Core Insights - The article discusses the comprehensive development of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project, led by China Yajiang Group, with a total investment of 1.2 trillion yuan and a planned capacity of 60 million kilowatts, aiming for an annual power generation of 300 billion kilowatt-hours [1][6]. Upstream Industry - The upstream high-end equipment manufacturing sector exhibits a multi-dimensional competitive landscape, with Dongfang Electric holding a 45% market share in the turbine sector, expected to capture over 40% of the turbine and auxiliary equipment value for the Yajiang project, translating to an order size exceeding 28 billion yuan [3][5]. - In the tunnel boring machine (TBM) sector, China Railway Construction occupies a dominant position with a 50% market share, anticipated to secure orders for 25 hard rock TBMs, accounting for 45%-68% of the total orders, with a median value of 3.675 billion yuan [3][5]. - The peak delivery period for high-end equipment is projected between 2028 and 2035, which will have a long-term stimulating effect on the industry chain [3][5]. Midstream Industry - The design and construction of hydropower projects face significant technical barriers and high industry concentration, with the Yajiang project expected to generate design contracts worth 24 billion yuan, based on a 2% design fee of the total investment [6][9]. - China Power Construction, as a leading player in global hydropower engineering, is expected to undertake over 50% of the main engineering volume for the Yajiang project, leveraging its expertise in complex geological engineering [8][9]. Downstream Industry - The Yajiang Group's electricity transmission primarily relies on "Tibetan electricity transmission," with over 70% of power sent out through ±1100 kV UHVDC technology, which allows for efficient long-distance transmission with losses below 10% [11][12]. - The investment in supporting transmission projects is estimated to exceed 240 billion yuan, contributing to a significant market opportunity in the UHV sector [12][14]. Supporting Services - The ecological restoration aspect of the Yajiang Group's operations focuses on smart monitoring technologies and ecological benefit transformation mechanisms, establishing a comprehensive ecological monitoring network [15][16]. - The fish species enhancement project has successfully bred rare fish species, contributing to biodiversity and receiving international recognition for its ecological restoration model [16][17].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **Clean Energy** sector in **China**, specifically highlighting the **Yarlung Zangbo hydropower project** which commenced construction on July 19, 2025, in Nyingchi, Tibet [1] Company and Project Details - The **Yarlung Zangbo River Lower Reaches Hydropower project** is operated by the newly-established **China Yajiang Group Corporation** and consists of five cascade power stations with a planned investment of approximately **Rmb1.2 trillion** [1] - For comparison, the **Three Gorges** and **Baihetan projects** had investments of **Rmb250 billion** and **Rmb220 billion**, respectively [1] Investment Implications - Key beneficiaries identified within the coverage include **UHV transmission equipment players** such as: - **Pinggao (600312.SS)** - **XJ Electric (000400.SZ)** - **NARI Tech (600406.SS)** - **Sieyuan (002028.SZ)** [2] - Opportunities are also seen for: - **Hydropower plant engineering companies** - Key hydropower equipment manufacturers like **Dongfang Electric (600875.CH/1072.HK)** and **Harbin Electric (1133.HK)** [2] - Potential for the development of **"hydro-solar-wind bases"** to leverage solar and wind power during the dry season for stable renewable energy output [2] Capacity and Output Estimates - The **Medog hydropower station** is designed with an installed capacity of approximately **60 GW**, significantly higher than the **Three Gorges' 22.5 GW** and **Baihetan's 16 GW** [5] - Estimated annual electricity output for the Medog station is around **300 billion kWh**, compared to **80-90 billion kWh** for the Three Gorges and **~60 billion kWh** for Baihetan [5] - The electricity generated will be transmitted to other regions in China via **UHV lines**, while also catering to local demand in Tibet [5] Valuation Methodology - **XJ Electric (000400.SZ)** uses a discounted cash flow model with a WACC of **8.0%**, reflecting a cost of equity of **9.5%** and an after-tax cost of debt of **4.5%** [8] - **Sieyuan Electric Co. Ltd. (002028.SZ)** employs a similar discounted cash flow analysis with a WACC of **7.5%** [9] - **Henan Pinggao Electric (600312.SS)** also uses discounted cash flow methodology with a WACC of **8.2%** [10] - **NARI Technology (600406.SS)** follows a discounted cash flow approach with a WACC of **8.0%** [16] Risks and Opportunities - **Upside Risks** include: - Better-than-expected progress in orders - Market share gains - Higher-than-expected investment in the grid distribution network [12][13][14] - **Downside Risks** include: - Delays in the working progress of orders - Lower-than-expected investment in the grid distribution network - Increased competition affecting margins [12][18][19] Analyst Ratings - The report includes various companies in the **China Utilities** sector with ratings such as **Overweight** and **Equal-weight** for companies like **CGN Power Co., Ltd.** and **China Gas Holdings** [78][80] Conclusion - The Clean Energy sector in China, particularly hydropower, presents significant investment opportunities driven by large-scale projects like the Yarlung Zangbo and Medog stations, with various companies positioned to benefit from this growth.