By Enes Tunagur LONDON (Reuters) -Oil prices rose on Monday on optimism that the U.S. government shutdown could end soon and lift demand in ​the world's top oil consumer, offsetting concerns about rising supplies globally. Brent crude futures ‌rose 50 cents, or 0.79%, to $64.13 a barrel by 0916 GMT. U.S. West ‌Texas Intermediate crude was at $60.28 a barrel, up 53 cents, or 0.89%. The U.S. Senate on Sunday moved forward on a measure aimed at reopening the federal government and ending a now 40-day shutd ...

The S&P BSE Sensex fell 0.1% to 83,216.28, recovering from a drop of more than 600 points earlier in the session, while the NSE Nifty 50 slipped 0.07% to 25,492.30 after rebounding from losses of nearly 0.7% earlier in the day.On the 30-stock Sensex, Tech Mahindra, Reliance Industries, Bharti Airtel dropped 4.5% after Singapore Telecommunications sold a 0.8% stake in the company for $1.2 billion.Equities on Dalal Street clawed back from steep intraday losses, supported by optimism over corporate earnings a ...

By Arathy Somasekhar HOUSTON (Reuters) -Oil prices settled lower on Tuesday as weaker manufacturing numbers and a stronger dollar weighed on demand, while the OPEC+ decision to pause output hikes in the first quarter of next year could signal the group's concern about a potential supply glut. Brent crude futures closed 45 cents, or 0.7% lower at $64.44 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was down 49 cents, or 0.8%, at $60.56. "Crude futures are feeling the pressure today from high U.S. dollar v ...

Oil Market Overview - Oil prices have decreased due to weaker manufacturing data and a stronger U.S. dollar, with Brent crude futures falling by 31 cents (0.5%) to $64.58 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude down by 33 cents (0.5%) to $60.72 [1] - The OPEC+ decision to pause output increases in the first quarter of next year indicates concerns about a potential supply glut [1][5] Economic Factors - The U.S. dollar reached a four-month high against the euro, raising doubts about further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which makes oil more expensive for holders of other currencies [3] - The ongoing U.S. government shutdown, now in its 35th day, is impacting various sectors, including food assistance and federal workers, which could lead to reduced domestic fuel demand [4] Regional Manufacturing Insights - Japan's manufacturing activity has contracted at the fastest rate in 19 months, primarily due to decreased demand in the automotive and semiconductor sectors [5] Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The positive impact on oil prices from U.S. sanctions on Russian energy companies is diminishing, with expectations that sanctions set to take effect on November 21 may further affect market dynamics [6] - Market participants are anticipating U.S. inventory data, with expectations of an increase in crude oil stockpiles [6]

By Seher Dareen LONDON (Reuters) -Oil prices fell more than 1% on Tuesday as the OPEC+ decision to pause output hikes in the first quarter of next year, along with weak manufacturing data and a stronger dollar, weighed on the market. Brent crude futures fell 81 cents, or 1.25%, to $64.08 a barrel by 1310 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was down 84 cents, or 1.38%, at $60.21. "The succession of poor manufacturing PMIs from Asia and then the U.S. ISM is a worry for oil demand. So is the ever prese ...

By Emily Chow and Ashitha Shivaprasad SINGAPORE (Reuters) -Oil prices slipped on Tuesday as investors read OPEC+'s decision to pause output hikes in the first quarter as a signal of oversupply in the market. Brent crude futures fell 37 cents, or 0.6%, to $64.52 a barrel by 0700 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was down 37 cents, or 0.6%, at $60.68 a barrel. On Sunday, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies, known as OPEC+, agreed to a small oil output increase for ...

Core Insights - Oil prices experienced a decline of 1.5%, with Brent crude settling at $62.39 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate at $58.70, both reaching five-month lows due to concerns over a significant supply glut predicted for 2026 by the International Energy Agency (IEA) and ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and China [1][2]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The IEA forecasts a potential surplus of up to 4 million barrels per day in the global oil market next year, driven by increased output from OPEC+ producers amid sluggish demand [2]. - In contrast, a report from OPEC indicated a less pessimistic outlook, suggesting that the supply shortfall would decrease in 2026 as the OPEC+ alliance continues its planned output increases [3]. Market Sentiment and Trade Tensions - Current trade tensions between the U.S. and China are exerting downward pressure on crude oil prices, with analysts expressing concerns about the potential impact on China's economy if tensions persist [4]. - The risk-off sentiment in the market is attributed to the IEA's bearish report and the ongoing trade disputes, which have led to a cautious outlook among traders [4]. Market Structure and Pricing - The Brent oil futures six-month spread has narrowed to its smallest premium since early May, while the WTI spread is at its narrowest since January 2024, indicating that traders are earning less from spot market sales due to perceived ample near-term supply [6][7].

