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期刊Journal of Public Economics 2025年(下)保险精选文章目录与摘要|保险学术前沿
13个精算师· 2025-12-21 02:04
Core Insights - Unemployment insurance can enhance welfare through cross-network risk sharing without diminishing within-network informal insurance pooling [2][4] - Employer-sponsored health insurance typically includes dependent coverage, which increases both dependent enrollment and parental job stability [2][6] - Cash transfer programs have the potential to alleviate the income-health trap in developed countries, with evidence from the Finnish basic income experiment showing a 9%-11% increase in average income [2][7] - Sick adults are willing to pay nearly twice as much per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) to reduce mortality risk compared to healthy adults [2][9] - Gifts to heirs before death are substantial and highly responsive to taxation, with single individuals transferring about 10% of their wealth to children in anticipation of death [2][11] - Pension income receipt is associated with a 1.2%-1.4% decrease in mortality rates during the payment week in South Korea [2][12] - Marketing payments to physicians increase cancer drug prescriptions without improving patient mortality outcomes [2][13] Summary by Sections Substitution between Formal and Informal Insurance - The study indicates that interpersonal gifts and loans serve as informal insurance in high-income countries, with unemployment insurance (UI) showing minimal crowding out of informal transfers [4][5] Dependent Insurance Coverage and Parental Job Lock - Research shows that extending dependent insurance eligibility increases both enrollment and job retention among parents, particularly those at risk of job exit [6][7] Health Effects of Cash Transfers - The Finnish basic income experiment demonstrated that cash transfers can increase income and reduce the use of psychotropic drugs by 8%-11%, indicating potential health benefits [7][8] Health Risks and Value of Life - The analysis reveals that sick adults value reducing mortality risk significantly higher than healthy adults, providing insights into healthcare resource allocation [9][10] Wealth, Gifts, and Estate Planning - The findings highlight that tax-sensitive gifting behavior leads to substantial wealth transfers before death, with implications for inheritance tax policy [11][10] Pension Income and Healthcare Utilization - Evidence from South Korea shows that pension payments correlate with reduced mortality rates and increased healthcare utilization during the payment cycle [12][11] Marketing Cancer Drugs - The study finds that marketing payments to physicians lead to increased prescriptions of cancer drugs without corresponding improvements in patient outcomes [13][12]
Journal of Political Economy 2025年精选文章目录与摘要|保险学术前沿
13个精算师· 2025-12-07 02:05
Core Insights - The article discusses various studies published in the Journal of Political Economy, focusing on the implications of unemployment insurance, disability insurance, dynamic pricing in insurance markets, and long-term health insurance in Germany. Group 1: Unemployment Insurance - Entities with a pessimistic view on disasters are more likely to leverage risky asset purchases and prefer longer-term debt contracts, as these contracts provide implicit disaster insurance that increases with maturity [6][7]. - A study on Missouri's unemployment insurance policies found that a reduction in benefit duration led to a 12% increase in job-finding rates, driven by increased job vacancies and enhanced search efforts from unemployed workers [8]. Group 2: Disability Insurance - Research indicates that women with work disabilities are 12.8 percentage points more likely to be denied disability insurance compared to men, attributed to a higher assessment of their remaining work capacity [10][11]. Group 3: Dynamic Pricing in Insurance Markets - Stricter dynamic pricing regulations have limited effects on consumer welfare while reducing insurer profits and increasing market concentration [12][13]. Group 4: Long-Term Health Insurance - The German long-term health insurance market is the largest globally, with contract designs closely aligning with optimal dynamic contracts for individuals with stable lifetime income profiles, achieving welfare levels only 4% lower than optimal contracts [14][15]. - The availability of informal care reduces the demand for long-term care insurance by 7 percentage points and suppresses Medicaid spending, suggesting that cash benefits for informal caregivers could enhance insurance demand and family welfare [17][18].
期刊Risk Management and Insurance Review 2025年28卷第1期目录及摘要|保险学术前沿
13个精算师· 2025-10-12 02:03
Core Insights - Expanding social insurance coverage can effectively alleviate financial insecurity and associated mental health issues for specific employment groups, particularly those excluded during crises and labor market disruptions [2][4][5] - The integration of artificial intelligence into risk management processes can enhance predictive capabilities, allowing for early identification of emerging risks and improved emergency preparedness [2][6][7] - The Florida homeowners' insurance market is facing a crisis characterized by rising premiums, decreasing coverage availability, and insurer exits, driven by environmental and legal factors that increase claims costs [2][8] - Flood risk management should shift from traditional disaster response strategies to proactive resilience-building approaches, providing a valuable framework for insurers to enhance risk management and insurability [2][10][9] - The release of the Property and Casualty Market Intelligence (PCMI) dataset in January 2025 will provide insights into homeowners insurance trends, covering 246 million policies from 2018 to 2022, and highlight regional disparities in insurance losses and availability [2][12][11] Summary by Sections Expanded Pandemic Unemployment Assistance - The expansion of unemployment insurance during COVID-19 provided critical support to non-standard workers, revealing significant impacts on their financial and mental well-being when the program was terminated early [4][5] Artificial Intelligence in Risk Management - The study emphasizes the need for embedding advanced analytics and modeling techniques into risk management to create predictive systems that enhance real-time risk assessment and response capabilities [6][7] Florida Homeowners' Insurance Market - The research indicates that while participation in the Florida homeowners' insurance market does not inherently harm profitability, exposure during hurricane seasons negatively affects insurer performance [8] Flood Risk Management - The study highlights the importance of a sustainability perspective in flood risk management, advocating for a broader role of insurers beyond risk transfer, including proactive measures and community engagement [9][10] Homeowners Insurance Data Insights - The PCMI dataset will facilitate a deeper understanding of the dynamics in the homeowners insurance market, revealing trends in premiums, claims, and availability across different regions [12][11]
高盛-中国社会保障体系解析
Goldman Sachs· 2025-07-07 15:45
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry discussed Core Insights - Strengthening China's social safety net is crucial for rebalancing the economy towards consumption, as highlighted by recent policy discussions and government statements [3][4][5] - The current state of China's social safety net is characterized by significant gaps in coverage and benefits, particularly for unemployment, work-related injury, and maternity insurance [3][6][42] - The report emphasizes the need for the Chinese government to broaden coverage, reduce contribution rates, and increase expenditure on social security to ensure equitable access [3][6][60] Summary by Sections Overview of China's Social Safety Net - China's social security insurance includes five types: pension, medical, unemployment, work-related injury, and maternity insurance, with pension and medical insurance achieving near-universal coverage [3][6] - As of the end of 2024, basic medical insurance covered 1.33 billion people (94% of the total population) and pension insurance covered 1.07 billion people (92% of those aged 16 and above) [6][20] Challenges in the Current System - The unemployment, work-related injury, and maternity insurance programs have low coverage ratios, primarily affecting flexible workers who often do not participate [3][6][42] - The average monthly pension for urban retirees is significantly higher than that for rural residents, indicating disparities in benefits [20][22] Areas for Improvement - The report suggests that to enhance the social safety net, the government should consider increasing fiscal subsidies, reducing contribution rates, and integrating programs across cities to facilitate participation by flexible workers [60][61] - The aging population poses a significant challenge, with projections indicating a decline in the potential support ratio from 2.7 in 2025 to 1 in 2060, necessitating a shift in government spending priorities [61][62]