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Core Viewpoint - The VanEck Oil Services ETF (OIH) has shown significant growth, rising 39% year-to-date and 15% in the past month, driven by a recovery in crude prices and strong earnings from key holdings [1] Group 1: Market Performance - OIH is up approximately 39% year-to-date through February 27, with over 15% of that gain occurring in the last month [1] - WTI crude prices have recovered 19% from a January low of $56 to around $66, influencing upstream capital spending and oil services revenue [1] Group 2: Company Insights - Schlumberger (SLB) projects 2026 revenue between $36.9 billion and $37.7 billion, contingent on oil prices remaining stable [1] - Baker Hughes (BKR) has a backlog of $32.4 billion, focusing on LNG infrastructure and AI data center power demand, which are less dependent on rig counts [1] - Halliburton (HAL) anticipates a decline in North America revenue by high single digits in 2026, making it the most sensitive to U.S. drilling budgets [1] Group 3: Investment Considerations - The EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report is a key indicator for crude price direction, impacting oil services companies' revenue [1] - Transocean (RIG), with a beta of 1.46, is highly sensitive to crude price fluctuations and is involved in discussions regarding a potential merger with Valaris [1] - Changes in the fund's holdings, such as an increase in BKR's weighting and a decrease in HAL's, could shift the fund's sensitivity from North American rig counts to long-cycle infrastructure spending [1]

Group 1: Global Market Trends - Global equities outside the U.S. have logged 10 consecutive weeks of gains, marking the longest streak on record for the All Country ex-U.S. ETF [2] - The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF has also advanced for 10 straight weeks, indicating a potential shift in market gravity away from the U.S. [2] - Precious metals, particularly gold and silver, have shown historic performance, with gold outperforming the S&P 500 for seven weeks and silver gaining for 10 consecutive months, a sign of potential economic shifts [3] - The South Korean equity market has surged 55% in just two months, the strongest performance since April 2009, suggesting a shift in technology leadership towards Asia [4] Group 2: Sector Performance - The VanEck Oil Services ETF has posted nine consecutive weekly gains, indicating that energy is outperforming technology significantly [4] - A notable rotation from growth to value stocks has been observed, reminiscent of major turning points in market leadership [5] Group 3: Company-Specific Developments - Microsoft has recorded five consecutive monthly losses, its longest losing streak since February 2009, indicating pressure on even dominant market players [6] - Apollo Global Management has seen a decline of over 20% in February, the worst month since 2011, reflecting investor anxiety spreading beyond technology into private equity and credit markets [7]

Core Viewpoint - The energy sector, particularly oilfield services, is experiencing a significant turnaround, outperforming technology stocks for the first time in nearly two decades, indicating a potential shift in capital flows and investment priorities for the next decade [1][2]. Group 1: Performance Metrics - The VanEck Oil Services ETF (NYSE:OIH) has rallied nearly 30% year-to-date through February 4, 2026, making it the best-performing industry group so far this year [1]. - Oil services stocks have outpaced software stocks by nearly 60 percentage points year-to-date, reaching their highest relative performance ratio since November 2023 [4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The current rally in oilfield services is characterized as a structural re-rating rather than a temporary momentum-driven event, suggesting a long-term shift in investor sentiment [2][4]. - The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) has shown minimal movement in 2026, contrasting sharply with the strong performance of the OIH ETF, indicating a rotation from growth to value-linked energy plays [3]. Group 3: Investor Sentiment - Investors are gaining confidence that the oilfield services sector has overcome its previous challenges, leading to renewed interest and investment [5]. - The strength in oilfield services is viewed as potentially more consequential for global energy systems than the ongoing retrenchment in tech and software sectors [5]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Attention is now focused on whether oilfield services companies can translate their operational momentum into sustainable earnings growth through 2026 and beyond [5]. - The market signals that oilfield services are no longer overlooked and are now leading the energy sector [6].

Core Viewpoint - Oil services stocks have experienced a significant increase since late December, indicating a positive trend in the sector [1] Group 1 - The VanEck Oil Services ETF (NYSEARCA:OIH) has risen approximately 18% year-to-date [1]