Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry and Companies Involved - **Industry**: Electric Motor Suppliers in China - **Companies**: Johnson Electric and Wolong Electric Core Insights and Arguments - **Valuation-Driven Correction**: The recent share price correction for Johnson Electric and Wolong Electric is viewed as valuation-driven rather than based on the underlying investment thesis [2][8] - **Muted Earnings Expectations**: Anticipated muted earnings for 3Q25 for both companies, but the long-term structural drivers remain intact [2][8] - **Core Structural Drivers**: The three main structural drivers identified are: - AI Data Centers (AIDC) - Humanoid/Industrial Robotics - eVTOL (Electric Vertical Takeoff and Landing) and low-altitude economy [2][4] Key Developments - **AIDC Developments**: - Nvidia's Blackwell Ultra platform deployment is ramping up in October, with the first US-made Blackwell wafer unveiled on October 17 [4] - Alibaba announced a new green AI data center in Dubai expected to be operational by 2026, indicating global AI compute expansion [4] - **Robotics Sector Growth**: - Zhiyuan launched its Elf G2 and expects robotics revenue to grow more than tenfold YoY in 2025 [4] - Shanghai's AI terminal action plan prioritizes humanoid robots, benefiting companies like Shanghai Electric, a partner of Johnson [4] - UBTECH secured additional orders for its Walker S-series, reinforcing the acceleration of humanoid adoption [4] Policy and Market Indicators - **20th CCP Fourth Plenary Session**: Expected to reaffirm national strategic technologies, including AI industrialization and low-altitude economy ecosystems [2][8] - **eVTOL as a Strategic Priority**: The low-altitude economy and eVTOL are anticipated to be elevated as strategic national development priorities during the Fourth Plenary [8] Investment Outlook - **Investment Ratings**: - Johnson Electric is rated as Overweight (OW) due to its superior operating leverage in AIDC and humanoid robotics [8] - Wolong Electric is rated Neutral (N) as its structural story remains compelling, but near-term valuation is less favorable [8] - **Catalysts to Monitor**: Key catalysts include order wins, production ramp updates, and policy support that could influence the investment case for both companies [6][7] Additional Important Points - **Market Dynamics**: The report emphasizes that the recent pullback in stock prices is driven by macroeconomic factors rather than the companies' fundamental performance [8] - **Potential Risks**: Risks include faster-than-expected adoption of next-gen cooling technologies that could impact demand for existing products [7] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, focusing on the industry context, company-specific developments, and investment outlook.

Summary of Shenzhen Envicool Technology Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Shenzhen Envicool Technology (002837.SZ) - **Market Cap**: Rmb63.6 billion / $8.9 billion - **Industry**: China Industrial Tech & Machinery Key Points and Arguments 1. **Target Price and Market Share**: - Target price raised to Rmb70.80 from Rmb65.66, indicating a 7.8% upside potential [1] - Expected to capture 5% of the global server liquid cooling market by 2027 and 10% by 2030 [1][18] 2. **Sales and Net Income Growth**: - Forecasted sales and net income CAGRs of 38% and 47% respectively from 2025E to 2030E, revised up from previous estimates of 31% and 32% [2][18] - Sales and net income estimates for 2025-2030 revised up by 11%-45% and 3%-74% respectively [2][18] 3. **Recent Performance**: - Server cooling and other sales grew 216% year-over-year in 1H25 [19] - Share price increased by 94% since late July, driven by market expectations of entering the global computing equipment supply chain [2] 4. **Catalysts and Risks**: - Upcoming NVIDIA earnings and potential new AI chip launch expected to support domestic demand [3] - Risks include slow R&D progress with key customers and geopolitical changes affecting supply chains [3][17] 5. **Investment and Recruitment**: - Active recruitment in Southeast Asia and the US, with new subsidiaries established in California and Texas [19] - Investment in expanding liquid cooling capacity across regions [19] 6. **Key