Mobileye Global Inc.'s ( MBLY ) share price briefly bounced in early January after the company announced a second Surround ADAS customer and the planned acquisition of Mentee Robotics. This proved short-lived, though, with investors seemingly souring on theRichard Durant is the leader of Narweena, an asset manager focused on finding market dislocations that are the result of a poor understanding of a businesses long-term prospects. Narweena believes that excess risk adjusted returns can be achieved by ident ...

Mobileye Global Inc. (NASDAQ:MBLY) is one of the 10 best NASDAQ growth stocks to buy for the next 10 years. Tigress Financials analyst Ivan Feinseth reaffirmed a Buy rating on Mobileye Global Inc. (NASDAQ:MBLY) while maintaining a price target of $25 on January 29. The firm’s price target suggests an attractive 178% upside from the current levels. This update came after the company released its FY 2025 financial results and provided guidance for Q1 2026, reflecting the firm’s confidence in its growth and s ...

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Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Full-year 2025 revenue reached $1.9 billion, up 15% year-over-year, exceeding prior guidance of 6% growth at the midpoint [15][18] - Adjusted operating income for 2025 was $280 million, a 45% increase year-over-year, with a margin of 15%, up about 300 basis points compared to 2024 [15][18] - Operating cash flow increased by more than 50% in 2025 [4] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - EyeQ volume for 2025 was 35.6 million units, surpassing the original expectation of 32 million-34 million units [16] - The fourth quarter saw EyeQ volume consistent with the high end of guidance at about 8.2 million units, with expectations of 10 million units shipped in Q1 2026 [17][18] - Higher-than-expected SuperVision units contributed to the positive revenue outlook [17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Demand for products remained strong despite a challenging geopolitical environment, indicating resilience in the auto industry [4] - The company anticipates a decline of about 500,000 units for Chinese OEMs compared to 2025, which was slightly above 3 million units [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Mobileye is focusing on launching advanced products, including the EyeQ6 chip, and expanding into humanoid robotics through the acquisition of Mentee Robotics [5][7] - The company aims to leverage synergies between autonomous vehicles and robotics, emphasizing the importance of AI and simulation technologies [12][14] - The strategy includes a unique first-think, slow-think structure for advanced products to enhance precision and scalability [6][10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about volume growth despite flat global auto production, with rising order flows for Q1 2026 [8][22] - The company is experiencing positive demand signals from customers and expects significant growth in next-gen higher ASP ADAS and robotaxi mobility [22] - Management acknowledged challenges related to currency appreciation impacting costs but noted effective hedging strategies in place [22][61] Other Important Information - The company is facing FX headwinds due to the appreciation of the Israeli shekel against the U.S. dollar, which raises headcount costs [22][61] - A non-recurring expense of $7 million related to workforce efficiency initiatives was recorded in Q4 2025 [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Competitive environment and advanced autonomous solutions - Management believes they are closer to launching advanced products than competitors, with a strong advantage in technology maturity [25] Question: Differentiation for Mentee Robotics - Mentee's differentiation lies in its fully autonomous control, vertical integration, and ability to learn from passive observation [30] Question: Surround ADAS engagement with OEMs - The company has seen increased engagement with multiple OEMs, indicating a strong market need for Surround ADAS [39] Question: Mentee's customer interest post-announcement - Significant interest from customers for on-site pilots and proof of concepts has been observed since the CES announcement [42] Question: Pricing dynamics on EyeQ - Pricing is influenced by the mix of EyeQ products, with no significant changes expected, although a second chip at a lower price may impact overall ASP [99][100]

Summary of Mobileye Global Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Mobileye Global (NasdaqGS:MBLY) - **Event**: 2026 Conference held on January 06, 2026 - **Keynote Speaker**: Professor Amnon Shashua, CEO of Mobileye Key Industry Insights - **Acquisition**: Mobileye announced the acquisition of Mentee Robotics, marking its entry into humanoid robotics [1] - **Partnerships**: Collaboration with Volkswagen's MOIA Group to develop autonomous vehicles for the US and Europe [1] Financial Performance and Projections - **RFQs Success**: Mobileye won 95% of all RFQs from its top 10 customers in 2025 [3] - **New Partnerships**: Secured design wins with Volvo and Subaru [3] - **Revenue Pipeline**: Projected pipeline of $24.5 billion over the next eight years, with $18 billion awarded since the IPO, representing a 40% increase since 2023 [4] - **Chips Deployment**: Over 230 million chips deployed, equating to one-eighth of the total cars globally [5] Technology Developments - **REM Technology**: 8 million cars contributing to high-definition map data, with 32 billion miles recorded in 2025 [5] - **Surround ADAS**: New system featuring multiple cameras and radars, with two design wins already secured [6] - **Testing**: Over 100 ID. Buzz vehicles in testing across various locations, including challenging weather conditions [10][14] Future Milestones - **Driverless Services**: Expected launch of driverless services in the US by the end of 2026, with EU homologation in 2027 [18] - **Market Expansion**: Plans to operate in six cities by the end of 2027 and have over 100,000 active self-driving vehicles by 2033 [21] Strategic Insights - **Ecosystem Approach**: Emphasis on integrating vehicle and self-driving systems into a turnkey solution for autonomous mobility [19] - **Cost Reduction**: Focus on reducing costs associated with sensors and computing to enable scalability [51] - **Physical AI Expansion**: Mobileye aims to broaden its scope to include all aspects of physical AI, leveraging synergies between autonomous driving and robotics [59] Technical Innovations - **Artificial Community Intelligence (ACI)**: A new training method using simulated environments to enhance driving policy and validation [36][40] - **Vision-Language Models (VLMs)**: Development of a slow system to provide deep scene understanding, reducing reliance on teleoperators [45] - **Chip Development**: Introduction of the IQ7 chip, designed for advanced workloads, with significant performance advantages over competitors [52] Conclusion - Mobileye is positioned for significant growth through strategic acquisitions, partnerships, and technological advancements in autonomous driving and robotics. The company is focused on scaling its operations while reducing costs and enhancing its product offerings to meet future market demands.

