American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) is expected to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended January 2026. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price.The earnings report, which is expected to be released on March 4, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better ...

Core Viewpoint - American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) has received a new price target of $28 from Telsey Advisory, indicating a potential upside from its current trading price of $26.92 [1][5] Company Summary - AEO is a prominent retailer focused on teen clothing, currently priced at $26.78, reflecting a 3.54% increase from its previous value [3][5] - The stock has shown volatility over the past year, with a high of $28.46 and a low of $9.27 [3] - AEO's market capitalization is approximately $4.54 billion, with a trading volume of 1,561,079 shares [4][5] Industry Summary - AEO has become one of the most searched stocks on Zacks.com, indicating increased investor interest despite a 4.2% decline in the stock over the past month [2][5] - This decline contrasts with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 2.3% increase and the Zacks Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry's 1.7% gain [2]

Group 1 - Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) closed at $129.85, with a +2.1% increase from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.01% and the Dow's gain of 0.55%, while the Nasdaq decreased by 0.44% [1] - The stock has risen by 18.79% over the past month, significantly surpassing the Retail-Wholesale sector's gain of 1.61% and the S&P 500's gain of 0.86% [1] Group 2 - Abercrombie & Fitch is projected to report earnings of $3.55 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 0.56%, with quarterly revenue expected to be $1.67 billion, up 5.54% from the previous year [2] - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are estimated at $9.78 per share and revenue at $5.27 billion, indicating changes of -8.51% and +6.48% respectively from the prior year [3] Group 3 - Recent changes in analyst estimates for Abercrombie & Fitch are important as they reflect short-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating a favorable outlook on business health and profitability [4] - The Zacks Rank system, which integrates estimate changes, currently ranks Abercrombie & Fitch at 3 (Hold), with the consensus EPS estimate remaining steady over the past month [6] Group 4 - Abercrombie & Fitch has a Forward P/E ratio of 13, which is a discount compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 20.54 [7] - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, part of the Retail-Wholesale sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 44, placing it in the top 18% of over 250 industries [7]

Core Viewpoint - American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) has received a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) upgrade, indicating a positive outlook on its earnings estimates, which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Performance - The Zacks rating system is based on changes in earnings estimates, which have a strong correlation with near-term stock price movements [4][6]. - For American Eagle, the recent upgrade reflects an improvement in the company's underlying business, likely leading to an increase in stock price as investors respond positively to this trend [5][10]. Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with Zacks Rank 1 stocks historically generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [7]. - Only the top 5% of Zacks-covered stocks receive a "Strong Buy" rating, indicating superior earnings estimate revisions [9][10]. Recent Earnings Estimate Revisions - American Eagle is projected to earn $1.28 per share for the fiscal year ending January 2026, with no year-over-year change expected [8]. - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for American Eagle has increased by 26.8%, reflecting a positive trend in earnings estimates [8].

Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on following a stock's recent price trends, aiming to buy high and sell higher, with the expectation that established trends will continue [1] Company Overview: American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) - AEO currently holds a Momentum Style Score of A, indicating strong momentum characteristics [3] - The company has a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), which is associated with a historical outperformance in the market [4] Performance Metrics - AEO shares have increased by 9.97% over the past week, outperforming the Zacks Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, which rose by 4.93% [6] - Over the past month, AEO's price change is 45.66%, significantly higher than the industry's 7.56% [6] - In the last quarter, AEO shares rose by 23.3%, and over the past year, they gained 37.31%, while the S&P 500 only increased by 5.77% and 13.9%, respectively [7] Trading Volume - AEO's average 20-day trading volume is 8,470,962 shares, which serves as a bullish indicator when combined with rising stock prices [8] Earnings Outlook - In the past two months, five earnings estimates for AEO have been revised upward, with no downward revisions, raising the consensus estimate from $1.11 to $1.28 [10] - For the next fiscal year, five estimates have also moved higher without any decreases [10] Conclusion - Given the strong performance metrics and positive earnings outlook, AEO is positioned as a strong buy candidate with a Momentum Score of A, making it a potential investment opportunity [12]

