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Where Will Intuitive Surgical Stock Be in 10 Years?
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-20 08:57
Core Insights - Intuitive Surgical's business model is primarily based on the sale of da Vinci surgical robots, but the real growth driver lies in its parts and services revenue stream [1][2][8] - The company has seen a significant increase in the number of da Vinci systems in use, with a 13% year-over-year growth in Q3 2025, leading to a nearly 33% increase in revenue from the "systems" segment [5][9] - The revenue breakdown shows that while "systems" sales account for about 25% of total revenue, the majority comes from instruments and accessories, which make up around 60% of overall sales [6][7] Revenue Breakdown - The income statement of Intuitive Surgical is divided into three main segments: systems (da Vinci robots), services, and instruments and accessories [4][7] - Services contribute approximately 15% to the top line, primarily from servicing da Vinci robots, while instruments and accessories are the largest revenue source [7] - The growth in surgeries performed using da Vinci systems (20% increase) outpaces the growth in the number of new systems sold, indicating a strong potential for parts and services revenue [8][12] Market Position - Intuitive Surgical is considered a growth stock, with a current market capitalization of $200 billion and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 72x, significantly higher than the S&P 500 average [9][11] - The company’s P/E ratio aligns with its five-year average, suggesting that while it is expensive relative to the market, it is consistent with its historical valuation [11] - Over the next decade, the revenue from parts and services is expected to increase, potentially making up as much as 80% of total revenue, indicating a shift towards more stable, annuity-like income [9][12]
Robotic Surgery Will Explode: Buy This Healthcare Stock Before Its 50% Run.
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-16 09:50
Core Insights - Intuitive Surgical has recently experienced a significant drawdown, but historical trends suggest this may lead to a subsequent bull run for the stock [1][5] - The company is categorized as a growth stock, with a history of substantial sell-offs followed by price rallies [3][5] - Intuitive Surgical is included in the First Trust Nasdaq Artificial Intelligence and Robotics ETF, which could potentially drive its shares up by 50% or more [2] Company Performance - In Q3 2025, Intuitive Surgical installed 427 da Vinci surgical robots, an increase from 329 in Q3 2024, bringing the total to 10,763 robots globally [6] - The company’s revenue from robot sales constitutes approximately 25% of its total income, with the primary revenue driver being the sale of instruments, accessories, and services related to surgical procedures [7] - Surgical procedures utilizing the da Vinci robot increased by 20% year over year in Q3 2025, despite only a 13% increase in the number of systems [8] Technological Integration - The da Vinci surgical robot enhances patient outcomes through less invasive and more precise procedures [10] - Future advancements may allow for remote operation of the robots, enabling high-quality care from distant locations [11] - There is potential for AI to autonomously operate the da Vinci robots, which could significantly increase the number of surgeries performed and the demand for related parts and services [12][13] - While fully autonomous AI surgery is still a long-term prospect, Intuitive Surgical is already integrating AI into its products, indicating its importance for future growth [14]
This Robotics Stock Is a Far Better Investment Than Palantir
The Motley Fool· 2025-10-24 08:16
Core Viewpoint - Intuitive Surgical is presented as a more attractive investment alternative to Palantir Technologies, offering rapid revenue growth and a more reasonable valuation amid the AI boom [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance - Intuitive Surgical's stock experienced a significant jump after reporting better-than-expected third-quarter results and raising its outlook [2]. - Global procedures for the da Vinci and Ion systems increased approximately 20% year-over-year in Q3, with da Vinci procedures rising 19% and Ion procedures climbing 52% [5]. - The management raised its 2025 outlook for worldwide da Vinci procedure growth to about 17% to 17.5%, up from a previous forecast of 15.5% to 17% [6]. Group 2: System Placements and Revenue - The company placed 427 da Vinci systems in Q3, an increase from 379 a year ago, with 240 being the next-generation da Vinci 5 [7]. - The installed base of da Vinci surgical systems grew 13% to 10,763 systems, enhancing future recurring revenue potential [7]. - Instruments and accessories revenue rose about 20% to approximately $1.5 billion, aligning with the increase in procedures [9]. Group 3: Management Outlook and Financials - Management raised its non-GAAP gross margin outlook to 67% to 67.5%, compared to a previous forecast of 66% to 67% [10]. - The updated margin range accounts for an estimated tariff impact of roughly 0.7% of revenue, down from about 1% previously, indicating better-than-expected sales growth [11]. - In Q3, management repurchased four million shares for $1.92 billion, a significant increase from the previous quarter, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term potential [13]. Group 4: Comparison with Palantir - While Palantir reported a 48% revenue growth in its latest quarter, Intuitive Surgical's 23% growth is considered more sustainable due to its valuation and business model durability [14][17]. - Intuitive Surgical's forward price-to-earnings multiple is 48, and its price-to-sales ratio is 18, significantly lower than Palantir's multiples of 217 and 137, respectively [15]. - Intuitive Surgical is viewed as having a more predictable and durable business model compared to Palantir, which has been outperforming competitors since the launch of its first da Vinci surgical system in 2000 [16].