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What is Driving Western Digital's Gross Margin Expansion in FY26?
ZACKS· 2025-12-16 15:56
Core Insights - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) is experiencing significant gross margin expansion due to a favorable product mix, healthy pricing dynamics, disciplined cost controls, and improved operational efficiencies, with a non-GAAP gross margin of 43.9% in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, marking a 660 basis points year-over-year improvement and a 260 basis points sequential increase [1][8] Group 1: Margin and Revenue Growth - The transition towards higher-capacity nearline hard disk drives (HDDs), particularly advanced ePMR and UltraSMR products, is a key driver of margin strength, with shipments reaching 204 exabytes, a 23% increase year-over-year [2] - The company expects non-GAAP gross margin for the second quarter of fiscal 2026 to be in the range of 44-45%, indicating further sequential improvement, alongside projected non-GAAP revenues of $2.9 billion, a 20% increase year-over-year [5][8] Group 2: Customer Demand and Product Development - All top seven customers have placed purchase orders extending through the first half of 2026, with one major hyperscale customer securing supply through 2027, indicating strong demand for next-generation HAMR drives [3] - The accelerating adoption of AI and data-intensive workloads among hyperscale customers is driving robust demand for WDC's solutions, with significant shipments of the latest ePMR products exceeding 2.2 million units in the September quarter [2] Group 3: Cost Management and Pricing - Pricing conditions have been supportive, with modest low-single-digit increases in average selling price (ASP) per terabyte on both a sequential and year-over-year basis, while the company continues to achieve mid- to high-single-digit cost reductions per terabyte [4] - Management highlighted disciplined cost controls and operational execution as key factors underpinning margin expansion [4] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Seagate Technology and Micron Technology are also experiencing margin expansion, driven by strong demand in the cloud and AI-driven markets, with Seagate reporting a non-GAAP gross margin of 40.1% and Micron achieving a gross margin of 45.7% [6][7]
Western Digital (NasdaqGS:WDC) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-12-02 20:57
Summary of Western Digital Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Western Digital (NasdaqGS: WDC) - **Date**: December 02, 2025 - **Focus**: Data storage solutions, particularly hard disk drives (HDD) and solid-state drives (SSD) Key Industry Insights - **Market Growth**: Exabyte demand is projected to grow at a CAGR of 15% under base case scenarios, driven by cloud growth, and potentially 23% if AI growth materializes [2][3] - **Current Performance**: Recent growth rates are around mid-20s%, with exabytes growing at 30% year-on-year [2][3] Pricing Strategy - **Pricing Environment**: The pricing environment is stable, with low single-digit increases year-over-year on a dollar per terabyte basis, contrasting with historical ASP erosion of approximately 7% [5][7] - **Value Proposition**: The company focuses on delivering better total cost of ownership (TCO) through higher capacity drives and innovations that improve throughput [4][5] Customer Contracts and Demand - **Long-term Contracts**: Firm purchase orders from five major customers for all of 2026, with one customer extending to 2027 [3][7] - **Capacity Management**: The company is not expanding unit capacity but is focusing on increasing drive density and transitioning customers to higher capacity drives [21][22] Technology and Product Development - **HAMR and ePMR Roadmap**: The qualification for HAMR (Heat-Assisted Magnetic Recording) is being accelerated, with plans to introduce 36TB CMR and 44TB Ultra SMR HAMR drives in 2026 [10][19] - **Adoption of Ultra SMR**: 50% of nearline bits shipped last quarter were on Ultra SMR technology, which provides a 20% capacity uplift [9][12] Competitive Landscape - **Market Position**: Western Digital maintains a competitive stance against peers, focusing on technology advancements and customer partnerships [26][27] - **HDD vs. SSD Demand**: Both HDD and SSD demands are increasing, with HDDs expected to store 75%-80% of data due to their TCO benefits [22][23] Financial Performance - **Gross Margin Expansion**: Gross margins have improved significantly, moving from the 20s to mid-40s percentage points, with expectations for further growth [31][32] - **Free Cash Flow**: The company has a strong free cash flow margin, exceeding 20%, and is actively returning cash to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks [41][42] Strategic Considerations - **Independence Post-Split**: The company has benefited from being independent, allowing for focused strategies on HDD and SSD businesses [24][25] - **Risk Management**: The company monitors customer demand signals, CapEx spending, and data center builds to manage supply effectively [37][39] Conclusion Western Digital is positioned for continued growth in the data storage market, leveraging strong customer relationships, innovative technology, and a stable pricing environment to meet increasing demand for exabyte-scale storage solutions.
Should You Buy Western Digital Stock After a 114.1% Rally in 3 Months?
ZACKS· 2025-11-18 15:06
Core Insights - Western Digital Corporation's (WDC) shares have surged 114.1% in the past three months, significantly outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry and the S&P 500 [1][9] - The rapid growth of AI is driving strong demand for high-capacity storage solutions, leading to record shipment levels and improved gross margins for WDC [1][10] Performance Comparison - WDC has outperformed competitors like Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) and Micron Technology (MU), which saw stock increases of 65.5% and 98.3% respectively, but lagged behind Sandisk Corporation (SNDK), which rose 496.4% [2] - The company reported a 52-week high stock price of $178.45, raising questions about future upside potential [5] Business Strategy and Market Position - WDC has separated its HDD and Flash businesses into two independent companies to enhance focus on their respective markets [4] - As a leader in HDD technology, WDC is positioned to meet the increasing data storage demands driven by AI, with a year-over-year revenue growth of 27% and a net income growth of 137% for fiscal 2026 [6] Demand Drivers - The demand for high-capacity storage is being fueled by the rise of AI, with WDC's ePMR and UltraSMR products seeing significant uptake [9][11] - The company is expanding its ePMR technology and advancing manufacturing processes to meet the growing exabyte demand [11][12] Financial Performance - WDC reported a non-GAAP gross margin of 43.9% in the fiscal first quarter, with expectations for 44-45% in the second quarter [14][15] - The company generated $672 million in operating cash flow and repurchased 6.4 million shares for $553 million, reflecting strong financial execution [16] Future Outlook - WDC anticipates ongoing revenue growth driven by strong data center demand and the adoption of high-capacity drives [13] - The company has a solid order pipeline extending through 2027, with all major customers placing orders, indicating confidence in its product roadmap [12][21] Valuation Metrics - WDC's shares are trading at a price/earnings ratio of 20.24, which is lower than the industry average of 20.38 but above its historical mean of 9.74 [20] Estimate Revisions - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WDC's earnings for fiscal 2026 has increased by 13.2% to $7.38, while the estimate for fiscal 2027 has risen by 37.2% to $9.84 [19]
Western Digital(WDC) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-10-30 20:30
Financial Performance Highlights - Revenue reached $2.8 billion, exceeding the high end of guidance[5] - Non-GAAP gross margin was 43.9%, a year-over-year increase of 660 basis points[5, 10] - Non-GAAP operating margin was 30.4%, a year-over-year increase of 1200 basis points[5, 10] - Non-GAAP EPS was $1.78, also above the high end of guidance[5] - Cash flow from operations was $672 million[5] - Free cash flow was $599 million[5] Capital Allocation - Share repurchases increased to $553 million[5] - Dividend increased to $0.125 per share[5] Revenue Breakdown - Cloud revenue was $2.51 billion in Q1FY26[13] - Total revenue in Q1FY26 was $2.818 billion, a 27% increase year-over-year[10, 13] Q2FY26 Guidance (Non-GAAP) - Revenue is expected to be $2.9 billion, plus or minus $100 million[11] - Diluted EPS is projected at $1.88, plus or minus $0.15[11]