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Is Western Digital's $4B Buyback Plan a Smart Move or a Risk?
ZACKS· 2026-02-16 17:40
Core Insights - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) has expanded its buyback authorization by an additional $4 billion, supported by strong business momentum and cash generation [1] - The company generated $3.02 billion in revenues for the fiscal second quarter, reflecting a 7% sequential increase and a 25% year-over-year growth, primarily driven by data center demand and high-capacity hard disk drives [2] - Non-GAAP earnings per share reached $2.13, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.95 and representing a 78% year-over-year increase [2] - Gross margin improved to 46.1%, a 770 basis point increase from the previous year, due to a favorable product mix and cost control measures [3] - Free cash flow for the quarter was $653 million, allowing the company to return over 100% of its free cash flow to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends [6] - WDC shipped over 3.5 million latest-generation ePMR drives, indicating strong customer adoption, and delivered a total of 215 exabytes to customers, marking a 22% year-over-year increase [5] Financial Performance - Non-GAAP operating income totaled $1.02 billion, up 72% year over year, with margins expanding more than 930 basis points to 33.8% [3] - The company has returned a total of $1.4 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks since launching its capital return program [6] - WDC carries $4.7 billion in long-term debt, which includes the current portion [7] Market Dynamics - The demand for higher-density storage is rising due to accelerated AI and cloud adoption, with WDC collaborating closely with hyperscale customers to meet this demand [4] - The company is advancing its technology roadmaps, including HAMR and ePMR, to drive the adoption of higher-capacity drives [4] - The storage industry remains cyclical, with potential sharp shifts in pricing and demand [7] Competitive Landscape - Seagate Technology has resumed share repurchases, indicating a shift in capital allocation strategy [9] - Pure Storage has announced its largest-ever share repurchase authorization of $400 million, reflecting confidence in business momentum and balance sheet strength [12] - WDC's shares have gained 27.1% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry, which increased by 25% [14] Valuation and Estimates - WDC's shares are currently trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 21.83X, compared to the industry's 19.32X [15] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WDC's earnings for fiscal 2026 has been revised up by 17.4% to $8.96 over the past 60 days [16]
Already Up More Than 450% in a Year, This Hot AI Stock Has More Room To Run
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-16 12:30
The artificial intelligence (AI)-driven infrastructure buildout is driving significant demand for memory and storage solutions, supporting companies like Western Digital (WDC). Western Digital focuses on manufacturing high-capacity hard disk drives, a critical component for storing the vast datasets required by AI workloads. From cloud service providers to hyperscale data centers, customers are racing to secure more storage to keep pace with AI adoption. This surge in demand has tightened supply, lifted p ...
What's Supporting Western Digital's Gross Margin Momentum?
ZACKS· 2026-02-09 16:50
Core Insights - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) has significantly improved its gross margin performance in the first two quarters of fiscal 2026, reporting a gross margin of 46.1% in the fiscal second quarter, which is an increase of 770 basis points year over year and 220 basis points sequentially, exceeding the company's guidance of 44-45% [2][11] - The improvement in gross margin is attributed to a transition to higher-capacity drives and effective cost management across production and supply chain [2][5] Financial Performance - The company reported an incremental gross margin flow-through of approximately 75%, driven by stable pricing and a decline in costs per terabyte [3] - In the fiscal second quarter, Western Digital shipped over 3.5 million latest-generation ePMR drives, supporting capacities of up to 26TB CMR and 32TB UltraSMR, contributing to a total shipment of 215 exabytes, a 22% year-over-year increase [5] - For the fiscal third quarter, Western Digital expects a non-GAAP gross margin in the range of 47-48% and non-GAAP revenues of $3.2 billion, reflecting a 40% year-over-year increase at the midpoint [6][11] Competitive Landscape - Seagate Technology Holdings plc reported a non-GAAP gross margin of 42.2%, an increase of about 210 basis points quarter over quarter and roughly 670 basis points year over year, driven by the adoption of high-capacity products [7] - Pure Storage, Inc. reported a non-GAAP gross margin of 74.1%, up from 71.9% in the prior year, attributed to increased sales of high-performance FlashArrays and higher hyperscaler shipments [8] - For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, Pure Storage expects revenues between $1.02 billion and $1.04 billion, indicating a 17.1% increase at the midpoint from the previous year [9] Market Performance - Over the past three months, WDC's shares have increased by 62.3%, outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry's growth of 40.4% [12] - WDC's shares are currently trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 22.43X, compared to the industry's 19.26X [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WDC's earnings for fiscal 2026 has been revised up by 17.3% to $8.95 over the past 60 days [14]
Western Digital Investor Day: HAMR Roadmap, AI Data Center Shift, and New $4B Buyback Plan
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-04 10:03
On capacity, Shihab highlighted rapid ramps of high-capacity drives and said the company’s HAMR drives are already “in our customers’ hands” for qualification. He said WD announced one customer qualifying HAMR drives the prior week and stated at the event that WD now has a second customer qualifying HAMR.Shihab framed WD’s product strategy around what he said customers consistently request: capacity at scale, reliability, cost efficiency, smooth technology transitions without software disruption, better per ...
