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Does Qualcomm's Solid Q1 Earnings Warrant a Portfolio Re-Look?
ZACKS· 2026-02-09 15:17
Core Insights - Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM) reported strong first-quarter fiscal 2026 results, achieving record revenues driven by demand in IoT and automotive sectors, although revenues missed consensus estimates despite year-over-year growth [1][7] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings exceeded Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the strength of Qualcomm's business model and diversification initiatives [1] - The company expects GAAP revenues for the second quarter to be between $10.2 billion and $11 billion, with non-GAAP earnings projected at $2.45 to $2.65 per share [3] Market Challenges - Qualcomm faces supply chain headwinds, particularly in the handset market, due to memory suppliers redirecting capacity to AI data centers, leading to shortages and inflated prices [2] - The company anticipates continued softness in the handset market and a weaker mix of devices in the near future [3] Geopolitical Factors - Ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions are expected to negatively impact Qualcomm's operations and demand in China, where the company has a significant presence [4][5] - Trade restrictions imposed by the U.S. Commerce Department against China pose challenges for Qualcomm, as they face increased competition from domestic chipmakers [5] Competitive Landscape - Qualcomm is experiencing stiff competition from rivals like Hewlett Packard Enterprise and Broadcom, which may affect profit margins [6] - The global smartphone market is projected to grow, but much of this growth is expected to come from low-cost emerging markets, potentially weighing on Qualcomm's margins [6] Business Segments - Qualcomm's automotive revenues rose 15% to a record $1.1 billion in the first quarter, driven by the Snapdragon Digital Chassis platform [9] - The company is gaining traction in vehicle-to-everything (V2X) communication systems, enhancing its automotive offerings through acquisitions [9][8] Stock Performance - Over the past year, Qualcomm's stock has declined by 19.8%, underperforming the industry growth of 34.7% [10] - Earnings estimates for fiscal 2026 have decreased by 19 cents to $11.74, indicating bearish sentiment among investors [13]