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Spotify CEO Floats Goal Of A Billion Subscribers, Sees Streamer Faring Better Than Most Amid Uncertainty As Stock Tumbles After Q1 Earnings
Deadline· 2025-04-29 14:03
Core Insights - Spotify's CEO Daniel Ek expressed confidence in the company's resilience amid global uncertainty and volatility, suggesting that Spotify is becoming increasingly essential to users' lives [1] - Despite a 9% drop in shares following Q1 earnings and 2025 forecasts, Ek reassured investors about the long-term growth story of Spotify, attributing short-term fluctuations to broader macroeconomic conditions [2] - The company reported a 10% year-on-year increase in monthly active users (MAUs), reaching 678 million, although this figure remained flat compared to the previous quarter [2][3] User Growth and Subscriptions - Ad-supported subscribers increased by 9% year-on-year to 423 million, but were flat quarter-over-quarter, while premium subscribers grew by 12% year-on-year and 2% quarter-over-quarter, totaling 268 million [3] - Spotify achieved its highest net additions in Q1 since 2020, with expectations to add 11 million net new MAUs in Q2, although this forecast carries substantial uncertainty [3] Future Aspirations - Ek articulated an ambitious goal of reaching one billion subscribers, indicating a belief in the vast potential of the streaming business beyond current operations [4] - The company is experiencing positive advertising trends and is expanding its capabilities, particularly in video content, which is seeing increased engagement [4] Financial Performance - Spotify's quarterly revenue grew by 15% year-on-year to €4.2 billion ($4.8 billion), aligning with Wall Street forecasts, while operating income was €509 million, falling short of guidance [5] - The company generated €534 million in free cash flow, but net profit decreased to €225 million from €326 million due to higher payroll taxes [5]
Spotify Stock Set to Extend Pullback on Mixed Q1 Results
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-04-29 13:02
Core Insights - Spotify reported first-quarter operating income of 509 million euros, missing analyst estimates of 519.9 million euros, while revenue matched expectations at 4.2 billion euros [1] - Monthly active users (MAUs) grew to 678 million, consistent with the company's prior guidance [1] - The company issued a disappointing operating income forecast for the current quarter [1] Stock Performance - Spotify stock is down 4.8% to $568.90 before the market opens, following a 3.7% dip that ended a four-day winning streak [2] - The stock has increased by 106.4% year over year and 33.6% year to date [2] - The stock's recent rally lost momentum around the $625 level, which also capped a breakout attempt towards its all-time high of $652.18 [2] Options Market Sentiment - A shift in sentiment among options traders, who were more bullish than usual before earnings, may add pressure on the stock [3] - The 10-day call/put volume ratio for Spotify is 1.58, ranking higher than 97% of all readings from the past year [3] Analyst Outlook - The disappointing results may lead analysts to reassess their positive outlooks on Spotify [4] - Currently, 21 of 30 covering brokerages rate Spotify stock as a "buy" or better, with an average 12-month target price of $637.52, representing a 6.6% premium to its latest close [4]