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Forget the Weak Dollar—These 3 Travel Stocks Are Still Taking Off
MarketBeat· 2025-07-06 14:23
Core Viewpoint - The consumer's determination to travel is driving a significant increase in global air passenger traffic, with a 15% year-over-year growth in the first half of 2025, particularly strong in Asia-Pacific and Europe [1][2]. Group 1: Travel Market Dynamics - Despite a nearly 10% decline in the U.S. dollar, which typically increases the cost of international travel, strong wage growth in the U.S. is offsetting this effect, leading to robust demand for travel [2]. - The combination of increased income and pent-up demand for previously inaccessible international destinations is fueling the travel market [2]. Group 2: Company-Specific Insights Booking Holdings - Booking Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: BKNG) is trading at over $5,600 per share, with a 12-month stock price forecast of $5,388.37, indicating a potential downside of 5.84% [4]. - The company reported earnings exceeding expectations by nearly 30% in its most recent quarter, showcasing its pricing power and impressive 86% gross margins, driven by artificial intelligence [5]. - Booking's strongest periods are typically in the second and third quarters, supported by demand for travel to Asia Pacific and Europe [5]. Marriott International - Marriott International (NYSE: MAR) has a current stock price of $280.08, with a 12-month forecast of $275.90, suggesting a downside of 1.49% [7]. - The company reported a global RevPAR increase of approximately 4% in Q1 2025, with international RevPAR up more than 6%, particularly strong in Asia Pacific [8]. - Marriott's diverse brand portfolio and expansion into luxury and upscale properties allow it to target less price-sensitive consumers [9]. Royal Caribbean - Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (NYSE: RCL) has a current stock price of $334.10, with a 12-month forecast of $280.40, indicating a downside of 16.07% [11]. - The cruise industry is experiencing a recovery, with Royal Caribbean's stock up over 106% in the last 12 months and more than 40% in 2025 [12]. - The company has significantly reduced its debt, refinancing approximately $3 billion in short-term debt and repaying about $2.1 billion in principal, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.21, which is more than 60% lower than its 2022 peak [13].
高盛:京东据传进入旅游预订行业,对经济学的分析及对OTA的潜在影响
Goldman Sachs· 2025-06-10 02:16
10 June 2025 | 7:14AM HKT China Online Travel Agencies JD's reported entry into travel booking industry. Analysis on economics and potential impact on OTAs Media (news link) reported that JD is expanding into the travel and hospitality booking industry by providing its users competitive pricing on airfares and hotel room bookings. Highlighting its commitment, the company is reportedly beefing up its business development team by recruiting staff/talent from other OTAs with as much as 2-3x more salaries. We n ...
Expedia (EXPE) Q1 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-09 01:00
Core Insights - Expedia reported $2.99 billion in revenue for Q1 2025, a year-over-year increase of 3.4%, with an EPS of $0.40 compared to $0.21 a year ago [1] - The revenue fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.03 billion, resulting in a surprise of -1.27%, while the EPS also missed the consensus estimate of $0.42 by -4.76% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Gross bookings totaled $31.45 billion, slightly below the average estimate of $31.85 billion [4] - Stayed room nights were 108, exceeding the average estimate of 106, with a growth rate of 6%, lower than the 8.1% average estimate [4] - Merchant gross bookings were $18.21 billion, compared to the estimated $18.83 billion [4] - International revenue was $1.16 billion, below the average estimate of $1.22 billion, but showed a year-over-year increase of 5.6% [4] - U.S. revenue reached $1.83 billion, slightly below the estimated $1.85 billion, reflecting a 2.1% year-over-year increase [4] - B2C revenue was $1.96 billion, below the average estimate of $2.04 billion, while B2B revenue was $947 million, exceeding the estimate of $924.59 million, marking a 13.7% year-over-year increase [4] - Revenue from lodging was $2.29 billion, below the estimate of $2.36 billion, with a year-over-year increase of 2.7% [4] - Revenue from Trivago was $85 million, surpassing the estimate of $74.76 million, with a significant year-over-year increase of 21.4% [4] - Air revenue was $107 million, below the estimated $114.41 million, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 7% [4] - Other revenue was $333 million, below the estimate of $352.60 million, with a slight year-over-year increase of 0.6% [4] Stock Performance - Expedia shares returned +3% over the past month, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +11.3% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]
What Analyst Projections for Key Metrics Reveal About Expedia (EXPE) Q1 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 14:22
Analysts on Wall Street project that Expedia (EXPE) will announce quarterly earnings of $0.42 per share in its forthcoming report, representing an increase of 100% year over year. Revenues are projected to reach $3.03 billion, increasing 4.8% from the same quarter last year.The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 4.9% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This reflects how the analysts covering the stock have collectively reevaluated their initial estimates during this timefr ...
Trip.com: Labor Day Surge Gives A Glimpse Into Its Growth Trajectory
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-30 10:40
According to the media, Trip.com (NASDAQ: TCOM ) indicated that the number of inbound tourism orders for the upcoming Labor Day holiday increased 173% from a year earlier. We consider this to be an incremental positive for TCOM as we headAstrada Advisors delivers actionable recommendations that enhance portfolio performance and uncover alpha opportunities, supported by a strong track record in investment research at leading global investment banks. With expertise spanning technology, media, internet, and co ...
Booking Holdings (BKNG) Q1 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-04-29 23:00
Booking Holdings (BKNG) reported $4.76 billion in revenue for the quarter ended March 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 7.9%. EPS of $24.81 for the same period compares to $20.39 a year ago. The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.6 billion, representing a surprise of +3.58%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of +43.83%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $17.25. While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings ...