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WDC vs. PSTG: Which Storage Stock is the Safer Growth Play Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-11-27 13:51
Core Insights - The global data storage market is projected to reach $1,304.7 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 16.44% from 2025 to 2033, driven by business automation, cloud computing, and remote work trends [2] - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) and Pure Storage, Inc. (PSTG) are positioned to benefit from these trends, but their differing business models and financial metrics present varying investment opportunities [2] Group 1: Western Digital Corporation (WDC) - WDC is strategically focused on supporting the data-intensive AI ecosystem, meeting the increasing demand for storage with solid financial performance [3][4] - The company shipped 204 exabytes in the last quarter, a 23% year-over-year increase, and is set to introduce next-generation ePMR drives in early 2026 to meet rising data demands [4][7] - WDC anticipates continued revenue growth due to strong data center demand and higher-capacity drive adoption, with AI applications driving ongoing demand for scalable data infrastructure [5][8] - The company raised its quarterly dividend by 25% to 12.5 cents, returning $785 million to shareholders since FY25, indicating strong financial health and commitment to shareholder returns [7][8] - WDC's shares trade at a forward P/E ratio of 19.45, significantly lower than PSTG's 82.84, highlighting its valuation appeal [7][18] Group 2: Pure Storage, Inc. (PSTG) - PSTG benefits from increasing adoption of its Enterprise Data Cloud architecture and strong traction with hyperscalers, maintaining a positive outlook despite macroeconomic uncertainties [10][11] - The company’s platform, powered by the Purity operating system, supports non-disruptive services and the Storage-as-a-Service model, enhancing its market position [11] - PSTG's FlashBlade solutions are in high demand, supporting its growth in handling AI-driven applications and modern workloads [12][13] - The company added over 300 new customers in the fiscal second quarter, bringing its total to more than 13,500, including 62% of the Fortune 500 [13] - PSTG faces competition in the flash storage market, which may impact pricing and margins, and it has an accumulated operating loss of $1.35 billion [15] Group 3: Comparative Performance and Outlook - Over the past year, WDC's stock has increased by 120.6%, outperforming PSTG and the broader industry [17] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WDC's earnings for fiscal 2026 has been revised up by 13% to $7.38, while PSTG's estimate remains stagnant at $1.97 [19][23] - WDC holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), while PSTG has a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting WDC is currently a more attractive investment option [24]
Western Digital(WDC) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-30 21:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q1 fiscal 2026, the company reported revenue of $2.8 billion, a 27% increase year-over-year, driven by strong demand for nearline drives [13][14] - Non-GAAP gross margin was 43.9%, improving by 660 basis points year-over-year and 260 basis points sequentially [15][11] - Non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) was $1.78, exceeding guidance [13][11] - Free cash flow for the quarter was $599 million, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities [11][16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cloud business represented 89% of total revenue at $2.5 billion, up 31% year-over-year, driven by demand for higher capacity nearline products [14] - Client business accounted for 5% of total revenue at $146 million, up 5% year-over-year [15] - Consumer business represented 6% of revenue at $162 million, down 1% year-over-year [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company delivered 204 exabytes to customers, a 23% increase year-over-year, including 2.2 million drives of the latest generation ePMR [13][11] - Shipments of ePMR products with capacities up to 26 terabytes CMR and 32 terabytes Ultra SMR surpassed 2.2 million units in the September quarter [5][11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on AI-driven growth, leveraging AI to enhance productivity and innovation internally [4][5] - Investments are being made in head wafer and media technology to drive higher aerial density and manufacturing throughput [6][7] - The company is on track to start HAMR qualification for one hyperscale customer in the first half of calendar year 2026, with plans to expand to three customers [9][10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in long-term business strength despite macroeconomic uncertainties, expecting continued revenue growth driven by data center demand [12][11] - The company anticipates revenue for Q2 fiscal 2026 to be around $2.9 billion, reflecting approximately 20% year-over-year growth [18][12] Other Important Information - The company announced a 25% increase in its dividend per share to $0.125, reflecting confidence in long-term business prospects [11][17] - The company has returned a total of $785 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends since the launch of its capital return program [17][16] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does the company plan to meet rising customer demand while keeping supply-demand in balance? - The company focuses on delivering higher capacity drives and has shipped over 2.2 million units last quarter, equating to about 70 exabytes of data [23][24] Question: How should the market think about incremental gross margins moving forward? - The company reported a gross margin of 43.9% and expects further improvement in Q2 fiscal 2026, with a focus on maintaining incremental gross margins of approximately 50% [26][27] Question: Can you provide an update on the HAMR roadmap and its qualification timeline? - The company has pulled forward the qualification process for HAMR to the first half of calendar 2026, with expectations for ramp-up in the first half of calendar 2027 [31][32] Question: What is the outlook for exabyte growth and pricing trends? - The company sees exabyte growth trending towards 23% due to strong demand and expects mid to high single-digit cost reductions per terabyte [41][42] Question: How does the company view the balance between HDDs and SSDs in the market? - The company anticipates HDDs will continue to represent about 80% of the bits stored in data centers, despite the rise of SSDs for certain workloads [92][93] Question: What are the implications of long-term agreements with hyperscale customers? - The company has secured firm purchase orders extending throughout 2026 and into 2027, indicating strong customer confidence and demand [8][62]
Will Product Innovation Keep Western Digital's Momentum Strong?
