The market expects American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended October 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected t ...

Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) came out with quarterly earnings of $2.36 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.14 per share. This compares to earnings of $2.5 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +10.28%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this teen clothing retailer would post earnings of $2.27 per share when it actually produced earnings of $2.32, delivering a surprise of +2.2%.Over the last four quart ...

The market expects Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended October 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be r ...

Financial Performance - American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) reported quarterly earnings of $0.45 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.20 per share, and up from $0.39 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +125.00% [1] - The company posted revenues of $1.28 billion for the quarter ended July 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.14%, although this is slightly down from $1.29 billion in the same quarter last year [2] Stock Performance - American Eagle shares have declined approximately 19% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 9.1% [3] - The current Zacks Rank for American Eagle is 3 (Hold), indicating that the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [6] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.40 on revenues of $1.27 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.80 on revenues of $5.18 billion [7] - The outlook for the Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, where American Eagle operates, is currently in the bottom 37% of over 250 Zacks industries, which may impact the stock's performance [8]

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Abercrombie & Fitch, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Abercrombie & Fitch is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.27 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 9.2% [3][19]. - Revenue is projected to be $1.19 billion, which is an increase of 4.8% compared to the same quarter last year [3][19]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.28% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4][19]. - Despite the downward revision, the Most Accurate Estimate is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +2.62% [12][19]. Earnings Surprise Potential - A positive Earnings ESP suggests a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate, especially given the company's Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [12][20]. - Historically, Abercrombie has beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters, with a notable surprise of +17.78% in the last reported quarter [13][14]. Industry Context - Abercrombie & Fitch operates within the Zacks Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, where it is positioned as a compelling earnings-beat candidate [18][20].

Core Viewpoint - American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) is experiencing significant stock price fluctuations, with a recent decline of 9.49% while showing a notable gain of 34.01% over the past month, indicating volatility in its market performance [1][2]. Financial Performance - AEO is expected to report an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.2, reflecting a 48.72% decline year-over-year, alongside a revenue forecast of $1.23 billion, which represents a 4.55% decrease compared to the same quarter last year [2]. - Full-year estimates predict earnings of $0.81 per share and revenue of $5.19 billion, indicating year-over-year changes of -53.45% and -2.58%, respectively [3]. Analyst Estimates and Market Sentiment - Recent revisions in analyst estimates for AEO have shown a downward shift of 2.11%, leading to a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell), which suggests a negative outlook on the company's performance [5]. - The correlation between estimate revisions and stock price performance indicates that investors should monitor these changes closely for potential investment opportunities [4]. Valuation Metrics - AEO's current Forward P/E ratio stands at 16.34, which is lower than the industry average of 17.42, suggesting that AEO is trading at a discount compared to its peers [6]. - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, to which AEO belongs, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 197, placing it in the bottom 21% of over 250 industries, indicating overall weak performance within the sector [6][7].

Company Performance - American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) closed at $9.90, down 2.17% from the previous trading session, underperforming the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.33% [1] - Over the past month, AEO shares appreciated by 0.5%, lagging behind the Retail-Wholesale sector's gain of 0.67% and the S&P 500's gain of 4.07% [1] Upcoming Earnings - The upcoming EPS for American Eagle Outfitters is projected at $0.2, indicating a 48.72% decline compared to the same quarter last year [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is $1.23 billion, reflecting a 4.49% decrease from the previous year [2] Fiscal Year Projections - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are projected at $0.83 per share, representing a 52.3% decline from the prior year [3] - Revenue for the fiscal year is estimated at $5.19 billion, down 2.57% from the previous year [3] Analyst Estimates - Recent changes to analyst estimates for American Eagle Outfitters are significant as they indicate shifts in near-term business trends [4] - Positive revisions in estimates suggest analysts' confidence in the company's performance and profit potential [4] Zacks Rank and Valuation - The Zacks Rank system currently rates American Eagle Outfitters as 5 (Strong Sell), with a 9.04% decrease in the Consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days [6] - The company has a Forward P/E ratio of 12.19, which is a discount compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 17.97 [7] Industry Context - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, part of the Retail-Wholesale sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 209, placing it in the bottom 16% of over 250 industries [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank assesses the strength of industry groups based on the average Zacks Rank of individual stocks [8]

Group 1 - Abercrombie & Fitch's stock increased by 1.38% to $88.24, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.28% and the Dow's gain of 0.43% [1] - The stock has risen by 10.16% over the past month, leading the Retail-Wholesale sector's gain of 0.87% and the S&P 500's gain of 4.37% [1] Group 2 - The company is expected to report an EPS of $2.25, reflecting a 10% decrease from the same quarter last year, with quarterly revenue forecasted at $1.18 billion, up 4.12% year-over-year [2] - For the fiscal year, earnings are projected at $10.17 per share and revenue at $5.18 billion, indicating changes of -4.86% and +4.69% respectively from the previous year [3] Group 3 - Recent revisions to analyst forecasts for Abercrombie & Fitch are important as they indicate changing business trends, with upward revisions suggesting positive sentiment towards the company's operations [4] - The Zacks Rank system, which evaluates estimate revisions, currently ranks Abercrombie & Fitch as 5 (Strong Sell), with a 0.05% decrease in the consensus EPS estimate over the past month [6] Group 4 - Abercrombie & Fitch has a Forward P/E ratio of 8.56, which is a discount compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 17.54 [7] - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, part of the Retail-Wholesale sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 208, placing it in the bottom 16% of over 250 industries [7]

Core Insights - Abercrombie & Fitch's international operations are crucial for assessing its financial resilience and growth prospects [1][2] - The company's total revenue for the quarter was $1.1 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 7.5% [4] International Revenue Breakdown - Europe, Middle East, and Africa generated $185.04 million, accounting for 16.86% of total revenue, surpassing Wall Street's expectation of $175.6 million [5] - Asia Pacific contributed $37.47 million, representing 3.41% of total revenue, exceeding the anticipated $34.37 million [6] Future Revenue Projections - Analysts project total revenue for the current fiscal quarter to be $1.18 billion, a 4% increase from the previous year, with expected contributions of 17.7% from Europe, Middle East, and Africa and 3.2% from Asia Pacific [7] - For the entire year, total revenue is forecasted at $5.17 billion, a 4.5% improvement, with Europe, Middle East, and Africa contributing 15.7% and Asia Pacific 2.9% [8] Strategic Considerations - The reliance on international markets presents both opportunities and challenges, necessitating close monitoring of revenue trends for accurate future projections [9][10]

Financial Performance - American Eagle Outfitters reported a quarterly loss of $0.29 per share, which was worse than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.25, and a decline from earnings of $0.34 per share a year ago, indicating an earnings surprise of -16% [1] - The company posted revenues of $1.09 billion for the quarter ended April 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.15%, and down from $1.14 billion in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, American Eagle has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times, but has only topped consensus revenue estimates once [2] Stock Performance - American Eagle shares have declined approximately 33.5% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 0.1% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.25 on revenues of $1.24 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.01 on revenues of $5.22 billion [7] Industry Outlook - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, to which American Eagle belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 37% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges ahead [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which could impact American Eagle's stock performance [5]