Smith shooting the moon—twice, potentially—represents a resurgent breed of executive compensation that has captured the imaginations of a growing number of CEOs. Moonshot wanderlust initially kicked into high gear after Elon Musk’s groundbreaking 2017 award from Tesla, once valued as high as $56 billion before it was twice rescinded owing to a legal challenge. Moonshot grants, not to be confused with an outsize stock grant known as a “mega grant” for its sheer size, tie CEO compensation almost entirely to a ...

Core Insights - William O'Neil is recognized for combining fundamental and technical analysis to gain market advantages [1] - O'Neil's "stock market paradox" suggests that stocks perceived as high-risk often continue to rise, while those seen as low-risk may decline [2] - The "high-tight flag" pattern is a technical analysis tool that indicates strong bullish demand and limited selling pressure [3][4] High-Tight Flag Pattern Characteristics - The "pole" of the pattern requires a stock to double in value within eight weeks, indicating significant accumulation [3] - The "flag" involves a pullback of 3 to 5 weeks, not exceeding 25% from the peak, with reduced trading volume [4] - A fundamental catalyst, such as a new product or earnings beat, is essential for a stock to qualify as a high-tight flag [5] Historical Examples of High-Tight Flags - Tesla (TSLA) formed a high-tight flag in 2013 after reporting its first quarterly profit, leading to a near doubling of its stock price [6] - Axon (AXON), previously known as Taser, experienced a significant rise from $1 to $60 in under two years due to police contracts in 2003 [8] - Qualcomm (QCOM) built a textbook high-tight flag in 1999, doubling in value within four weeks, driven by multiple fundamental catalysts [10] 2025 High-Tight Flag Candidates - iShares Ethereum ETF (ETHA) has shown potential by rising from $18 to $37 in eight weeks, indicating a classic high-tight flag pattern [12][13] - Nebius Group (NBIS) recently doubled its shares after securing a $17 billion AI data center contract with Microsoft (MSFT), marking a significant catalyst for growth [15][16]

Group 1 - The article discusses the legitimacy of investing in overvalued stocks as a strategy to identify compelling equity ideas, challenging the traditional growth vs value dichotomy [1][4][8] - It highlights that growth stocks can trade at a premium and that there are inexpensive value stocks, emphasizing the concept of "growth at a reasonable price" (GARP) [5][6] - The article outlines specific criteria for selecting overvalued stocks, including a market value of at least $500 million, a forward P/E above the S&P 500 and sector average, and a PEG ratio above 2.9 [9][10][13] Group 2 - S&P Global (SPGI) is identified as an overvalued stock with a market value of $168.4 billion, a forward P/E of 28.7, and a PEG of 2.8, despite its strong performance in the index business [18][21][23] - Walmart (WMT) is another overvalued stock with a market value of $766.7 billion, a forward P/E of 32.6, and a PEG of 4.1, which has seen a recent sell-off despite strong earnings [28][30][32] - Mirion Technologies (MIR) is noted for its focus on radiation safety, with a market value of $4.8 billion, a forward P/E of 36.1, and a PEG of 3.6, benefiting from potential growth in the nuclear sector [39][40][38] - RadNet (RDNT) is highlighted as a leading provider of outpatient diagnostic imaging services, with a market value of $69.59, a forward P/E of 80.2, and a PEG of 6.7, showing significant revenue growth [43][45][47] - Axon Enterprise (AXON) is recognized for its law enforcement technology products, with a market value of $5.4 billion, a forward P/E of 80.2, and a PEG of 6.7, experiencing substantial stock price appreciation [49][54][56]