ZACKS· 2025-10-06 14:36
Core Insights - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) is experiencing significant growth due to increasing demand for high-capacity storage driven by cloud computing and AI [1] - The company is focused on innovation, delivering high-capacity drives with enhanced performance and energy efficiency [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the fiscal fourth quarter, WDC shipped 190 exabytes of storage, a 32% increase year over year, with strong demand for nearline drives and significant growth in 26TB CMR and 32TB UltraSMR products [2] - For the first quarter of fiscal 2026, WDC anticipates non-GAAP revenues of $2.7 billion, representing a 22% year-over-year increase, and non-GAAP earnings of $1.54 [5] Group 2: Product Development and Innovation - WDC's ePMR and UltraSMR technologies are crucial for success in the data center market, with plans to advance to next-generation HAMR drives, expected to ramp up in the first half of 2027 [3] - The company is also focusing on infrastructure solutions for AI/ML and software-defined storage, targeting hyperscale cloud service providers [4] Group 3: Market Position and Competition - WDC faces competition from companies like Seagate, Pure Storage, Hitachi, Samsung, and Intel in the storage market [6] - Despite strong growth, customer concentration and a leveraged balance sheet are concerns for the company [6] Group 4: Stock Performance and Valuation - Over the past year, WDC shares have increased by 97.7%, outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry, which grew by 35.1% [10] - WDC's shares are trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 19.87X, lower than the industry's 22.68X [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WDC's earnings for fiscal 2026 has been revised up by 1.85% to $6.62 per share [12]
This AI-Fueled Stock Is Up 127% in 2025 But Still Looks Undervalued
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-16 15:34
Core Insights - The surge in artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure spending is benefiting not only pure-play AI companies but also those supporting its ecosystem, such as Western Digital (WDC) [1] - Western Digital's shares have increased approximately 127% this year due to strong demand for data storage solutions driven by AI adoption [2] - The company's revenue surged by 51% in fiscal 2025, with significant gross margin expansion and strong free cash flow generation [3] Company Performance - Western Digital's stock appears undervalued relative to its growth prospects, suggesting that the momentum in WDC stock may continue [4] - The demand for scalable and cost-efficient data storage is expected to remain high, particularly with the rise of large language models (LLMs) and agentic AI [5] - Shipments of Western Digital's latest high-capacity drives, including ePMR drives (up to 26 terabytes) and UltraSMR drives (up to 32 terabytes), more than doubled to 1.7 million units last quarter [6]
Western Digital(WDC) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-30 21:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the fiscal fourth quarter, the company reported revenue of $2.6 billion, a 30% year-over-year increase, and non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.66, which was above the high end of the guidance range [11][15] - Non-GAAP gross margin was 41.3%, improving by 60 basis points year-over-year, reflecting a shift towards higher capacity drives and effective cost control [16][17] - Free cash flow for the quarter was $675 million, with operating cash flow at $746 million and capital expenditures of $71 million [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The cloud segment represented 90% of total revenue at $2.3 billion, up 36% year-over-year, driven by strong demand for higher capacity nearline products [16] - Client revenue accounted for 5% of total revenue at $140 million, up 2% year-over-year, while consumer revenue also represented 5% at $136 million, down 12% year-over-year [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Shipments of the latest generation ePMR drives with capacities up to 26 terabytes CMR and 32 terabytes Ultra SMR more than doubled quarter-over-quarter, exceeding 1.7 million units [8][11] - The company has firm purchase orders or long-term agreements with all top five hyperscale customers for the entire fiscal year 2026, indicating strong demand [11][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on operational execution, capital return programs, and leveraging AI-driven data growth to enhance storage solutions [6][10] - The transition to higher capacity drives and the development of HAMR technology are central to the company's strategy, with expectations for continued revenue growth driven by data center demand [9][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that while the broader environment remains uncertain due to tariffs, strong demand driven by AI is expected to continue [11][12] - For fiscal year 2026, the company anticipates revenue growth of approximately 22% year-over-year, with gross margin expected between 41% and 42% [20][21] Other Important Information - The company initiated a quarterly cash dividend program and authorized a $2 billion share repurchase program, repurchasing nearly $150 million worth of shares in the fourth quarter [11][19] - The balance sheet was strengthened with a reduction of $2.6 billion in debt, achieving a net leverage target of 1 to 1.5 times [11][18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you help us understand the gross margin guidance for September? - Management indicated that gross margin expansion is expected to slow due to various factors, including pricing stability and a favorable mix shift towards higher capacity drives [26][30] Question: How should investors think about share repurchase activity going forward? - Management expressed confidence in continuing to return cash to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, with room for growth in the dividend program [34][37] Question: What is the ASP per terabyte for the last quarter? - Management noted that ASP per terabyte was down in low single digits, primarily due to mix, while ASPs per drive continue to rise with higher capacity drives [39][70] Question: How does the extra week in the quarter affect revenue and OpEx? - Management clarified that the extra week would add approximately $15 million in OpEx, but revenue impact would be minimal as customers operate on quarterly forecasts [75][76] Question: What is the outlook for AI's impact on growth? - Management highlighted that AI is expected to provide a significant uplift in exabyte growth, potentially increasing revenue growth from mid to high single digits to mid-teens [78][80]
