INVESTOR PRESENTATION 2025 Fourth Quarter ©2026 Arch Capital Group Ltd. All rights reserved. ©2026 Arch Capital Group Ltd. All rights reserved. 1 Informational Statements The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a "safe harbor" for forward-looking statements. This release or any other written or oral statements made by or on behalf of Arch and its subsidiaries may include forward-looking statements, which reflect the Company's current views with respect to future events and financial pe ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - AFG's Core Net Operating Earnings were $10.29 per share for the full year 2025, with a core operating return on equity of 18.2% [5] - For Q4 2025, Core Net Operating Earnings per share were $3.65, resulting in an annualized core return on equity of 25.2% [5] - The company returned over $700 million to shareholders in 2025, including $334 million in special dividends and $274 million in regular dividends [6][10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Underwriting profits in specialty property and casualty businesses grew 41% in Q4 2025, with a combined ratio of 84.1%, an improvement of nearly 5 points from the prior year [14] - Gross written premiums for Q4 2025 were up 2%, while net written premiums were down 1% compared to the same period in 2024 [14] - The Property and Transportation Group achieved a 70.6% combined ratio in Q4 2025, an improvement of nearly 19 points from the prior year [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The annualized return on alternative investments in the P&C portfolio was 0.9% for Q4 2025, down from 4.9% in the prior year [8] - AFG's investment portfolio totaled $17.2 billion, with approximately 65% invested in fixed maturities yielding about 5.25% [7][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - AFG aims for premium growth of 3%-5% in 2026, with a combined ratio target of approximately 92.5% [23] - The company is optimistic about several startup businesses and expects to see growth opportunities in specialty casualty and other lines [24][68] - AFG's strategy includes maintaining a disciplined focus on underwriting profitability while pursuing growth opportunities [24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the strength of reserves and the ability to navigate competitive conditions while pursuing profitable growth [24] - The company anticipates a stable crop year in 2026, which is expected to positively impact the crop insurance business [47] - Management acknowledged pockets of softening rates but remains focused on disciplined growth strategies [24] Other Important Information - AFG declared a special dividend of $1.50 per share, payable on February 25, 2026, with an aggregate amount of approximately $125 million [9] - The company has declared $55.50 per share in special dividends since 2021, totaling $4.7 billion [10] Q&A Session Summary Question: What does the 2026 business plan assume in terms of rates relative to the 5% P&C renewal pricing? - Management indicated that they do not specifically identify amounts for prior development in the combined ratio but expect favorable development based on historical trends [27] Question: Was there any change in loss picks for the casualty underlying loss ratio? - Management noted continued caution around social inflation-exposed businesses and adjustments in loss picks, particularly in California workers' compensation [30][32] Question: What drove the inflection in pricing for the lender-placed business? - Management expressed confidence in the profitability of the lender-placed business and noted that pricing can vary based on client property characteristics [53][55] Question: Are the social inflation-related businesses stabilized? - Management indicated that corrective steps have been taken, and there are opportunities for mid-single-digit growth in these businesses [60] Question: What is the outlook for the alternative investment portfolio? - Management expects a return to historical levels of 10% or better, contingent on improvements in the multifamily property market [62][63]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - AFG's core net operating earnings were $10.29 per share for the full year 2025, with a core operating return on equity of 18.2% [5] - For Q4 2025, core net operating earnings per share were $3.65, resulting in an annualized fourth quarter core return on equity of 25.2% [5] - The company returned over $700 million to shareholders in 2025, including $334 million in special dividends and $274 million in regular dividends [6][10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Underwriting profit in specialty property and casualty insurance grew 41% in Q4 2025, with a combined ratio of 84.1%, an improvement of nearly 5 points from the prior year [12][13] - Gross written premiums for Q4 2025 increased by 2%, while net written premiums decreased by 1% compared to the same period in 2024 [13] - The property and transportation group achieved a combined ratio of 70.6% in Q4 2025, an improvement of nearly 19 points from the prior year [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The