Core Insights - American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) is experiencing solid improvement in earnings estimates, which may lead to continued stock price momentum [1][2] - The rising trend in estimate revisions reflects growing analyst optimism regarding the earnings prospects of the company [2] - The Zacks Rank system indicates a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and stock price movements, with AEO currently holding a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [3][9] Current-Quarter Estimate Revisions - For the current quarter, American Eagle is expected to earn $0.59 per share, representing a 9.3% increase from the previous year [6] - Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the company has increased by 5.52% due to one upward revision and one downward revision [6] Current-Year Estimate Revisions - For the full year, the expected earnings per share is $1.21, indicating a year-over-year decline of 30.5% [7] - The consensus estimate has increased by 9.4% over the past month, with five estimates moving higher and no negative revisions [8] Favorable Zacks Rank - The positive estimate revisions have contributed to American Eagle achieving a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), which is associated with significant outperformance compared to the S&P 500 [9] - Stocks with Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) and 2 (Buy) have historically shown strong returns, with Zacks 1 stocks averaging a 25% annual return since 2008 [3][9] Bottom Line - American Eagle's stock has risen by 41.3% over the past four weeks due to strong estimate revisions, suggesting potential for further upside [10]

Core Insights - American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) reported quarterly earnings of $0.53 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.43 per share, and up from $0.48 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +23.26% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $1.36 billion for the quarter ended October 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.31% and increasing from $1.29 billion year-over-year [2] - American Eagle's stock has increased approximately 27.5% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 15.8% [3] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.55 on revenues of $1.63 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.13 on revenues of $5.32 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for American Eagle was favorable ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) for the stock, indicating expected outperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, to which American Eagle belongs, is currently ranked in the top 23% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a positive outlook for stocks within this sector [8]

Core Insights - Abercrombie & Fitch's international revenue performance is crucial for assessing its financial resilience and growth prospects [1][2] Group 1: International Revenue Performance - The total revenue for Abercrombie & Fitch in the quarter ending October 2025 was $1.29 billion, reflecting a 6.8% increase [4] - Revenue from the Asia Pacific region was $38.66 million, accounting for 3% of total revenue, which was a decline of 12.13% from the expected $44 million [5] - The Europe, Middle East, and Africa region generated $194.51 million, making up 15.1% of total revenue, exceeding expectations by 1.91% compared to the projected $190.87 million [6] Group 2: Future Revenue Projections - Analysts project total revenue for the current fiscal quarter to reach $1.67 billion, a 5.5% increase from the same quarter last year, with Asia Pacific expected to contribute $44.26 million (2.7%) and Europe, Middle East, and Africa $237.44 million (14.2%) [7] - For the full year, total revenue is anticipated to be $5.26 billion, representing a 6.4% increase from the previous year, with Asia Pacific and Europe, Middle East, and Africa expected to contribute $162.88 million (3.1%) and $810.56 million (15.4%) respectively [8] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Stock Performance - The reliance on global markets presents both opportunities and challenges for Abercrombie & Fitch, making the analysis of international revenue trends essential for forecasting future performance [9] - The stock has gained 34.9% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which decreased by 0.5% [13]

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) despite an increase in revenues when it reports its results for the quarter ended October 2025 [1] Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming report is $0.43 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 10.4% [3] - Expected revenues are projected to be $1.32 billion, which is an increase of 2.3% compared to the same quarter last year [3] Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.36%, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4] - The Most Accurate Estimate for American Eagle is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +1.55% [12] Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong indicator of a potential earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or 3 (Hold) [10] - American Eagle currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2, suggesting a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, American Eagle exceeded the expected earnings of $0.20 per share by delivering $0.45, resulting in a surprise of +125.00% [13] - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14] Market Reaction Considerations - An earnings beat or miss may not solely dictate stock price movements, as other factors can influence investor sentiment [15] - It is advisable to consider a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank prior to quarterly releases to enhance investment success [16]

Core Insights - Abercrombie & Fitch reported quarterly earnings of $2.36 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.14 per share, but down from $2.50 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of +10.28% [1][2] - The company achieved revenues of $1.29 billion for the quarter ended October 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.26% and up from $1.21 billion year-over-year [2] - Abercrombie has consistently surpassed consensus EPS and revenue estimates over the last four quarters [2] Earnings Outlook - The sustainability of Abercrombie's stock price movement will depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and future earnings expectations [3][4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $3.55 on revenues of $1.66 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $9.63 on revenues of $5.25 billion [7] Industry Context - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, to which Abercrombie belongs, is currently ranked in the top 24% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to lower-ranked industries [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact Abercrombie's stock performance [5][6]