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赛默飞世尔科技:4Q25 results: Capitalizing on the growing pharmaceutical demand-20260202
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2026-02-02 05:24
Investment Rating - The report maintains a BUY rating for Thermo Fisher with a new target price of US$670, up from the previous target price of US$654, indicating a potential upside of 15.8% from the current price of US$578.61 [2][8]. Core Insights - Thermo Fisher reported a strong performance in 4Q25, with revenue increasing by 7.2% year-over-year, marking the fastest quarterly growth in 2025. Adjusted EPS rose by 7.7%, surpassing Bloomberg consensus estimates by 2.2% and 1.9%, respectively [1][8]. - The company expects revenue growth of 3.9% to 5.9% and adjusted EPS growth of 5.9% to 8.4% for the full year 2026, reaffirming a long-term organic revenue growth target of 3%-6% [1][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For FY25, Thermo Fisher's revenue was US$44,556 million, with a year-over-year growth of 3.9%. The adjusted net profit was US$8,643 million, reflecting a growth of 3.1% [9][14]. - The company forecasts revenue of US$46,849 million for FY26, representing a growth of 5.1%, and adjusted net profit of US$9,130 million, which is a 5.6% increase [9][14]. Market Dynamics - The pharmaceutical and biotech sectors were the strongest client segments for Thermo Fisher in 2025, achieving mid-single-digit revenue growth for the year and high-single-digit growth in 4Q25. Management noted increased confidence among pharma companies in their relationships with governments [8]. - Biotech financing showed recovery in the second half of 2025, which is expected to drive revenue growth despite a typical lag of approximately six months between funding and R&D expenditure [8]. Strategic Acquisitions - In 2025, Thermo Fisher completed significant acquisitions, including Solventum's filtration and separation business for US$4.0 billion and Sanofi's sterile fill-finish facility for US$8.9 billion. These acquisitions are anticipated to enhance the company's global leadership in bioproduction and expand its capacity in the U.S. [8][9]. - Management expects adjusted EPS to grow by 7-9% in 2026 as a result of these strategic acquisitions [8]. Service Capabilities - Thermo Fisher's CDMO segment experienced strong growth in 2025, benefiting from limited sterile fill-finish capacity globally. The acquisition of Sanofi's facility is expected to secure growing orders for production in the U.S. [8]. - The integrated Accelerator business aims to improve project execution and reduce time-to-market for innovative drugs, thereby generating significant orders through differentiated service offerings [8].