annualized return on alternative investments in the P&C portfolio was 0.9% for Q4 2025, down from 4.9% in the prior year [8] - The company expects a growth in net written premiums of 3%-5% for 2026, with a combined ratio target of approximately 92.5% [22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - AFG aims to maintain a disciplined focus on underwriting profitability while pursuing growth opportunities in 2026 [24] - The company is optimistic about several startup businesses and expects to see progress in areas like Specialty Construction and Embedded Solutions [45] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the strength of reserves and the ability to navigate changing economic conditions [12] - The company is mindful of softening rates and competitive conditions but believes its reserve strength and healthy rate environment will support growth [24] Other Important Information - AFG's leverage ratio is less than 28%, with no debt maturities until 2030, and insurance company financial strength ratings at A+ [10] - The company declared a special dividend of $1.50 per share, payable on February 25, 2026 [9] Q&A Session Summary Question: What does the 2026 business plan assume in terms of rates relative to the 5% P&C renewal pricing? - Management indicated that they are not specifically identifying amounts for prior development but expect favorable development based on their reserving strategy [27] Question: Was there any change in loss picks for the casualty underlying loss ratio? - Management noted continued caution around social inflation-exposed businesses and adjustments in loss picks, particularly in California workers' compensation [30][31] Question: What drove the inflection in pricing in the lender-placed business? - Management stated that pricing can vary based on client property types and that the business remains extremely profitable despite some lumpiness in pricing [56] Question: Are the social inflation-related businesses stabilized? - Management indicated that corrective steps have been taken, and there is potential for mid-single-digit growth in these businesses moving forward [62] Question: What is the outlook for the alternative investment portfolio? - Management expects a return to historical levels of returns on alternatives will require a better rate environment for multifamily properties [66]

Core Insights - The company reported a consolidated pretax operating income of $236 million for Q4 2025, down from $285 million in the previous year, with a combined ratio of 96% compared to 92.7% [3] - For the full year 2025, the consolidated pretax operating income reached $1 billion, with a combined ratio of 94.7% [3] - Specialty insurance net premiums earned grew by 10.9% for the full year, surpassing $5 billion for the first time, while the combined ratio for specialty insurance was 93.2% [2][3] - Title insurance reported a 12% increase in premium and fee revenue for Q4 2025, with a pretax operating income of $66 million, up from $55 million in the same quarter last year [15][18] Financial Performance - The company achieved a net operating income of $185 million for Q4 2025, down from $227 million year-over-year, with a per-share income of 74¢ compared to 90¢ [4] - The average reinvestment rate on corporate bonds was 4.6%, with a total bond portfolio book yield of 4.75% [4] - The company declared nearly $700 million in dividends and repurchased $56 million worth of shares, bringing total capital return for the year to just over $1 billion [6][7] Specialty Insurance Insights - Specialty insurance's pretax operating income for Q4 was $178 million, down from $228 million, with a combined ratio of 97.3% [2][8] - The loss ratio for specialty insurance was 67.6% for Q4, including 2.2 percentage points of favorable prior year loss reserve development [9] - The company noted strong rate increases in commercial auto and general liability, with net premiums written up 6.1% in Q4 [8][10] Title Insurance Insights - Title insurance's premium and fee revenue for Q4 was $789 million, marking a 12% increase from the previous year, with direct title operations premiums up 18% [15][16] - The combined ratio for title insurance improved to 94% in Q4, down from 94.4% [16][18] - The company plans to focus on technological solutions for title agents and operational efficiency in 2026 [18][19] Market Outlook - The company anticipates continued growth in specialty insurance, driven by new operating companies and a focus on underwriting excellence [13][19] - For 2026, the company expects commercial premiums to improve by about 20%, while residential premiums are projected to see single-digit growth [35] - The company remains committed to maintaining pricing discipline and managing loss trends effectively [24][46]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, the company reported consolidated pre-tax operating income of $236 million, down from $285 million in Q4 2024, with a consolidated combined ratio of 96% compared to 92.7% [4] - For the full year 2025, consolidated pre-tax operating income was $1 billion, with a combined ratio of 94.7% [4] - The