Core Insights - Visa Inc. is scheduled to report its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on October 28, 2025, with earnings estimated at $2.96 per share and revenues of $10.61 billion [1][5] - The earnings estimate reflects a year-over-year increase of 9.2%, while revenue is projected to grow by 10.3% compared to the previous year [2][5] Financial Performance - For fiscal 2025, Visa's revenue consensus estimate stands at $39.85 billion, indicating a year-over-year rise of 10.9, and EPS is projected at $11.43, suggesting a 13.7% increase [3] - Visa has a history of exceeding earnings estimates, having beaten projections in the last four quarters by an average of 3.9% [3][4] - The company has an Earnings ESP of +3.70% and a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a favorable outlook for the upcoming earnings report [4] Growth Drivers - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a 6.2% increase in total Gross Dollar Volume year-over-year, with a model prediction of 5.5% growth [5] - Total processed transactions are expected to grow by 10% year-over-year, with Visa's model predicting a 9.5% increase [6] - Payment volumes are projected to rise by 8.6% year-over-year, with U.S. operations expected to increase by 7.3% [7] - Data processing revenues are estimated to grow by 13.3% year-over-year, while service revenues are expected to rise by 10.2% [8] Expense Considerations - Adjusted total operating expenses are anticipated to increase by 10.6% year-over-year due to higher personnel, professional fees, and processing expenses [11] - Client incentives are expected to exceed $4 billion in the fiscal fourth quarter, which may offset some positive impacts from higher volumes [11][10] Stock Performance and Valuation - Visa's stock has increased by 9.3% year-to-date, outperforming the industry decline of 5% but underperforming the S&P 500's rise of 15.5% [12] - Visa is currently trading at 26.68X forward 12-month earnings, above the industry average of 21.48X, indicating a somewhat stretched valuation [16] - In comparison, Mastercard is trading at 30.88X and American Express at 20.70X, with the latter offering better value [18] Strategic Initiatives - Visa's stablecoin initiatives are seen as a significant shift in global payments, enhancing its infrastructure for digital currencies and improving capital efficiency for cross-border transactions [19] - Regulatory clarity under the GENIUS Act is expected to bolster Visa's long-term growth prospects [19] - Despite competition and antitrust scrutiny, Visa's strong network effects and innovation provide resilience [19] Investment Outlook - Current valuation suggests limited near-term upside, with shares outperforming Mastercard but lagging behind the S&P 500 [20] - The upcoming earnings report will be critical for assessing momentum in Visa's stablecoin rollout and international expansion [20]