Western Digital Q2 Earnings Beat, Top Line Jumps Y/Y on AI Demand Boom
ZACKS· 2026-01-30 14:15
Core Insights - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) reported strong financial results for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, with non-GAAP earnings of $2.13 per share, exceeding estimates and showing significant year-over-year growth of 78% [1][9] - The company generated $3.02 billion in revenue, a 25% increase year-over-year, driven by robust demand in data centers and high-capacity hard disk drives (HDDs) [2][9] Financial Performance - Revenue from the Cloud end market, which constitutes 89% of total revenues, rose 28% year-over-year to $2.7 billion, reflecting strong demand for higher-capacity nearline products [6] - Non-GAAP gross margin improved to 46.1%, up 770 basis points year-over-year, supported by a transition to higher-capacity drives and effective cost management [10] - Non-GAAP operating income reached $1.02 billion, marking a 72% increase year-over-year, with margins expanding to 33.8% [11] Operational Highlights - WDC shipped over 3.5 million latest-generation ePMR drives, supporting capacities of up to 26TB CMR and 32TB UltraSMR, indicating strong customer adoption [4] - The company shipped a total of 215 exabytes to customers, a 22% increase year-over-year [4] Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - WDC generated $745 million in cash from operations, with free cash flow amounting to $653 million, up 95% year-over-year [13] - The company repurchased approximately 3.8 million shares for $615 million and paid $48 million in dividends, returning over 100% of its free cash flow to shareholders [14] Future Outlook - For the fiscal third quarter, WDC anticipates continued growth, projecting non-GAAP revenues of $3.2 billion, a 40% increase year-over-year, and non-GAAP earnings of $2.30 per share [15] - The company expects non-GAAP gross margin to be in the range of 47-48% and operating expenses between $380 million and $390 million [16]
Western Digital(WDC) - 2026 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-01-29 22:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for the second quarter of fiscal 2026 was $3 billion, up 25% year-over-year, driven by strong demand for Nearline drives [12] - Earnings per share (EPS) was $2.13, an increase of 78% year-over-year, exceeding guidance [15] - Gross margin improved to 46.1%, up 770 basis points year-over-year and 220 basis points sequentially [13][14] - Operating income was slightly above $1 billion, translating into an operating margin of 33.8% [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cloud segment represented 89% of total revenue at $2.7 billion, up 28% year-over-year [13] - Client segment accounted for 6% of total revenue at $176 million, up 26% year-over-year [13] - Consumer segment represented 5% of revenue at $168 million, down 3% year-over-year [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company shipped over 3.5 million units of its latest generation ePMR products, offering capacities up to 32 TB [12][8] - The company delivered 215 exabytes (EB) to customers, up 22% year-over-year [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on AI and cloud storage solutions, emphasizing high-capacity drives and partnerships with hyperscale customers [7][9] - A strategic investment in Qolab was announced to advance next-generation nanofabrication processes [10] - The company is hosting an innovation day to share updated roadmaps for HAMR and ePMR products [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in continued demand for storage solutions driven by AI and cloud growth [5][6] - The company anticipates revenue for Q3 fiscal 2026 to be around $3.2 billion, reflecting approximately 40% year-over-year growth [17] - Management highlighted a stable pricing environment and ongoing cost reductions, projecting further gross margin expansion [22][23] Other Important Information - The company returned $1.4 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends since the launch of its capital return program [16] - The board approved a quarterly cash dividend of $12.50 per share, payable on March 18, 2026 [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Gross margin guidance and durability of incremental margin - Management confirmed a gross margin of 46.1% and guidance of 47%-48%, with incremental margins around 75% [20][22] Question: Purchase orders and pricing strategy - Management indicated strong demand and stable pricing, with long-term agreements in place with top customers [27][28] Question: Customer engagement and contracts - The company has developed a customer-centric approach, resulting in longer-term contracts and improved relationships with hyperscale customers [34] Question: UltraSMR mix and gross margins - Management noted an increasing mix of UltraSMR drives, which are beneficial for both customers and profitability [42][43] Question: Yields and reliability of products - Yields on ePMR products are in the low 90s%, with positive feedback on reliability from customers [46] Question: HAMR roadmap and investments - The company has pulled in the HAMR qualification timeline and expects it to be neutral to accretive to gross margins once ramped [55][77] Question: Revenue per exabyte and mix changes - Revenue per exabyte is driven by strong demand from the cloud segment, with stable pricing trends [81] Question: Cost reductions and future expectations - Current cost reductions are around 10% year-over-year, with potential for further reductions as higher capacity drives are adopted [87]
Western Digital's Q2 Earnings on Deck: Is the Stock Worth Buying Now?