Summary of Mobileye Global Conference Call (December 03, 2025) Company Overview - **Company**: Mobileye Global (NasdaqGS:MBLY) - **Industry**: Autonomous Driving Technology and Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) Key Points Business Focus and Product Development - Mobileye is evolving its core competencies in ADAS, with a focus on next-generation systems for mass-market vehicles that enhance safety and meet stringent future test criteria [3][5][6] - The company is prioritizing the execution of existing design wins, particularly with Volkswagen Group, rather than seeking new design wins at this time [7][8] - There is significant market pull for cost-effective surround ADAS solutions, which are expected to be implemented broadly across various vehicle models [4][6][10] Robotaxi Business - The robotaxi segment is generating enthusiasm from investors and demand from ride-hailing companies like Uber and Lyft, as well as public transit operators [6][15] - Mobileye is exploring the potential of operating its own small fleet of vehicles to demonstrate technology capabilities and drive partnerships [16][27] - The company aims to remove safety drivers from its vehicles by mid-2026 in specific environments, with plans for scaled commercialization by the end of 2026 [22][23] Competitive Landscape - Mobileye acknowledges Waymo as a leader in the robotaxi space, but believes it has scaling advantages and is well-positioned to compete [25][32] - The company is cautious about relying on a few partners for scaling and is considering alternative partnerships to mitigate risks [27][63] Financial Outlook and Market Position - Mobileye expects to ship below demand in Q4 2025, leading to a tight inventory situation at the start of 2026 [38] - The company anticipates growth in market share, particularly in emerging markets like India, with significant vehicle launches planned for 2027 [40][42] - The SuperVision product line is stabilizing, with quarterly unit sales increasing from 12,000 to approximately 15,000-16,000 [43] Technology and Supply Chain Considerations - Mobileye is not directly responsible for sourcing memory components used in its systems, as this is managed by Tier 1 suppliers [56][57] - The company is monitoring potential memory shortages but does not foresee production impacts in the near term [60][61] Strategic Partnerships and Collaborations - Mobileye is not seeing significant interest from customers in committing to large-scale programs with competitors or startups, focusing instead on scaling its own products [63][64] Additional Insights - The company is leveraging lessons learned from competitors like Waymo to navigate regulatory environments and consumer expectations [31][32] - Mobileye's technology is positioned to provide cost savings for OEMs while generating revenue for itself, creating a mutually beneficial dynamic [11][14] This summary encapsulates the key discussions and insights from the Mobileye Global conference call, highlighting the company's strategic focus, competitive positioning, and market outlook.