Western Digital(WDC) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-30 21:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the fiscal fourth quarter, the company reported revenue of $2.6 billion, a 30% increase year-over-year, and non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.66, which was above the high end of the guidance range [11][15] - Non-GAAP gross margin was 41.3%, improving by 60 basis points year-over-year, reflecting a shift towards higher capacity drives and effective cost control [17][18] - Free cash flow for the quarter was $675 million, with operating cash flow at $746 million and capital expenditures of $71 million [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cloud business represented 90% of total revenue at $2.3 billion, up 36% year-over-year, driven by strong demand for higher capacity nearline products [16] - Client business accounted for 5% of total revenue at $140 million, up 2% year-over-year, while consumer revenue also represented 5% at $136 million, down 12% year-over-year [17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Shipments of the latest generation ePMR drives with capacities up to 26 terabytes CMR and 32 terabytes Ultra SMR more than doubled quarter-over-quarter, exceeding 1.7 million units [7][10] - The company has secured firm purchase orders or long-term agreements with all top five hyperscale customers for the entire fiscal year 2026, indicating strong demand [12][45] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on operational execution, capital return programs, and leveraging AI-driven data growth to enhance storage solutions [5][15] - The transition to next-generation HAMR technology is on track, with expectations for ramp-up in 2027, while the next generation of ePMR drives will complete qualification in 2026 [9][88] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in continued revenue growth driven by data center demand and improved profitability from high-capacity drives [12][21] - The company anticipates revenue for fiscal year 2026 to be approximately $2.7 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of about 22% [21] Other Important Information - The company initiated a quarterly cash dividend program and authorized a $2 billion share repurchase program, repurchasing nearly $150 million worth of shares in the fourth quarter [12][20] - The effective tax rate for the quarter was 9.3%, and diluted share count was approximately 362 million shares [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Gross margin guidance for September - Management indicated that gross margin expansion is expected to slow due to various factors, including pricing stability and a favorable mix shift towards higher capacity drives [28][31] Question: Share repurchase activity and cash management - The company plans to continue returning cash to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, with strong free cash flow generation supporting these initiatives [34][36] Question: ASP and non-HDD revenue - ASP per terabyte was down in low single digits, primarily due to mix, while the overall pricing environment remains stable [38][72] Question: Seasonality in the business - Management noted that traditional seasonality may not apply anymore due to the structural changes in the business, with strong demand from hyperscale customers driving revenue [42][46] Question: Adoption of Ultra SMR technology - The company has completed qualifications for Ultra SMR with multiple hyperscale customers, indicating a positive adoption curve [57] Question: Impact of tariffs and enterprise demand - Management has not seen material impacts from tariffs and noted that any potential softness in enterprise demand would be offset by cloud demand [66][68] Question: Hard drive ASPs and market capacity - The company emphasized that their ability to produce higher capacity drives at scale differentiates them in the market, and they do not foresee needing incremental investments into capacity [75]
Western Digital(WDC) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-07-30 20:30
Financial Performance - Q4FY25 revenue reached $2.6 billion[5], a 30% increase year-over-year[13] and a 14% increase quarter-over-quarter[13] - Non-GAAP EPS for Q4FY25 was $1.66[5], a 22% increase quarter-over-quarter[13] - Non-GAAP gross margin for Q4FY25 was 41.3%[5], a 610 bps increase year-over-year[13] - Cash flow from operations was $746 million[5], a 104% increase year-over-year[13] - Free cash flow was $675 million[5], a 139% increase year-over-year[13] Capital Allocation - Total debt was reduced by $2.6 billion[5] - A new $2.0 billion share repurchase program was authorized, with $149 million of shares repurchased[5] - A cash dividend of $0.10 per share was initiated[5] Business Segments - Cloud revenue accounted for 90% of total revenue in Q4FY25[7] Q1FY26 Guidance (Non-GAAP) - Revenue is expected to be $2.70 billion, with a variance of +/- $100 million[14] - Gross margin is projected to be between 41% and 42%[14] - EPS is expected to be $1.54, with a variance of +/- $0.15[14]