ZACKS· 2026-01-27 15:11
Core Viewpoint - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) is expected to report second-quarter fiscal 2026 results on January 29, with earnings projected to rise by 9.6% year-over-year, while revenues are anticipated to decline by 31% compared to the prior year [2][3]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is $1.94, with management projecting non-GAAP earnings of $1.88 (+/- 15 cents) [2][3]. - Revenue estimates are pegged at $2.95 billion, with a mid-point guidance of $2.9 billion (+/- $100 million), indicating a 20% year-over-year growth [3][8]. - WDC has consistently surpassed earnings estimates in the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 9.18% [3][4]. Earnings Expectations - WDC has an Earnings ESP of +1.93% and a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a high probability of an earnings beat [5][6]. - The company expects non-GAAP gross margin to be between 44% and 45%, with operating expenses projected to decline to $365 million–$375 million [7][8]. Growth Drivers - WDC's focus on innovation and operational discipline positions it well to benefit from the AI-driven increase in data creation and storage demand [6][9]. - The company is making progress on Heat-Assisted Magnetic Recording (HAMR) technology, with qualifications expected to begin with hyperscale customers in 2026 [9][10]. - Partnerships, such as with Qolab for advanced nanofabrication technologies, are aimed at enhancing product performance and scalability [10]. Market Position - WDC's shares have increased by 249.1% over the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry, which rose by 97.5% [12]. - The company has outperformed competitors like Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) and NetApp, Inc. (NTAP) during the same period [13]. Valuation Metrics - WDC's shares currently trade at a price/earnings ratio of 25.59, compared to the industry average of 19.01 [14][17]. Investment Outlook - The demand for storage driven by AI and cloud customers is expected to sustain growth, with strong nearline high-capacity drive demand acting as a tailwind for earnings [18][19].
Seagate Elevates HDD Performance Through Aerial Density Advancements
ZACKS· 2026-01-22 18:31
Core Insights - The demand for scalable and cost-efficient storage is increasing due to the acceleration of cloud computing, AI, and data-intensive workloads, with HDDs remaining essential for hyperscale data centers despite the rise of flash technology [1][8] Group 1: HDD Technology and Innovation - Areal density, which measures data storage per unit of surface area, is crucial for enhancing storage capacity in HDDs, providing a competitive edge for hyperscale data centers [2] - Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) is advancing areal density as a key strength, ensuring a total cost of ownership (TCO) advantage for HDDs over alternative technologies [2][4] - Seagate's high-capacity HAMR drives, including the Mozaic 3+ platform, are being adopted to meet the growing AI-driven storage demand, with drives offering up to 36TB and further advancements planned for 44TB and 5TB-per-disk technology by 2028 [3][8] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) remains a strong competitor in the HDD market, benefiting from its ePMR and UltraSMR drives while advancing its HAMR roadmap, with strong customer commitments extending into 2027 [5] - NetApp, Inc. (NTAP) is experiencing growth in its flash business and cloud services, supported by partnerships with major hyperscalers like Amazon and Microsoft, positioning it well in the cloud infrastructure space [6] Group 3: Financial Performance - STX's stock has increased by 217.5% over the past year, outperforming the Computer Integrated Systems industry's growth of 103.5% [7] - The current forward price/earnings ratio for STX is 27.23X, which is higher than the industry's average of 18.74X, indicating a stretched valuation [9]
Are WDC's Deepening Hyperscaler Partnerships Strengthening Its Moat?