Core Viewpoint - Oil prices have declined due to uncertainties surrounding U.S.-China trade tensions and weaker fundamentals highlighted by the International Energy Agency (IEA) [1][5] Group 1: Oil Price Movements - Brent crude futures fell by $1.01, or 1.6%, to $62.31 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude decreased by 1.6%, or 95 cents, to $58.54, both nearing five-month lows [1] - In the previous session, Brent settled 0.9% higher and U.S. WTI closed up 1% [2] Group 2: Trade Tensions and Economic Factors - Ongoing assessments of the Middle East peace process, attacks on oil installations in Ukraine and Russia, and potential trade war escalation between the U.S. and China are influencing investor sentiment [2] - U.S. Treasury Secretary indicated President Trump is committed to meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping to address tariff threats and export controls, despite recent escalations in trade tensions [3] - Beijing announced sanctions against five U.S.-linked subsidiaries of South Korean shipbuilder Hanwha Ocean, and both countries will impose additional port fees on shipping firms [4] Group 3: IEA and OPEC+ Reports - The IEA raised its forecast for global oil supply growth due to OPEC+ production increases but lowered its demand growth forecast amid a challenging economic backdrop [5] - OPEC+ indicated that the oil market's supply shortfall is expected to shrink by 2026 as planned output increases are implemented [5] Group 4: Market Dynamics - The Brent oil futures 6-month spread is at its smallest premium since early May, while the WTI spread is at its narrowest since January 2024, indicating ample near-term supply [6] - Narrowing backwardation suggests that investors are earning less from selling oil in the spot market due to perceived sufficient near-term supply [6]

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in Brent and U.S. crude futures is attributed to U.S. President Trump's threat to impose increased tariffs on China, which has raised concerns over demand in an already oversupplied market [1][2]. Group 1: Market Reaction - Brent crude futures settled at $62.73 a barrel, down $2.49, or 3.82%, marking the lowest price since May 5 [2]. - U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude finished at $58.90 a barrel, down $2.61, or 4.24%, also the lowest since early May [2]. - The sell-off was characterized as a shift to risk-off markets due to Trump's tariff threats [1]. Group 2: Contributing Factors - The decline in oil prices is compounded by production increases from OPEC and additional output gains in North and South America [3]. - The geopolitical risk has diminished following the Gaza ceasefire agreement, which has shifted focus back to the oil surplus situation [6]. - A smaller-than-expected output hike agreed by OPEC+ has eased some oversupply concerns [7]. Group 3: Geopolitical Context - Trump's comments regarding China's export controls on rare earth elements, essential for tech manufacturing, have added to market uncertainty [4]. - The ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas is part of a broader initiative to stabilize the region, which may influence oil market dynamics [5].

Core Insights - Oil prices have declined to multi-month lows due to the easing of market risk premiums following a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas [1][3] - Brent crude futures fell by $1.73, or 2.7%, to $63.49 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude dropped by $1.71, or 2.8%, to $59.80 per barrel [1] Market Reactions - The ceasefire agreement is expected to alleviate concerns regarding crude carriers' safety in the Suez Canal and Red Sea, as noted by a commodities analyst [2] - The market's focus is shifting back to potential oil surplus as OPEC unwinds production cuts, with a smaller-than-expected output increase in November easing oversupply concerns [5] Price Trends - Weekly price changes show Brent down 1.7% and WTI down 1.9% [4] - Prices had briefly increased by about 1% earlier in the week due to stalled progress on a Ukraine peace deal, indicating ongoing geopolitical influences on oil prices [4] Supply and Demand Concerns - Analysts express that expectations for a significant increase in crude supply have not led to lower prices, indicating a complex market dynamic [6] - Concerns about a prolonged U.S. government shutdown potentially dampening oil demand in the U.S., the world's largest crude consumer, are also highlighted [6]