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2 Stocks Hurt By Trump's Furniture Tariffs and 1 That Benefits
MarketBeatยท 2025-10-03 16:24
Core Viewpoint - The Trump Administration's new tariffs on furniture imports are set to take effect on October 14, impacting various companies differently, with some facing significant margin pressure while others may benefit from the changes [1][3][5]. Impact on Companies - RH Inc. is heavily reliant on imports from Vietnam and China, with over 70% of its products sourced from these countries, making it vulnerable to the new tariffs, which include a 25% tariff on upholstered furniture and kitchen cabinets, rising to 30% and 50% respectively by 2026 [6][8]. - RH has warned of a potential revenue hit of $30 million in the second half of the year due to tariff pressures, with an additional $40 million impact expected in 2026 [7]. - Wayfair, while somewhat insulated due to its marketplace model, will still face challenges as 35-40% of its third-party suppliers are located in Asian countries affected by the tariffs, forcing the company to make difficult decisions regarding cost absorption or price increases [10][11][12]. - Ethan Allen Interiors stands to benefit from the tariffs due to its strong domestic manufacturing presence, with approximately 75% of its merchandise produced in North America, allowing it to maintain prices or implement small price hikes without sacrificing volume [14][15]. Market Reactions - RH's stock has declined by 10% this month, reflecting investor concerns over its vulnerability to tariff impacts and a downgraded rating from Zacks Research to Strong Sell [9]. - Wayfair's stock has increased over 100% year-to-date, but the new tariffs may present an opportunity for profit-taking [13]. - Ethan Allen's stock has seen limited growth of 5% year-to-date, but the tariffs could attract new customers and revive sales growth, which has been down 4.9% year-over-year [15].
Arhaus(ARHS) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-07 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved record net revenue of $358 million, representing a 15.7% increase year-over-year [28] - Comparable growth was up 10.5%, driven by the successful conversion of strong first-quarter demand [28] - Net income grew by 57.7% to $35 million, reflecting over three times earnings leverage on 16% net revenue growth [33] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 51.2% to $60 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 16.8%, up 390 basis points year-over-year [34] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Demand comparable growth decreased by 3.6% due to macroeconomic pressures, but July saw a rebound with a 15.7% increase [31][32] - The upholstery business remains a significant driver, with a focus on customization and a wide range of fabric options [56] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company operates in a $100 billion market, holding less than a 2% share, indicating significant growth potential [41] - The showroom expansion strategy is aimed at increasing market presence, with plans to open five to seven traditional showrooms annually [41] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on increasing brand awareness, expanding showroom footprint, enhancing omnichannel client experience, and investing in scalable infrastructure [6] - The launch of the Our House Bath Collection represents a strategic expansion into a new product category [14][15] - The company aims to navigate macroeconomic challenges from a position of strength, being debt-free with ample liquidity [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged a dynamic and uncertain operating environment but expressed confidence in the brand's strength and long-term outlook [31] - The company expects continued choppiness in demand trends but remains optimistic about the resilience of its client base [31][32] - Full-year guidance reflects confidence in strategy execution, with net revenue expected between $1.29 billion and $1.38 billion [49] Other Important Information - The company is investing approximately $10 million in strategic initiatives to support long-term growth [46] - A diversified sourcing strategy is in place to mitigate risks associated with tariffs and geopolitical tensions [38] Q&A Session Summary Question: Opportunities with the Bath Collection - Management noted that customer preferences are evolving towards softer, warmer designs, and the Bath Collection aligns with these trends [55] Question: Demand Trends and Tariff Impact - Management acknowledged the choppiness in demand and the expected impact of tariffs, emphasizing the resilience of their consumer base [64][94] Question: Market Share and Competitive Position - Management believes the company is gaining market share and has a unique product offering that differentiates it from competitors [98]