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TOST Skyrockets 78% in a Year: How Should You Play the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-08-13 15:16
Core Insights - Toast, Inc. (TOST) shares have increased by 78% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Internet Software market and the Zacks Computer & Technology sector, which grew by 43.6% and 25.4% respectively [1][8] - The company is a leading provider of software-as-a-service (SaaS) and hardware solutions tailored for the restaurant market [1] Financial Performance - In the second quarter, TOST reported revenues of $1.55 billion, marking a nearly 25% increase and surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.1% [5][8] - The annualized recurring run-rate (ARR) rose by 31% to $1.9 billion [5] - TOST added a record 8,500 net new locations, bringing the total to 148,000, which is a 24% year-over-year increase [6][8] - The company anticipates a 29% growth in fintech and subscription gross profit for 2025, up from an earlier estimate of 26% [10] Market Expansion and Product Innovation - TOST is expanding its presence in the U.S. SMB restaurant market and has ventured into Australia, its fourth international market [6][7] - The launch of Toast Go 3 Handheld, featuring ToastIQ, aims to enhance the ordering and payment process for restaurant staff [9] - The company has surpassed 10,000 live locations across various segments, indicating strong traction among large QSR brands [7] Challenges and Competitive Landscape - The restaurant industry faces challenges such as consumer spending fluctuations, labor inflation, and supply chain volatility, which could impact TOST's performance [11] - A decline in gross payment volume (GPV) per location poses a risk, despite overall GPV increasing by 23% year-over-year to $50 billion [12] - Competitive pressures from companies like Block, Oracle, and Lightspeed could limit TOST's growth potential [16][18] Valuation Concerns - TOST's stock is considered to have a stretched valuation, with a price/book multiple of 12.07X compared to the industry's 6.94X [19][20] - The company is currently rated with a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting caution for new investors [25]
Can TOST's Tech-Driven Recipes Spice Up its Profitability & Revenue?
ZACKS· 2025-06-18 14:01
Core Insights - Toast Inc. (TOST) is expanding its presence across various geographies and segments, targeting not only small and medium-sized restaurants but also food & beverage retail and enterprise chains, currently supporting around 140,000 locations globally [1][9] - The company's strategy focuses on scaling locations, demonstrating growth in new markets, increasing platform adoption with a data and AI focus, and maintaining high standards while gradually expanding margins [2][7] Product and Technology Developments - Toast has developed an all-in-one platform tailored for the restaurant industry, leveraging AI to enhance usability and efficiency for operators [3] - The introduction of Sous Chef, an AI assistant for restaurant operators, is currently in pilot testing and aims to provide business insights and manage various operational tasks [4] - ToastIQ, an AI-powered intelligence engine, has shown positive impacts for early adopters, enhancing the platform's capabilities [5] Operational Enhancements - Recent updates for front-of-house staff include improvements to POS systems, kiosks, and kitchen displays, along with new tools for guest engagement such as Websites, Branded Apps, and AI-powered SMS Marketing [6] - The company has also introduced enhanced reporting, payroll, accounting tools, and a Benchmarking tool to help restaurants manage costs [6] Financial Performance - Toast has raised its full-year outlook, now expecting a 26% growth in fintech and subscription gross profit, with adjusted EBITDA estimated at $550 million and a 31% margin, reflecting a five-point increase from previous estimates [7][9] - TOST shares have gained 76.7% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Internet-Software industry's growth of 37.2% [11] Valuation Metrics - TOST trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 3.2X, which is lower than the industry's average of 5.68X, indicating potential undervaluation [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TOST's earnings for 2025 has been rising over the past 60 days, suggesting positive market sentiment [13]