operating return on beginning equity was 14.1%, and book value per share increased by 22% [4][9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Specialty insurance net premiums earned grew by 8.3% in Q4 2025 and by 10.9% for the full year, surpassing $5 billion for the first time [5] - Specialty insurance pre-tax operating income for Q4 was $178 million, down from $228 million, with a combined ratio of 97.3 compared to 91.8 [5] - Title insurance premiums and fees increased by 12.4% in Q4 and by 9.1% for the full year, with pre-tax operating income rising to $65 million from $55.4 million [5][6][17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The commercial sector showed strong activity, while the residential market faced challenges due to pricing and affordability issues [16] - Commercial premiums accounted for 29% of earned premiums in Q4, up from 23% in the previous year [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain pricing discipline and underwriting excellence, focusing on long-term profitability rather than short-term growth [24][15] - Investments in technology and data analytics are expected to enhance operational efficiency and risk selection [11][49] - The company plans to continue expanding its specialty operating companies, which contributed over $300 million in net premiums written in 2025 [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving consistent performance in 2026, despite potential pricing pressures in the market [23][24] - The company anticipates solid growth and profitability in specialty insurance, driven by contributions from new operating companies [15] - Management highlighted the importance of conservative reserving practices and quick reactions to observed loss trends [12][30] Other Important Information - The company declared nearly $700 million in dividends and repurchased $56 million worth of shares, totaling over $1 billion in capital returns for the year [9] - The company has $850 million remaining in its share repurchase program, indicating a strong capital position [57] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the combined ratio targets for 2026? - Management indicated a target combined ratio around the same level as 2025, emphasizing discipline in pricing and underwriting [23][24] Question: What led to the higher loss pick in commercial auto? - Management noted that while paid claims did not reflect changes, higher case reserves indicated increasing trends in bodily injury claims and litigation [25][27] Question: What is the outlook for the title business in 2026? - Management expects commercial premiums to improve by 15-20%, while residential premiums may see single-digit growth [34] Question: Are there geographic patterns in case reserves? - Management did not identify geographic patterns but noted an increase in bodily injury claims and litigation frequency [42][43] Question: What actions are being taken in response to loss trends? - Management emphasized the importance of rate adjustments in response to observed trends, with a focus on risk selection and targeted rate increases [49][50]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, the company reported consolidated pre-tax operating income of $236 million, down from $285 million in Q4 2024, with a consolidated combined ratio of 96% compared to 92.7% [4] - For the full year 2025, consolidated pre-tax operating income was $1 billion, with a combined ratio of 94.7% [4] - The operating return on beginning equity was 14.1%, and book value per share increased by 22% [4][9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Specialty insurance net premiums earned grew by 8.3% in Q4 2025 and by 10.9% for the full year, surpassing $5 billion for the first time [5] - Specialty insurance pre-tax operating income for Q4 was $178 million, down from $228 million, with a combined ratio of 97.3 compared to 91.8 [5] - Title insurance premiums and fees increased by 12.4% in Q4 2025, with pre-tax operating income rising to $65 million from $55.4 million [5][17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The commercial sector showed strong activity, while the residential market faced challenges due to pricing and affordability issues [16] - Commercial premiums accounted for 29% of earned premiums in Q4 2025, up from 23% in the same quarter last year [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain pricing discipline and underwriting excellence, focusing on bottom-line profitability rather than top-line growth [24] - Investments in technology modernization and data analytics are expected to yield long-term benefits despite short-term strains on the expense ratio [11] - The specialty portfolio is now more diversified, which positions the company to manage market cycles effectively [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving consistent performance in 2026, despite potential pricing pressures in the market [24] - The company anticipates continued growth and profitability in specialty insurance, driven by new specialty operating companies [15] - The outlook for the title business in 2026 suggests a 15%-20% improvement in commercial