Core Viewpoint - Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG) is expected to report an increase in fourth-quarter and 2025 earnings and revenues compared to the previous year [1][10] Financial Performance Expectations - CFG's net interest income (NII) is projected to rise by 2.5-3% sequentially in Q4 2025, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.53 billion, reflecting a 2.7% increase from the prior quarter [4] - The average interest-earning assets are estimated at $199.9 billion, indicating a 1.2% rise from the previous quarter [5] - The consensus estimate for fourth-quarter earnings is $1.11 per share, representing a 30.6% increase year-over-year, while revenues are expected to reach $2.15 billion, an 8.2% rise from the previous year [15] Income Sources - Non-interest income is anticipated to be flat, with mortgage banking fees estimated at $51.5 million, a 5.1% decline from the prior quarter [7] - Trust and investment services fees are expected to increase to $96.3 million, a 3.5% rise from the previous quarter [8] - Service charge and fee revenues are projected at $114.9 million, reflecting a 2.6% increase from the prior quarter [9] - Card fees are estimated at $89.6 million, indicating a 2.9% rise from the previous quarter [11] Expense and Asset Quality Outlook - Adjusted non-interest expenses are expected to be stable or slightly up due to the opening of private banking offices and investments in technology [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for non-accrual loans is pegged at $1.57 billion, indicating a sequential rise of 3.3% [13] 2025 Outlook - Management anticipates NII to rise by 3-5% from $5.6 billion in 2024, with a net interest margin (NIM) expected to be 3% [16] - Average loans are projected to decrease by 2-3% from $139.2 billion in 2024, while average earnings assets are forecasted to fall by 1% from $198.1 billion [16] - Non-interest income is expected to increase by 8-10% from $2.6 billion reported in 2024 [16] - Adjusted non-interest expenses are projected to grow by 4% from $5.1 billion in 2024 [17]

Core Viewpoint - Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG) is expected to report an increase in second-quarter 2025 earnings and revenues compared to the same quarter last year, with various factors influencing this performance [1][18]. Financial Performance Expectations - CFG's net interest income (NII) is projected to rise by 3% in Q2 2025 from the previous quarter, supported by stable interest rates maintained by the Federal Reserve [3][11]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NII is $1.44 billion, reflecting a 3.2% increase from the prior quarter [4]. - The consensus estimate for second-quarter revenues is $2.01 billion, indicating a 2.2% rise from the year-ago figure [18]. Loan and Asset Quality Insights - Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, demand for commercial and industrial loans and consumer loans is expected to have improved, leading to a modest rise in CFG's lending activities [5]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for average interest-earning assets is $196.2 billion, showing a slight increase from the previous quarter [6]. - Non-accrual loans are estimated to rise to $1.62 billion, a 2.4% increase sequentially, indicating potential concerns regarding asset quality [15]. Non-Interest Income and Fee Growth - Mortgage banking fees are expected to increase to $63 million, a 6.6% rise from the prior quarter, driven by improved refinancing activities [8]. - Trust and investment services fees are projected to reach $84 million, reflecting a 3.7% increase from the previous quarter [9]. - Capital markets fees are estimated at $108.4 million, indicating an 8.4% sequential rise, supported by improved deal-making activities in the latter part of the quarter [12][10]. Expense Management - CFG anticipates that adjusted non-interest expenses will remain stable compared to the first quarter, despite increased costs from new banking offices and technology investments [14].