Company Overview - TKO Group Holdings (TKO) is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings due to higher revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with a consensus outlook indicating a quarterly earnings of $1.23 per share, representing a +70.8% change, and revenues expected to be $1.2 billion, up 41.3% from the previous year [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 5.69% higher over the last 30 days, reflecting a reassessment by covering analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for TKO Group is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -48.11%, indicating a bearish outlook on the company's earnings prospects [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading indicates the likely deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with a positive reading being a strong predictor of an earnings beat [9][10]. - TKO Group currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, making it difficult to predict an earnings beat conclusively [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, TKO Group had an earnings surprise of +43.75%, with actual earnings of $0.69 per share compared to an expected $0.48 [13]. - Over the last four quarters, TKO Group has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [14]. Industry Context - In the Zacks Film and Television Production and Distribution industry, Cinemark Holdings (CNK) is expected to post earnings of $0.78 per share for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year change of +143.8%, with revenues expected to be $947.59 million, up 29.1% [18][19].

Core Viewpoint - Lionsgate is set to release its financial results for the fiscal 2026 first quarter on August 7, 2025, after market close [1] Group 1: Financial Results Announcement - The financial results for the fiscal 2026 first quarter ended June 30, 2025, will be announced after market close on August 7, 2025 [1] - An analyst and investor conference call will be held on the same day at 5:00 P.M. ET/2:00 P.M. PT to discuss the results [2] Group 2: Company Overview - Lionsgate is recognized as one of the leading standalone, publicly-traded content companies globally [3] - The company encompasses diversified motion picture and television production and distribution businesses, a valuable portfolio of brands and franchises, and a significant film and television library exceeding 20,000 titles [3]

Market Overview - The broader equity markets have shown a steady uptrend as investors remain optimistic despite tariff threats from President Trump on 14 countries, including Japan and South Korea [1] - Investors are hopeful for a mutually beneficial solution to avoid market turmoil as they look forward to a busy earnings season [1][2] Trade Relations - Positive discussions between U.S.-China diplomats regarding trade tariffs and potential peace talks between U.S. officials and Iran have contributed to market stability [2] - Investors are awaiting clarity on interest rate cuts with inflation data expected to be released soon [2] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to focus on "cash cow" stocks that provide higher returns, emphasizing the importance of attractive efficiency ratios like return on equity (ROE) [3] - High ROE indicates effective reinvestment of cash at a high rate of return, distinguishing profitable companies from less efficient ones [4][5] Stock Screening Parameters - Stocks are screened based on criteria including cash flow greater than $1 billion and ROE exceeding industry averages [6] - Additional metrics include Price/Cash Flow lower than industry average and Return on Assets (ROA) greater than industry average [7] Featured Stocks - **Walt Disney**: Long-term earnings growth expectation of 11.8% with a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 16.4% on average, Zacks Rank 2 [8][9] - **TE Connectivity**: Long-term earnings growth expectation of 9.8% with a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 3.3% on average, Zacks Rank 2 [10][11] - **Fortinet**: Long-term earnings growth expectation of 13.4% with a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 23.8% on average, Zacks Rank 2 [12][13] - **Banco Bilbao**: Long-term earnings growth expectation of 5.5% with a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 6.3% on average, Zacks Rank 1 [13][14] - **Colgate-Palmolive**: Long-term earnings growth expectation of 5.2% with a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 4% on average, Zacks Rank 2 [14][15]

Group 1 - Zacks Premium offers tools for investors to enhance their stock market confidence and knowledge, including daily updates, research reports, and stock screens [1][2] - The Zacks Style Scores provide a rating system for stocks based on value, growth, and momentum, helping investors identify securities likely to outperform the market [2][3] Group 2 - The Value Score focuses on identifying undervalued stocks using financial ratios such as P/E and Price/Sales [3] - The Growth Score assesses a company's financial health and future outlook, analyzing projected earnings and sales for sustainable growth [4] - The Momentum Score identifies trends in stock prices and earnings estimates, aiding investors in timing their stock purchases [5] Group 3 - The VGM Score combines the three Style Scores, providing a comprehensive rating that highlights stocks with attractive value, growth potential, and positive momentum [6] - The Zacks Rank is a proprietary model that utilizes earnings estimate revisions to guide investors in building successful portfolios [7][8] Group 4 - Stocks rated 1 (Strong Buy) have historically produced an average annual return of +23.62% since 1988, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [8] - To maximize returns, investors should focus on stocks with a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 and Style Scores of A or B [9][10] Group 5 - Walt Disney Company reported revenues of $91.4 billion in fiscal 2024 and holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) with a VGM Score of B [11] - Disney's Growth Style Score of B indicates a forecasted year-over-year earnings growth of 16.3% for the current fiscal year [11] - Recent analyst revisions have increased Disney's earnings estimate for fiscal 2025, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate rising to $5.78 per share [12]

Core Insights - The Zacks Focus List is a curated portfolio of 50 stocks aimed at long-term investors, expected to outperform the market over the next 12 months [3][5] - The Focus List has demonstrated strong past performance, with a cumulative return of 2,519.23% from February 1, 1996, to March 31, 2021, compared to the S&P 500's return of 854.95% [5] - The methodology for selecting stocks in the Focus List relies heavily on earnings estimate revisions, which are critical for predicting future growth and profitability [6][7] Focus List Performance - In 2020, the Focus List gained 13.85% on an annualized basis, outperforming the S&P 500's return of 9.38% [5] - The portfolio's historical performance reinforces its value as a starting point for investors [5] Stock Selection Methodology - Stocks are chosen based on the Zacks Rank, which utilizes earnings estimate revisions to identify potential winners [8][9] - The Zacks Rank is based on four main factors: Agreement, Magnitude, Upside, and Surprise, which are recalculated nightly [9] Case Study: Walt Disney Company - Walt Disney Company reported revenues of $91.4 billion in fiscal 2024 and was added to the Focus List at $85.98 per share, with shares increasing by 29.25% to $111.13 since then [11] - Eight analysts have revised Disney's earnings estimate higher for fiscal 2025, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing by $0.24 to $5.72, and an average earnings surprise of 16.4% [12]

Group 1 - TKO Group Holdings reported quarterly earnings of $0.69 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.48 per share, compared to earnings of $2.14 per share a year ago [1] - The earnings surprise for the quarter was 43.75%, and the company had a previous quarter surprise of 52.17% with earnings of $0.35 per share against an expectation of $0.23 [2] - TKO Group's revenues for the quarter reached $1.27 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 14.17%, and this is a significant increase from $629.7 million in the same quarter last year [3] Group 2 - The stock has increased approximately 19.4% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has declined by 4.3% [4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.19 on revenues of $1.26 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.41 on revenues of $4.71 billion [8] - The Film and Television Production and Distribution industry, to which TKO Group belongs, is currently ranked in the top 32% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [9]

Core Viewpoint - TKO Group Holdings is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite higher revenues, with the actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to show earnings of $0.48 per share, reflecting a significant year-over-year decrease of 77.6%, while revenues are projected to reach $1.11 billion, an increase of 76.5% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.56% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4][10]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates a negative Earnings ESP of -52.41%, suggesting that analysts have lowered their expectations for TKO Group's earnings [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, TKO Group exceeded the expected earnings of $0.23 per share by delivering $0.35, resulting in a surprise of +52.17%. Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [12][13]. Investment Considerations - Despite the potential for an earnings beat, TKO Group does not currently appear to be a strong candidate for exceeding earnings expectations, and investors should consider other factors before making investment decisions [16].