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MarketAxess (NasdaqGS:MKTX) 2026 Conference Transcript
2026-02-09 19:52
MarketAxess 2026 Conference Summary Company Overview - **Company**: MarketAxess (NasdaqGS: MKTX) - **Industry**: Financial Services, specifically focused on electronic trading in fixed income markets Key Points and Arguments Growth Initiatives - MarketAxess has set three-year revenue growth targets of **8%-9%** annually, with margin targets also established [5][71] - The company is focusing on regaining market share in U.S. credit and expanding its global presence across various channels, including High-Grade, High-Yield, and Emerging Markets (EM) [4][6] Blocks Protocol - The Blocks protocol is a significant focus, with a **24% increase** in average daily volume (ADV) in 2025, including an **18% increase** in the U.S. and **66% in Eurobonds** [12][38] - The U.S. market is seen as having substantial untapped potential, particularly in electronic trading of Blocks [7][12] Portfolio Trading (PT) - MarketAxess reported a **19% share** in U.S. PT, a **270 basis point increase** year-over-year, with notable growth in High-Yield PT [18][19] - The company acknowledges that while PT is important for client relationships, it is not a significant revenue driver [20] Dealer-Initiated Trades - The Mid-X solution was launched at the end of the previous year, with **$3.2 billion** in volume recorded in January [21][22] - Positive feedback from dealers indicates that the protocol helps contain information leakage and streamlines the trading process [22] Emerging Markets (EM) - EM is expected to contribute significantly to growth, with **20% of incremental growth** in year one projected to come from the U.S. and **35% by year three** [36][37] - ADV in EM Blocks increased by **27%**, with a **172% increase** in portfolio trading [38][39] Eurobonds - MarketAxess has seen success in Eurobonds, leveraging its protocols to navigate the fragmented liquidity market across different jurisdictions [44] Automation and AI - Automation initiatives, such as the Auto-X protocol, have shown strong adoption, with **54%** of trades above $2 million processed through automation [48] - MarketAxess is also focusing on AI-driven products, such as CP+, which utilizes proprietary data for pricing algorithms [58][59] Pricing Strategy - The company maintains steady pricing in traditional RFQ, while acknowledging competitive pressures in dealer pricing and the need for a diverse protocol mix [63][64] - Blocks pricing is positioned between RFQ and PT, with automation being a premium-priced service [66] Expense Guidance and Investment - MarketAxess has provided expense guidance of **$530-$545 million** for 2026, with a focus on self-funding investments through efficiency measures [71][72] - Investments will continue in protocols, algo suites, and enhancements to the X-Pro front end [73] Capital Allocation - The company has increased its capital return profile, including a **$300 million ASR** and **$120 million** in buybacks, alongside a **$0.78 per share** dividend increase [76][77] - M&A opportunities are considered but are subject to a high bar for accretion and alignment with business strategy [78][79] Additional Important Insights - The market structure in fixed income has shifted, with a decrease in client-initiated trades from **80% to 58%**, indicating a need for MarketAxess to adapt its strategies [32][33] - The company emphasizes the importance of maintaining strong client relationships and adapting to market changes to sustain its competitive edge [41][42]