Core Insights - Mobileye Global Inc. (NASDAQ:MBLY) has been recognized as one of the 10 Stocks Under $20 to Buy according to analysts, with UBS reiterating a Neutral rating and a price target of $17 [1][2] - The company has secured a new Surround ADAS award from a leading Western automaker, indicating progress in its long-term strategy [1][2] - The new program is not expected to generate revenue before 2028, suggesting a long wait for financial returns [2] Group 1 - UBS believes that the new award may lead to additional Surround ADAS contracts from non-Chinese manufacturers [2] - The 2026 revenue estimates for Mobileye are now considered more realistic compared to earlier forecasts [2] - The stock could see an increase if Mobileye announces the identity of the automaker involved in the new award [3] Group 2 - Mobileye specializes in developing advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technologies [3]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q3 revenue reached $504 million, a 4% year-over-year increase, driven by an 8% growth in EyeQ volume, significantly outpacing the 1% growth in overall vehicle production among the top 10 customers [4][5] - Operating cash flow for Q3 was $167 million, with year-to-date operating cash flow nearly $500 million, reflecting a 150% year-over-year increase [4][17] - The company raised its full-year revenue outlook midpoint by 2% and adjusted operating income midpoint by 11%, with expected volumes about 2 million units higher than original guidance [5][17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The core ADAS business is performing well, with volumes remaining healthy for the last five quarters, and expected to continue in Q4 [4] - SuperVision volumes exceeded expectations, with a revised full-year estimate of around 50,000 units, significantly higher than initial projections [15][19] - EyeQ5 currently represents about 10% of volume, expected to peak at around 15% next year, which may pressure gross margins [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Stronger-than-expected results in China contributed to overall performance, with better-than-expected shipments to Chinese OEMs and performance from Western OEM customers in China [5] - The company expects to outperform the production of top 10 OEM customers globally by about 5 percentage points in 2025 [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Mobileye is focusing on execution in the SuperVision and Chauffeur production programs, with significant software innovations expected in the coming months [9][44] - The company is pursuing opportunities in robotaxi technology, with plans to remove safety drivers in the first U.S. city in 2026 and expand geographically [10][11] - The EyeQ6 High-based Surround ADAS systems are being developed to meet stricter safety standards and consolidate technology on a single SoC [8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the growth potential in India and the increasing adoption of ADAS technologies [7] - The transition from eyes-off to minds-off autonomy is seen as a significant inflection point for the company, with plans to bring such systems to production by early 2027 [9][10] - Management emphasized that the current demand for higher performance at lower costs is intensifying, positioning Mobileye favorably in the market [11] Other Important Information - The company is working on integrating REM into front-facing camera programs, which is expected to enhance data collection and performance [10][101] - Management highlighted the importance of cost optimization in the Surround ADAS category, which is critical for high-volume vehicle production [51][82] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on Western OEM design win - The recent nomination is for a second Surround ADAS program from a leading Western OEM, expected to be a significant portion of their vehicle lineup [23] Question: Gross margin impact from EyeQ5 and EyeQ6 - EyeQ5 volume is not expected to significantly impact gross margins, as new launches will be with EyeQ6 Lite, which has higher profitability [25][28] Question: Q4 expectations and chip issues - No material impact is expected in Q4 from chip issues, and the company maintains a cautious outlook with a buffer for unforeseen logistical issues [34] Question: Normalized unit growth expectations - The company expects to grow faster than the top 10 OEMs due to ADAS adoption growth and emerging markets, with a performance of about 5 percentage points faster than these OEMs this year [42] Question: Competitive landscape for Surround ADAS - The competitive landscape is highly cost-sensitive, and Mobileye's first mover advantage and efficient chip design provide a significant edge [82][84]

Group 1 - Deutsche Bank upgraded Mobileye N.V. from Hold to Buy, raising its price target to $19.00 from $16.00, with shares climbing more than 3% intra-day following the announcement [1] - Analysts expect Mobileye to surpass guidance and raise its full-year outlook ahead of the third-quarter earnings on December 3, while investor expectations remain muted regarding new design wins or robotaxi developments [1] Group 2 - Deutsche Bank indicated that the base advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) business is now largely de-risked, with potential partnership announcements with Toyota before year-end [2] - The firm noted that Intel's improved balance sheet, supported by U.S. government funding and strategic investments, reduces the likelihood of further Mobileye share sales [3] - While maintaining conservative long-term forecasts, Deutsche Bank suggested that valuation multiples could re-rate higher based on future OEM wins [3]

Core Viewpoint - Mobileye Global Inc. reported strong first-quarter revenue growth of 83% year-on-year, reaching $438 million, surpassing analyst expectations, while adjusted EPS met consensus estimates [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - First-quarter revenue increased by 83% year-on-year to $438 million, exceeding the analyst consensus estimate of $435.2 million [1]. - Adjusted EPS for the quarter was 8 cents, aligning with analyst consensus [1]. - FY25 earnings per share projected at 27 cents, while FY26 EPS estimate was lowered from 40 cents to 35 cents [5]. Group 2: Partnerships and Contracts - Strong design win momentum highlighted, including Mobileye's first Surround ADAS win and a significant ADAS contract with a Korean automaker [2]. - Progress noted in robotaxi partnerships with Uber and Lyft, with potential for meaningful contributions by 2027 [2]. - Lyft collaboration is advancing, with initial rollouts expected in Dallas by 2026, operated by Marubeni [3]. Group 3: Business Model and Forecast Adjustments - Partnerships will follow a business model involving a one-time upfront system fee and recurring licensing fees based on mileage, providing solid average selling prices and favorable margins [4]. - 2025 estimates remain mostly intact, with slight adjustments to gross margin and operating expenses; however, 2026 forecasts were reduced due to anticipated delays in SuperVision and CAV unit volumes [4]. - Porsche identified as the only driver of incremental SV volume in the near term [5].