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期刊Risk Management and Insurance Review 2025年28卷第1期目录及摘要|保险学术前沿
13个精算师· 2025-10-12 02:03
Core Insights - Expanding social insurance coverage can effectively alleviate financial insecurity and associated mental health issues for specific employment groups, particularly those excluded during crises and labor market disruptions [2][4][5] - The integration of artificial intelligence into risk management processes can enhance predictive capabilities, allowing for early identification of emerging risks and improved emergency preparedness [2][6][7] - The Florida homeowners' insurance market is facing a crisis characterized by rising premiums, decreasing coverage availability, and insurer exits, driven by environmental and legal factors that increase claims costs [2][8] - Flood risk management should shift from traditional disaster response strategies to proactive resilience-building approaches, providing a valuable framework for insurers to enhance risk management and insurability [2][10][9] - The release of the Property and Casualty Market Intelligence (PCMI) dataset in January 2025 will provide insights into homeowners insurance trends, covering 246 million policies from 2018 to 2022, and highlight regional disparities in insurance losses and availability [2][12][11] Summary by Sections Expanded Pandemic Unemployment Assistance - The expansion of unemployment insurance during COVID-19 provided critical support to non-standard workers, revealing significant impacts on their financial and mental well-being when the program was terminated early [4][5] Artificial Intelligence in Risk Management - The study emphasizes the need for embedding advanced analytics and modeling techniques into risk management to create predictive systems that enhance real-time risk assessment and response capabilities [6][7] Florida Homeowners' Insurance Market - The research indicates that while participation in the Florida homeowners' insurance market does not inherently harm profitability, exposure during hurricane seasons negatively affects insurer performance [8] Flood Risk Management - The study highlights the importance of a sustainability perspective in flood risk management, advocating for a broader role of insurers beyond risk transfer, including proactive measures and community engagement [9][10] Homeowners Insurance Data Insights - The PCMI dataset will facilitate a deeper understanding of the dynamics in the homeowners insurance market, revealing trends in premiums, claims, and availability across different regions [12][11]
高盛-中国社会保障体系解析
Goldman Sachs· 2025-07-07 15:45
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry discussed Core Insights - Strengthening China's social safety net is crucial for rebalancing the economy towards consumption, as highlighted by recent policy discussions and government statements [3][4][5] - The current state of China's social safety net is characterized by significant gaps in coverage and benefits, particularly for unemployment, work-related injury, and maternity insurance [3][6][42] - The report emphasizes the need for the Chinese government to broaden coverage, reduce contribution rates, and increase expenditure on social security to ensure equitable access [3][6][60] Summary by Sections Overview of China's Social Safety Net - China's social security insurance includes five types: pension, medical, unemployment, work-related injury, and maternity insurance, with pension and medical insurance achieving near-universal coverage [3][6] - As of the end of 2024, basic medical insurance covered 1.33 billion people (94% of the total population) and pension insurance covered 1.07 billion people (92% of those aged 16 and above) [6][20] Challenges in the Current System - The unemployment, work-related injury, and maternity insurance programs have low coverage ratios, primarily affecting flexible workers who often do not participate [3][6][42] - The average monthly pension for urban retirees is significantly higher than that for rural residents, indicating disparities in benefits [20][22] Areas for Improvement - The report suggests that to enhance the social safety net, the government should consider increasing fiscal subsidies, reducing contribution rates, and integrating programs across cities to facilitate participation by flexible workers [60][61] - The aging population poses a significant challenge, with projections indicating a decline in the potential support ratio from 2.7 in 2025 to 1 in 2060, necessitating a shift in government spending priorities [61][62]