ZACKS· 2026-01-14 15:06
Core Insights - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) is strengthening its competitive position through deepening collaborations with hyperscaler customers, driven by the accelerating growth of AI-generated data [1][9] - The company is a leading provider of mass capacity storage solutions, with increasing demand for high-capacity, cost-efficient storage as industries adopt multimodal large language models and agentic AI [1] Group 1: Customer Demand and Product Development - WDC has gained significant visibility into customer demand, with a transition to higher-capacity drives, shipping over 2.2 million units of its latest ePMR products in the September quarter, including drives offering up to 26TB CMR and 32TB UltraSMR [2][9] - All top seven customers have placed orders for WDC's next-generation HAMR drives through the first half of 2026, with one major customer securing supply for all of 2027 [3][9] - The company is on track to begin qualification of HAMR drives with one hyperscale customer in the first half of 2026, potentially expanding to three customers by year-end, positioning for volume production ramp-up in early 2027 [4] Group 2: Financial Performance and Projections - WDC anticipates ongoing revenue growth supported by strong data center demand, with non-GAAP revenues expected to reach $2.9 billion (+/- $100 million) for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, representing a 20% year-over-year increase [5] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WDC's earnings for fiscal 2026 has been revised upwards, indicating positive sentiment among analysts [18] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - WDC faces intense competition from Seagate Technology Holdings Plc and other flash-based alternatives, with Seagate also experiencing strong demand for its Mozaic drives, which are the only products in the industry offering 3 terabytes per disk [6][10] - Pure Storage is another significant player in the data storage space, with increasing adoption of flash storage and strong growth prospects in emerging data-driven markets [12][13] Group 4: Stock Performance and Valuation - WDC's shares have increased by 24.3% over the past month, slightly underperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry's growth of 25.2% [14] - The company's shares are currently trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 23.25X, higher than the industry's 21.7X [15]
WDC vs. PSTG: Which Storage Stock is the Safer Growth Play Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-11-27 13:51
Core Insights - The global data storage market is projected to reach $1,304.7 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 16.44% from 2025 to 2033, driven by business automation, cloud computing, and remote work trends [2] - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) and Pure Storage, Inc. (PSTG) are positioned to benefit from these trends, but their differing business models and financial metrics present varying investment opportunities [2] Group 1: Western Digital Corporation (WDC) - WDC is strategically focused on supporting the data-intensive AI ecosystem, meeting the increasing demand for storage with solid financial performance [3][4] - The company shipped 204 exabytes in the last quarter, a 23% year-over-year increase, and is set to introduce next-generation ePMR drives in early 2026 to meet rising data demands [4][7] - WDC anticipates continued revenue growth due to strong data center demand and higher-capacity drive adoption, with AI applications driving ongoing demand for scalable data infrastructure [5][8] - The company raised its quarterly dividend by 25% to 12.5 cents, returning $785 million to shareholders since FY25, indicating strong financial health and commitment to shareholder returns [7][8] - WDC's shares trade at a forward P/E ratio of 19.45, significantly lower than PSTG's 82.84, highlighting its valuation appeal [7][18] Group 2: Pure Storage, Inc. (PSTG) - PSTG benefits from increasing adoption of its Enterprise Data Cloud architecture and strong traction with hyperscalers, maintaining a positive outlook despite macroeconomic uncertainties [10][11] - The company’s platform, powered by the Purity operating system, supports non-disruptive services and the Storage-as-a-Service model, enhancing its market position [11] - PSTG's FlashBlade solutions are in high demand, supporting its growth in handling AI-driven applications and modern workloads [12][13] - The company added over 300 new customers in the fiscal second quarter, bringing its total to more than 13,500, including 62% of the Fortune 500 [13] - PSTG faces competition in the flash storage market, which may impact pricing and margins, and it has an accumulated operating loss of $1.35 billion [15] Group 3: Comparative Performance and Outlook - Over the past year, WDC's stock has increased by 120.6%, outperforming PSTG and the broader industry [17] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WDC's earnings for fiscal 2026 has been revised up by 13% to $7.38, while PSTG's estimate remains stagnant at $1.97 [19][23] - WDC holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), while PSTG has a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting WDC is currently a more attractive investment option [24]