Summary of Orient Cables Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Orient Cables - **Industry**: Submarine cable manufacturing and offshore wind energy - **Headquarters**: Ningbo, Zhejiang, China - **Established**: 1998 Key Takeaways Industry Outlook - **Offshore Wind Demand**: Management anticipates strong demand for offshore wind, with over 50 GW of project auctions delayed from the 14th Five-Year Plan (14-FYP) to the 15th Five-Year Plan (15-FYP), expected to be completed in 2026/27 [4][5] - **Cumulative Capacity Growth**: China's cumulative offshore wind power capacity is projected to grow at an ~18% CAGR from 2022 to 2027 [8] Competitive Landscape - **Stable Competition**: The submarine cable manufacturing sector is characterized by high entry barriers, leading to a stable competitive landscape with only 5-6 manufacturers for 220kV cables and 2-3 for 500kV cables [4] - **Market Share Expectations**: Management expects its market share for submarine cable orders to exceed 30% in the 15-FYP, with gross profit margins (GPM) for submarine cables projected to remain elevated at 30-40% [4] Capacity Expansion - **New Production Facility**: Orient Cables is constructing a new production facility in Yantai, Shandong, with a production value of RMB 3-4 billion and a construction cycle of 2-3 years [4] - **Investment in Guangxi**: An investment agreement has been signed with local authorities in Beihai, Guangxi, contingent on offshore wind demand [4] Overseas Expansion - **European Market Focus**: Management is optimistic about overseas expansion, particularly in Europe, driven by rising ESG requirements and business development efforts [4][5] - **Potential for Growth**: Despite some project delays, no cancellations have been reported, indicating potential for increased order intake and revenue from overseas markets [5] Investment Thesis - **Rating**: Overweight (OW) with a price target of RMB 68.00 by December 2026 [20][22] - **Key Factors for Investment**: 1. Rising offshore wind demand outlook 2. High entry barriers and stable competitive landscape 3. Upside potential from overseas expansions [20][21] Risks to Rating and Price Target - **Downside Risks**: - Slower-than-expected offshore wind development - Increased competition leading to submarine cable overcapacity - Lower-than-expected average selling prices (ASPs) - Higher-than-expected costs [23] Conclusion Orient Cables is positioned favorably within the offshore wind and submarine cable manufacturing sectors, with strong growth prospects driven by increasing demand and strategic capacity expansions. However, potential risks related to market dynamics and cost pressures should be monitored closely.

Summary of Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology Co. Ltd. Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology Co. Ltd. (ZTT) - **Industry**: Utilities in China - **Stock Rating**: Overweight - **Market Capitalization**: Rmb61,160 million - **Current Share Price**: Rmb17.92 (as of October 27, 2025) - **Price Target**: Rmb22.07, indicating a potential upside of 23% from the current price [6][66] Financial Performance - **9M25 Results**: - Net Profit: Rmb2,338 million, up 1.2% year-over-year - Revenue: Rmb38.0 billion, up 10.7% year-over-year - Gross Profit Margin (GPM): 14.6%, down 1.2 percentage points year-over-year [3][4] - **3Q25 Results**: - Net Profit: Rmb771 million, down 9.4% year-over-year and down 18.0% quarter-over-quarter - Revenue: Rmb14.4 billion, up 11.4% year-over-year and up 3.8% quarter-over-quarter - GPM: 13.9%, down 0.5 percentage points year-over-year and down 1.5 percentage points quarter-over-quarter [3][4] - **Investment Gains**: - Investment gains from share disposal increased by 557% year-over-year to Rmb259 million, partially offset by a fair value loss of Rmb202 million [3] Order Backlog and Future Guidance - **Order Backlog** (as of October 24, 2025): - Marine Systems: Rmb13.1 billion - Power Transmission: Rmb16.2 billion - New Energy: Rmb2.5 billion - Submarine Cable Order Backlog: Rmb10 billion [4][8] - **Future Expectations**: - Anticipated revenue growth and GPM improvement due to a high-voltage product mix in the submarine cables order backlog, expected to be recognized from 4Q25 to FY26 [4][10] - Expected margin tailwinds with 60-70% of the backlog being high-voltage products [8][10] Product Mix and Market Dynamics - **Product Contribution to 3Q25 Net Profit**: - Power Transmission: ~40% - Marine: ~35% - Optical: ~20% [8] - **Challenges**: - GPM decline attributed to a low-margin product mix from submarine cables and unfavorable revenue mix from lower optical installation and commissioning [8] Valuation and Risks - **Valuation Methodology**: Discounted cash flow model with a 20% conglomerate discount applied [11] - **Key Assumptions**: - WACC: 9.67% - Terminal Growth: 2% - Risks include competition in the submarine cable market, operating cost management, and capital expenditure increases [13] Conclusion - Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology Co. Ltd. shows a modest growth trajectory with a solid order backlog and expectations for improved margins in the coming quarters. However, challenges in product mix and market competition pose risks to its financial performance. The stock is rated as overweight, indicating a favorable outlook compared to its peers in the utilities sector [6][66].