Qualifications**: - Achieved key qualifications with NVIDIA and Intel for liquid cooling products, enhancing credibility and market access [19] 7. **Margin Improvement**: - Expected net profit margin to reach 12.4% by 2027E, up from previous forecasts of 11.1% [21] - Improvement driven by higher overseas exposure and better operating leverage [21] 8. **Scenario Analysis**: - Implied upside of 118% if capturing 10% of the global server liquid cooling market by 2027E, with a downside of 38% if unable to expand overseas [25] Additional Important Information 1. **Financial Projections**: - Revenue projections for 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are Rmb6,733.7 million, Rmb10,668.1 million, and Rmb15,259.4 million respectively [4][15] - EPS projections for the same years are Rmb0.68, Rmb1.27, and Rmb1.95 respectively [4][15] 2. **Capex and Working Capital**: - Anticipated increase in capex by 72% on average from 2025E to 2030E, with a capex/revenue ratio of 6.5% [26] - Improvement in working capital management expected, with reduced receivables days and cash conversion cycles [25] 3. **Market Position**: - Envicool's liquid cooling products gaining recognition among leading chipmakers and computing equipment manufacturers [19] - The company is positioned as a tier-2 manufacturer within the NVIDIA ecosystem, supporting major suppliers [19] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call, highlighting the company's growth potential, market strategies, and financial outlook.

Summary of Shenzhen Envicool Technology (002837.SZ) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Shenzhen Envicool Technology - **Ticker**: 002837.SZ - **Industry**: Precision cooling technology for data centers and energy storage systems (ESS) Key Financial Highlights - **2Q25 Results**: - Revenue: Rmb1,641 million (+70% YoY) - Gross Profit: Rmb426 million (+37% YoY) - EBIT: Rmb197 million (+64% YoY) - Net Income: Rmb168 million (+38% YoY) - Gross Profit Margin (GPM): 26% (-4pp YoY) - Operating Profit Margin (OPM): 12% (stable YoY) - Net Profit Margin (NPM): 10% (-2pp YoY) [1][10][12] Core Business Insights - **Data Center Cooling**: - Sales grew by 58% YoY to Rmb1,351 million in 1H25, indicating strong demand [1] - Contract liabilities increased by 109% YoY, suggesting a solid order backlog [1] - **Liquid Cooling Adoption**: - Recorded over Rmb200 million in liquid cooling revenue in 1H25, with products gaining traction among leading chipmakers [2] - **Energy Storage System (ESS) Cooling**: - Sales reached approximately Rmb800 million (+35% YoY) in 1H25, showing resilience despite global trade tensions [3] Margin Analysis - **Gross Profit Margin Decline**: - GPM decreased by 4 percentage points YoY due to regional and product mix changes and increased competition in the data center cooling market [4] - **Stable Operating Profit Margin**: - OPM remained stable at 12%, with SG&A expenses growing at a slower rate than sales [7] Operational Challenges - **Cash Flow Issues**: - Cash outflow from operations widened to Rmb234 million, attributed to higher receivable and inventory days [8] - **Capex Reduction**: - Capital expenditures declined by 19% YoY to Rmb141 million, below management's guidance [8] Investment Thesis - **Long-term Growth Drivers**: - The digital economy and carbon reduction initiatives are expected to drive demand for precision cooling technologies [12] - Increasing investment in generative AI is anticipated to boost liquid cooling adoption in data centers [12] - **Valuation**: - Current stock valuation is considered attractive with a 12-month target price of Rmb34.50, representing a potential downside of 50.9% from the current price of Rmb70.20 [14][15] Risks - **Competitive Landscape**: - Risks include tougher competition in cooling technology and slower-than-expected adoption of liquid cooling solutions [14] Conclusion Shenzhen Envicool Technology has demonstrated strong revenue growth in its core segments, particularly in data center and ESS cooling. However, challenges such as margin pressure, cash flow issues, and competitive risks need to be addressed to sustain growth and improve profitability. The long-term outlook remains positive, driven by global trends in digitalization and energy efficiency.