Sonrotoclax(BCL2 抑制剂)

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百济神州(688235):业绩高双位数增长,2025预计实现GAAP盈利
Zhongshan Securities· 2025-03-17 03:00
Investment Rating - The report provides a positive outlook for the company, indicating a strong performance in the upcoming year with expectations of achieving GAAP net profit in 2025 [6][22]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of $3.81 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 55%, with a significant reduction in GAAP operating losses to $568 million [3][13]. - The core products are experiencing accelerated growth, with sales of Baiyueze® (Zebutinib) reaching $2 billion in 2024, a 106% increase year-on-year, and Bai Ze An® (Tislelizumab) sales at $621 million, a 16% increase [4][16][17]. - The company is entering a critical phase with multiple clinical data readouts expected, including promising results from its Bcl-2 inhibitor Sonrotoclax for treating CLL [5][19]. - The company has provided clear profit guidance for 2025, expecting to achieve a GAAP net profit, with projected revenues between 352 billion to 381 billion RMB, reflecting a growth of 29.35% to 40% [6][23]. Summary by Sections Revenue Growth and Loss Reduction - The company reported a strong revenue performance with a projected revenue of $3.81 billion for 2024, a 55% increase year-on-year, and a significant reduction in GAAP operating losses [3][13]. - Non-GAAP operating profit is expected to be $45.36 million, marking a turnaround from previous losses [3][13]. Core Product Performance - Bai Ze An® (Tislelizumab) sales are projected at $621 million for 2024, a 16% increase, with ongoing regulatory reviews for new indications [4][16]. - Baiyueze® (Zebutinib) achieved sales of $2 billion, a 106% increase, with strong market share growth in the US and Europe [4][17][18]. Clinical Pipeline and Data Readouts - The company is advancing its clinical pipeline with 13 new molecules entering clinical trials in 2024, significantly higher than the previous year [5][21]. - Key clinical trials for Sonrotoclax and other products are expected to yield important data in 2025, potentially leading to accelerated approval applications [5][19]. Profit Guidance for 2025 - The company has set a clear profit guidance for 2025, expecting to achieve a GAAP net profit, with revenues projected between 352 billion to 381 billion RMB [6][23]. - The anticipated gross margin for 2025 is between 80% to 90%, indicating strong profitability potential [23].
百济神州业绩快报点评:业绩高双位数增长,2025预计实现GAAP盈利
Zhongshan Securities· 2025-03-17 01:19
Investment Rating - The report provides a positive outlook for the company, indicating a strong performance and growth potential, with expectations of achieving GAAP net profit in 2025 [6][22]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of $3.81 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 55%, with a significant reduction in GAAP operating losses [3][13]. - The core products are experiencing accelerated growth, with sales of Baiyueze® (Zebutinib) reaching $2 billion in 2024, a 106% increase year-on-year, and Bai Ze An® (Tislelizumab) sales at $621 million, a 16% increase [4][16][17]. - The company has entered a new phase of clinical data readouts, with 13 new molecules entering clinical trials in 2024, significantly higher than the previous year [5][21]. Summary by Sections Revenue Growth and Profitability - The company reported a projected revenue of $3.81 billion for 2024, with a 73% increase in product revenue driven by the sales of Baiyueze® and Bai Ze An® [3][13]. - The GAAP operating loss is expected to decrease to $568 million, a reduction of $640 million year-on-year, while non-GAAP operating profit is projected at $45.36 million [3][13]. Core Product Performance - Bai Ze An® sales are projected at $621 million for 2024, with ongoing FDA reviews for new indications, while Baiyueze® sales are expected to reach $2 billion, with significant market share growth in Europe [4][16][17]. - The company is solidifying its leading position in the CLL market, with Baiyueze® being the most widely approved BTK inhibitor globally [18]. Clinical Pipeline and Future Prospects - The company is advancing multiple clinical trials, including the Bcl-2 inhibitor Sonrotoclax, with data readouts expected in 2025 for various indications [5][19]. - The company has provided clear guidance for 2025, expecting a revenue range of 35.2 to 38.1 billion RMB, with a gross margin of 80%-90% and positive cash flow from operations [22][23].