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: China's Wind Power Sector - **Current Status**: The sector has turned a corner after years of price competition, with a recovery in wind turbine prices observed year-to-date [3][6][14]. Core Insights - **Demand Resilience**: Demand for wind power is expected to remain strong through 2026-27, driven by: - Healthy growth in wind power tender volumes, which increased by 9% year-on-year to 72GW in the first half of 2025 [6][14]. - Favorable project internal rates of return (IRRs) with less impact from new electricity tariff policies, as evidenced by a bidding result of CNY0.319/kWh for wind power in Shandong Province [6][14]. - Anticipated acceleration in offshore wind installations due to supportive policies under China's 15th Five-Year Plan [6][14]. - **Installation Forecasts**: - Forecasted growth of 29% year-on-year in wind installations to 112GW in 2025, with 100GW for onshore (+23% year-on-year) and 12GW for offshore (+117%) [6][14]. - Expected annual demand of 107GW/108GW for 2026/27, primarily driven by robust offshore wind demand [6][14]. - **Market Dynamics**: - Reduced market competition is anticipated to lead to better turbine margins, supported by easing price competition and improved sales mix [7][22]. - The average bidding price for wind turbines in China has rebounded by 10% year-on-year to CNY1.6/W as of June 2025 [7][22]. Company-Specific Insights - **Ningbo Orient Wires & Cables (NBO)**: - Initiated coverage with a Buy rating, expecting a 40% earnings CAGR from 2024-27, driven by offshore wind project construction and high-end cable product penetration [4][10][37]. - Target price set at CNY83, based on a 26x FY26 EPS of CNY3.20, indicating a 19% upside [10][110]. - **Goldwind**: - Also initiated coverage with a Buy rating, forecasting a 41% earnings CAGR from 2024-27, supported by margin improvement and higher contributions from offshore and overseas projects [4][10][38]. - Target price set at HKD18, based on a 17x FY26 EPS of CNY0.97 [10][38]. Emerging Growth Drivers - **Offshore Wind Sector**: Expected to see accelerated demand growth from 2026-30, supported by local consumption and policy backing [8][84]. - **Overseas Demand**: Export sales are emerging as a growth driver, with a projected CAGR of 15% for onshore wind installations outside China from 2025-30 [9][30]. Investment Risks and Catalysts - **Risks**: - Lower-than-expected wind power demand due to policy headwinds or intensified price competition [11][46]. - Longer-than-expected project approval and construction periods [11][46]. - **Catalysts**: - New project tenders and supportive policies expected to boost visibility for demand in 2026-27 [11][46]. Additional Insights - **Market Share**: The wind turbine market in China is highly concentrated, with the top ten players accounting for 99% of new installations in 2024 [72]. - **Export Growth**: Wind turbine exports from China grew 40% year-on-year to 5.2GW in 2024, indicating strong international demand [30][77]. This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting the current state and future outlook of China's wind power sector, along with specific insights into the companies NBO and Goldwind.

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" (OW) rating to Tenaga Nasional Berhad (TNB) and several Chinese power equipment players, indicating a positive outlook for these entities within the ASEAN Power Grid initiative [4]. Core Insights - The ASEAN Power Grid (APG) initiative is expected to gain momentum over the next 5-10 years, primarily driven by Singapore's goal to import approximately 6GW of electricity by 2035, positioning TNB as a key beneficiary [2][6]. - The report anticipates that annual grid capital expenditures (capex) will double from around $10 billion to $20 billion in the coming years, with projections of over $43 billion by 2050 [6][28]. - The APG aims to enhance energy security and efficiency across ASEAN countries by facilitating cross-border electricity trade and optimizing energy resource utilization [18][19]. Summary by Sections Investment Ratings for Thematic Stocks - TNB MK: OW, Price Target (PT) 16, Upside 12% - SG Gencos: SCI SP: OW, PT 7.6, Upside 11%; YTLP MK: UW, PT 3.0, Downside 23%; MER PM: OW, PT 620, Upside 16% - ASEAN Renewables: ADRO IJ: UW, PT 2000, Upside 12% - China Power Equipment: Sieyuan: OW, PT 86, Upside 19%; Huaming Equipment: OW, PT 19, Upside 14%; Orient Cables: OW, PT 68, Upside 35% [4]. Current Status and Future Projections - Currently, only about 3GW of the identified 25GW regional interconnections are operational, but pilot projects indicate renewed momentum for the APG [6][20]. - The report outlines that the APG could require a minimum investment of $100 billion in transmission lines by 2045 to fully integrate the power grids of Southeast Asian countries [19]. Country-Specific Grid Investment Targets - Malaysia: $9.5 billion capex from 2025-2027, with an annual grid capex of $3.2 billion [30]. - Thailand: $11.4 billion capex from 2024-2030, with an annual grid capex of $1.6 billion [30]. - Vietnam: $18.1 billion capex from 2026-2030, with an annual grid capex of $3.6 billion [30]. - Indonesia: $36 billion capex from 2025-2034, with an annual grid capex of $3.6 billion [30]. - Philippines: $19.3 billion capex from 2025-2034, with an annual grid capex of $1.9 billion [30]. Key Drivers for APG Development - Singapore's electricity import demand is a significant driver for the APG, with the country aiming to import low-carbon electricity despite high transmission costs [6][36]. - The report highlights that the APG could facilitate a transition to renewable energy sources, reducing reliance on fossil fuels and potentially lowering electricity costs [60]. Challenges to APG Implementation - The report identifies differing regulatory frameworks and market structures across ASEAN countries as major hurdles to the APG's success [73][80]. - Lack of grid infrastructure standardization and harmonization is also noted as a challenge, necessitating consistent investment in grid infrastructure to facilitate seamless cross-border power trading [80].