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国泰海通证券:维持易鑫集团(02858)“增持”评级 SaaS业务爆发 AI和国际化双轮驱动
智通财经网· 2026-03-09 01:25
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report maintains a "Buy" rating for Yixin Group (02858) with a target price of HKD 3.91, corresponding to a 16x P/E for 2026 [1] - The company expects revenue and net profit for 2025 to be CNY 11.56 billion and CNY 1.199 billion, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 17% and 48%, which aligns with expectations [1] - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2026-2028 to CNY 12.696 billion, CNY 14.230 billion, and CNY 16.114 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth of 10%, 12%, and 13% respectively, with net profit projected to be CNY 1.452 billion, CNY 1.760 billion, and CNY 2.152 billion, showing growth rates of 21% each year [1] Group 2 - The SaaS business continues to drive revenue growth, with revenue reaching CNY 4.501 billion, a year-on-year increase of 150%, contributing 161% to revenue growth [1] - The number of core customers increased from 17 to 24, and the total financing amount on the SaaS platform reached CNY 40.3 billion, indicating strong business performance [1] - The company's funding cost is expected to decrease to 3.7% in 2025 from 4.5% in 2024, which will enhance the net interest margin from 4.9% in 2024 to 6.0% [1] Group 3 - The financing net service fee rate is projected to rise from 3.7% in 2024 to 5.1%, driven by lower funding costs and increased volumes in high-yield used car financing [1] - The company achieved a 48% profit growth despite a 9% increase in financing scale, attributed to the growth in net interest margin and financing net service fee rate [1] - The automotive finance market is experiencing rapid growth, and funding costs are expected to continue declining, serving as a catalyst for the company's performance [3] Group 4 - The company launched its first agent-type AI model, XinMM-AM1, in November 2025, which alleviates high reliance on manual processes and fragmented workflows in traditional processes [2] - The company received the "New Brilliant Scene Award" at the Global Internet Conference and was included in the "Hong Kong Stock Exchange Technology 100" index, reflecting high recognition from the industry and capital markets [2] - The company is accelerating its international expansion, focusing on Southeast Asia, with significant progress in markets like Singapore and Malaysia, potentially opening a second growth curve [2]