturing sector has seen a 300% increase in solar cell production and a 37% increase in solar module production, with capacity exceeding 60 gigawatts by late 2025 [6] - Companies like Qcells have made substantial investments, such as a $200 million solar panel manufacturing facility in Georgia, driven by favorable market conditions and tax credits [8][9] - The Inflation Reduction Act under President Biden has provided a 30% tax credit for solar projects through 2032, contributing to market growth [8] Challenges and Uncertainties - The accelerated phase-out of the ITC and modifications to the 45X tax credit under OBBBA are seen as threats to the momentum of solar manufacturing efforts [10][12] - The current policy landscape is described as precarious, with business leaders expressing concerns over the reversal of tax credits and the impact of tariffs on long-term investments [11][12] - Experts emphasize the need for policy stability to justify major investments, as the solar market requires time to develop and scale [16][17] Supply Chain Dynamics - While the U.S. can produce every major component of the solar supply chain, it is still not sufficient to meet current domestic demand [6][14] - Companies like Corning are expanding their manufacturing capabilities, but the market will still rely on imports to fulfill production needs [15] - A three-legged stool approach is suggested for reshoring U.S. solar manufacturing, which includes tariffs, supply-side policies, and domestic content incentives [13]

Core Insights - Rio Tinto has launched a new 25-megawatt solar plant at its Kennecott copper operations in Utah, enhancing its renewable energy capacity and sustainability efforts [1] - The solar plant utilizes tellurium produced at the site to manufacture the solar panels, demonstrating a circular critical-minerals supply chain [1] - With the addition of this new plant, Kennecott now has a total solar capacity of 30 megawatts, sufficient to power approximately 1,026 average American homes annually [1] - The new solar capacity is expected to reduce Kennecott's Scope 2 emissions by about 6%, equating to a reduction of 20,000 tons [1]