premiums, while residential premiums are expected to see single-digit growth [34] Other Important Information - The company declared nearly $700 million in dividends and repurchased $56 million worth of shares, with a total capital return exceeding $1 billion for the year [9] - The company has $850 million remaining in its share repurchase program, indicating a strong capital position [57] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the combined ratio targets for 2026? - Management expects to maintain a combined ratio around 93.2, with variations depending on the operating company [23] Question: What led to the higher loss pick in commercial auto? - Management noted that case reserves were higher, indicating a conservative approach to loss trends, despite no immediate changes in paid claims [27] Question: What is the outlook for the title business in 2026? - Management anticipates a 15%-20% improvement in commercial premiums and a single-digit increase in residential premiums for 2026 [34] Question: Are there geographic patterns in case reserves? - Management did not identify geographic patterns but noted an increase in bodily injury claims and litigation frequency [42] Question: What actions will be taken in response to loss trends? - Management emphasized a focus on rate adjustments and risk selection to address observed loss trends [49]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, the company reported consolidated pre-tax operating income of $236 million, down from $285 million in Q4 2024, with a consolidated combined ratio of 96% compared to 92.7% [4] - For the full year 2025, consolidated pre-tax operating income was $1 billion, with a combined ratio of 94.7% [4] - The operating return on beginning equity was 14.1%, and book value per share increased by 22% [4][10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Specialty insurance net premiums earned grew by 8.3% in Q4 2025 and by 10.9% for the full year, surpassing $5 billion for the first time [5] - Specialty insurance pre-tax operating income for Q4 was $178 million, down from $228 million, with a combined ratio of 97.3 compared to 91.8 [5] - Title insurance premiums and fees increased by 12.4% in Q4 2025, with pre-tax operating income rising to $65 million from $55.4 million [5][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The commercial sector showed strong activity, while the residential market faced challenges due to pricing and affordability issues [17] - Commercial premiums accounted for 29% of earned premiums in Q4 2025, up from 23% in the same quarter last year [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain pricing discipline and underwriting excellence, focusing on profitability over top-line growth [25] - Investments in technology modernization, data analytics, and AI are expected to yield long-term benefits despite short-term expense ratio pressures [12] - The specialty portfolio is now more diversified, which positions the company to manage market cycles effectively [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving consistent performance in 2026, despite potential pricing pressures in the market [25] - The company anticipates solid growth and profitability in specialty insurance, driven by contributions from new specialty operating companies [16] Other Important Information - The company declared nearly $700 million in dividends and repurchased $56 million worth of shares, totaling over $1 billion in capital returns for the year [10] - There is $850 million remaining in the current share repurchase program, with plans to utilize it opportunistically [59] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the combined ratio targets for 2026? - Management expects to maintain a combined ratio around 93.2 for 2026, with variations depending on the operating company [24] Question: What led to the higher loss pick in commercial auto? - Management noted that while paid claims did not reflect changes, case reserves increased, prompting a conservative approach to loss picks [26][28] Question: What is the outlook for the title business in 2026? - The title business is expected to see a 15%-20% improvement in commercial premiums, while residential premiums may see single-digit growth [34] Question: Are there geographic patterns in case reserves? - No significant geographic patterns were detected, but an increase in bodily injury claims and litigation was noted [45][46] Question: How does the company plan to react to loss trend changes? - The company will continue to adjust rates conservatively based on observed trends, focusing on risk selection and targeted rate increases [49][52]

