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(经济观察)中国5月金融数据传递三大关键信息
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-06-13 14:16
中新社北京6月13日电 (记者 夏宾)中国央行13日公布的5月金融数据显示出金融总量合理增长,有力支 持实体经济。 具体看,5月末,社会融资规模同比增长8.7%,比上年同期高0.3个百分点;广义货币(M2)同比增长 7.9%,比上年同期高0.9个百分点;人民币贷款余额同比增长7.1%......这组最新金融数据传递出三大关键 信号。 其一,政府债成拉动社融增长"主引擎"。 5月,社会融资规模增量2.29万亿元(人民币,下同),同比多增2247亿元,主要是受到政府债券和企业债 券等直接融资的拉动。 降息落地有助于支撑贷款需求增长。有银行客户经理反映,现在银行客户普遍都对利率调整比较关注, 5月份央行降低政策利率,作为贷款市场定价基准的贷款市场报价利率也随之下行,很多企业感到利率 更划算,提款意愿明显增加。 外部环境变化也对信贷形势产生边际影响。市场人士表示,4月以来,很多外贸企业积极应对关税冲 击,加快实现多元化发展,相关信贷需求有所增加。5月中旬,中美日内瓦经贸会谈达成了90天内互相 大幅降低关税的协议,一些外贸企业紧抓豁免期抢出口,信贷需求加快落地,也对贷款增长有所支撑。 值得注意的是,个人贷款增长反映了经 ...
2025政府工作报告评述:金融支持、政策协同与改革深化的可持续发展路径|聚焦两会
清华金融评论· 2025-03-10 10:30
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of financial support, monetary and fiscal policies, and government reforms in achieving sustainable development goals, highlighting their feasibility and expected positive effects [1][15]. Financial Support Policy Framework - The policy framework focuses on innovative tools and structural optimization to support sustainable development [2]. - Structural monetary policy tools, such as "swap convenience" and "repo increase re-lending," are expected to expand operations to over 300 billion yuan in 2025, targeting technology innovation, green transformation, and support for small and micro enterprises [3]. Monetary Policy - The report advocates for a moderately loose monetary policy, with measures like interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions to maintain liquidity and align social financing with economic growth [3][5]. - The expected outcome includes a more favorable financing environment for sustainable development projects, reducing costs and attracting investments in green energy and environmental protection [5]. Fiscal Policy - A more proactive fiscal policy is proposed, with a deficit rate set at 4% for 2025, increasing the deficit scale to 5.66 trillion yuan, which will support infrastructure investment and housing projects [6][8]. - Special bonds and local government bonds are emphasized to ensure funds are directed towards significant strategic areas, enhancing the effectiveness of fiscal spending [6][8]. Capital Market Reform - The report suggests deepening capital market reforms to attract long-term funds and optimize market ecology, including easing restrictions on social security and insurance funds in equity markets [4]. - The introduction of digital finance into the financial standard system aims to enhance resource allocation efficiency and guide capital towards high-value-added sectors [4]. Real Estate Financial Strategies - Strategies include lowering mortgage rates and down payment ratios to stabilize the real estate market, with a focus on preventing debt default risks [7][11]. - Investments in new urbanization and high-standard farmland construction are highlighted as crucial for sustainable development [7]. Reform and Market Dynamics - The report calls for breaking down institutional barriers and enhancing market vitality through reforms in tax collection and financial standards [10][12]. - Strengthening financial regulation and promoting a unified national market are essential for risk prevention and resource allocation efficiency [12]. Conclusion - The combination of financial support, policy coordination, and deepened reforms is positioned as a sustainable development pathway, with a focus on achieving a GDP growth target of 5% for 2025 and enhancing the contribution of green and digital industries to the economy [14][15].