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Cloudflare Rises 9% in 3 Months: Should You Hold or Fold NET Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-27 14:01
Core Viewpoint - Cloudflare, Inc. has shown strong performance with an 8.8% stock increase over the past three months, significantly outperforming the Zacks Internet – Software industry, which declined by 2% during the same period, driven by strong fundamentals and AI-driven growth initiatives [1] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Cloudflare reported revenues of $479.1 million, a 27% year-over-year increase, indicating robust demand from large customers [2] - The number of customers paying over $100,000 annually increased by 23% year-over-year to 3,527, with revenue from this segment growing by 32%, now representing 69% of total revenues, up from 67% in the previous year [3] - Operating income reached $56 million, a 32% increase from the prior year, with operating margin expanding by 50 basis points year-over-year to 11.7% [4] Growth Initiatives - Cloudflare is focusing on AI and expanding its Zero Trust security offerings, positioning itself for long-term growth [5] - In Q1 2025, the company secured significant contracts, including a 5.5-year contract worth $6.4 million with a Global 2000 company and a two-year contract worth $6.2 million with a major U.S. government entity [6] - The company is experiencing explosive growth in AI, with Workers AI inference requests up nearly 4,000% year-over-year and AI Gateway requests rising more than 1,200% year-over-year [7] Market Outlook - For Q2 2025, Cloudflare projects revenues between $500 million and $501 million, indicating a 24.88% increase from the prior-year quarter [9] - For the full year 2025, revenue guidance is set between $2.09 billion and $2.094 billion, suggesting a 25.39% increase from the previous year [10] Competitive Landscape - Despite strong growth, Cloudflare faces a decelerating revenue growth trend, with a notable decrease from 29% in 2024 to a projected 25% in 2025 [12][13] - The market for web infrastructure and security services is becoming increasingly competitive, with established players like Akamai, Fastly, and Amazon Web Services vying for market share [14][16]
Cloudflare Rises 7% in a Month: Should You Hold or Fold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-04-29 16:10
Core Viewpoint - Cloudflare Inc. (NET) has shown strong performance with a 7.3% increase in the past month, significantly outperforming the Zacks Internet – Software industry's growth of 0.8, raising questions about whether investors should hold the stock now [1]. Group 1: Growth Drivers - Cloudflare is focusing on AI and expanding its Zero Trust security offerings, positioning itself for strong long-term growth potential [4]. - The company secured a three-year Secure Access Service Edge contract worth $4 million with a major U.S. investment firm, enhancing its position in the enterprise security space [5]. - Cloudflare's AI offerings, including Workers AI and AI Gateway platforms, are gaining traction, optimizing performance and security for AI workloads [5]. - The company's AI solutions deliver up to 10 times price performance improvements over traditional hyperscalers, making it a critical infrastructure provider as AI adoption accelerates [6]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Cloudflare's go-to-market strategy has improved sales execution, with significant customer conversions in the fourth quarter, where 80% of new sales hires focused on enterprise clients [7]. - Notable customer wins include a $20 million five-year contract with a Fortune 100 technology firm and a $13.5 million deal with a leading AI company, highlighting growing enterprise traction [8]. - The company reported an operating income of $67.2 million in the fourth quarter, up 69% year over year, with an operating margin expanding 360 basis points to 14.6%, reflecting improved operational efficiency [9]. - For 2025, Cloudflare forecasts non-GAAP earnings per share between 79 cents and 80 cents, indicating year-over-year growth of 5.33% [10]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The market for web infrastructure and security services is highly competitive, with established players like Akamai Technologies, Fastly, and Amazon Web Services vying for market share [11]. - Akamai offers a range of infrastructure and security services, while Fastly provides solutions like Compute@Edge and a strong security portfolio [12]. - Amazon offers various services including Amazon CloudFront and security solutions, with new entrants and niche players adding to competitive pressure [13]. Group 4: Valuation Concerns - Cloudflare is currently trading at a forward sales multiple of 18.39X, compared to the Internet - Software industry's valuation of 4.86X, indicating overvaluation [14]. Group 5: Investment Recommendation - Despite strong growth prospects, Cloudflare's current overvaluation poses concerns for investors, suggesting a hold position for now [17]. - The company carries a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) at present, indicating a prudent move for patient investors [18].