Financial Performance - Old Republic's total shareholder return for the past 10 years was 170%[3] - The company has raised its annual cash dividend for the past 44 years[4] - As of December 31, 2025, the market capitalization was $1124 billion and the stock price was $4564[6] - Shareholders' equity was $591 billion, with a book value per share (BVPS) of $2421[6] - Trailing four-quarter operating income was $7925 million, resulting in earnings per share (EPS) of $315 and an operating return on equity (ROE) of 141%[6] - Net premiums and fees earned increased by 98% in the fourth quarter of 2025, reaching $213 billion, driven by Specialty Insurance (up 83%) and Title Insurance (up 124%)[22] - The regular quarterly dividend was increased by 94% to $029[23] Business Segments - Specialty Insurance accounted for 67% of the $89 billion in 2025 operating revenue, while Title Insurance accounted for 33%[29] - The Title Insurance business holds a 140% market share, ranking it third largest in the industry[51] - Gross premiums and fees for Specialty Insurance in fiscal year 2025 totaled $878 billion[35] Capital Management - Since December 31, 2016, Old Republic has distributed $69 billion in dividends and share repurchases[4] - The company has $856 million remaining authorized for share repurchases[24, 66] - The investment portfolio is composed of 85% fixed income and 15% equities, totaling $168 billion[74]

Core Insights - Old Republic International (ORI) reported a revenue of $2.36 billion for the quarter ended December 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 9.5% and exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.31 billion by 2.1% [1] - The company's EPS for the same period was $0.74, down from $0.90 a year ago, resulting in an EPS surprise of -16.85% compared to the consensus estimate of $0.89 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - The Specialty Insurance Segment reported a loss ratio of 67.6%, higher than the average estimate of 63.3% [4] - The Specialty Insurance Segment's expense ratio was 29.7%, slightly above the estimated 29.5% [4] - The Title Insurance Segment had a combined ratio of 94%, better than the average estimate of 96.5% [4] - The Title Insurance Segment's loss ratio was 0.7%, significantly lower than the average estimate of 1.5% [4] - The Title Insurance Segment's expense ratio was 93.3%, below the estimated 95% [4] Revenue Breakdown - Operating revenue for the Specialty Insurance Segment showed net premiums earned of $1.34 billion, slightly below the average estimate of $1.35 billion, with a year-over-year change of +8.1% [4] - The net investment income for the Specialty Insurance Segment was $157 million, exceeding the estimate of $154.08 million, representing a +10.2% change year-over-year [4] - Operating revenue for Corporate & Other was $11.2 million, above the estimate of $10.65 million, but this reflects a -21.7% change compared to the year-ago quarter [4] - The Title Insurance Segment's net premiums earned were $718.1 million, below the average estimate of $733.34 million, with a year-over-year change of +2.4% [4] - The net investment income for the Title Insurance Segment was $17.9 million, slightly above the estimate of $17.39 million, showing an +11.9% change year-over-year [4] - Other income for the Specialty Insurance Segment was reported at $47.2 million, exceeding the average estimate of $45.81 million, with a year-over-year change of +6.3% [4] Stock Performance - Shares of Old Republic have returned -7.5% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.7% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Overall Results - Old Republic International Corporation reported a net income of $206.3 million for Q4 2025, a significant increase from $105.1 million in Q4 2024 [2][3] - The net income excluding investment gains (net operating income) was $184.7 million, down 18.6% from $227.0 million in the previous year [2][3] - The combined ratio for the quarter was 96.0%, compared to 92.7% in the prior year, indicating a decline in underwriting profitability [2][3] Financial Performance - Consolidated net premiums and fees earned reached $2.1 billion, reflecting a 9.8% increase year-over-year [3][6] - Net investment income increased by 7.9% to $183.8 million, driven by higher investment yields and a larger asset base [3][11] - Total operating revenues for the quarter were $2.4 billion, up 9.5% from the previous year [6] Shareholder Returns - Total capital returned to shareholders was $742 million in Q4 2025, consisting of $686 million in dividends and $56 million in share repurchases [27] - The book value per share increased to $24.21, a 6.0% rise from $22.84 at the end of 2024 [2][27] Segment Performance - Specialty Insurance net premiums earned increased by 8.3% for Q4 and 10.9% for the full year, driven by premium rate increases and strong renewal retention [10][12] - Title Insurance segment saw net premiums and fees earned rise by 12.4% for the quarter and 9.1% for the full year, supported by lower interest rates and robust commercial business production [16][19] - Corporate & Other segment reported a decline in net premiums earned by 4.5% for Q4 and 35.6% for the full year, impacted by the sale of the RFIG Run-off business [21][22] Investment Portfolio - As of December 31, 2025, the investment portfolio was allocated approximately 85% to fixed income securities and short-term investments, and 15% to equity securities [24][25] - The investment management strategy focuses on maintaining quality investments that provide consistent income streams while minimizing exposure to high-risk assets [25]